Ameren Corporation · AEE · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Ameren Reaffirms Guidance as Grid Investment and Load Growth Build

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: maintained guidance, infrastructure investment, and prospective data-center and industrial load growth support Ameren's trajectory, while regulatory, environmental, litigation, and project-execution risks remain material.

Reported After market closeNYSEUtilities $28.28B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.97 Consensus $0.93
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.69B Consensus $1.87B
Revenue surprise -9.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.6% Event window
SPY move -1.9% Same window
Abnormal move +3.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.0% Up to 20 sessions
AEESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, Ameren reported Q2 EPS of $0.97 and continued to maintain guidance. The current analysis adds progress on solar and natural-gas projects, a 250 MW data-center pipeline, 85 MW of additional industrial load under discussion, and full awards for MISO Tranche 1, while keeping attention on the Missouri IRP, Rush Island, and future MISO project execution.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed 2024 EPS guidance of $4.52-$4.72; the supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 EPS was $0.97, and management reaffirmed 2024 EPS guidance of $4.52-$4.72.
  • Management highlighted solar and natural-gas project approvals, grid modernization, and a growing data-center and industrial load pipeline.
  • Ameren secured all MISO Tranche 1 transmission projects and described a $55 billion investment plan through 2034.
  • The main counterweights are regulatory uncertainty, environmental-rule changes, Rush Island litigation, and execution risk on major projects.

Management priorities

  • Update and file the Ameren Missouri Integrated Resource Plan by February 2025.
  • Advance the Castle Bluff 800 MW natural-gas plant toward commissioning by the end of 2027.
  • Complete transmission extensions for the 250 MW data center by December 2025, with ramp-up through 2028.
  • Pursue MISO Tranche 2.1 projects and prepare for Tranche 2.2 approvals in 2025.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AEE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, match Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, match Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish1248.0%
Neutral1248.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$104.32Current
$80Low
$108.31Average
$131High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 30, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 17, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $104.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdel$113$100.25 +8.3%Sep 30, 2026
ScotiabankIan Rapp$104$99.39 -0.3%Sep 29, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D\'Ambrisi$107$98.46 +2.6%Sep 25, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$120$109.74 +15.0%Aug 17, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$124$109.61 +18.9%Aug 3, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across the United States, Ameren Corporation functions as a utility holding company. The enterprise organizes its operations into four primary divisions: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission. Its fundamental business involves the rate-regulated production, transmission, and supply of electricity, in addition to the rate-regulated distribution and transmission of natural gas. Ameren generates power using a variety of sources, including coal, nuclear energy, and natural gas, supplemented by renewable alternatives such as hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar. Its customer base encompasses residential homes, commercial businesses, and industrial operations. Established in 1881, Ameren Corporation is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T21:30:46.725813+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T21:30:46.722578+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.