Autodesk, Inc. · ADSK · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Autodesk shifts focus to cloud, AI and margin expansion

Autodesk’s FY2025 results and raised FY2026 outlook support a constructive operating thesis centered on cloud, industry-cloud and AI adoption, but the case depends on sustaining margin expansion, improving sales efficiency and converting the new transaction model into durable growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $49.63B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.13
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.63B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.9% Event window
SPY move +1.6% Same window
Abnormal move -4.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.6% Up to 20 sessions
ADSKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The emphasis shifted toward go-to-market optimization and resource reallocation around cloud, industry clouds and AI. Management also highlighted AutoConstrain adoption, further generative-AI releases, continued construction and manufacturing momentum, and a larger FY2026 share-repurchase program.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 guidance, targeting 8–9% revenue growth, 21–22% GAAP margins, 39–40% non-GAAP margins, strong free cash flow and a larger share-repurchase program.

Key takeaways

  • FY2025 results exceeded the high end of guidance on revenue and billings, with margins above expectations.
  • Go-to-market optimization and resource reallocation are intended to improve sales efficiency and expand margins.
  • Cloud, industry clouds and AI remain the primary growth engines, with new AI features gaining traction.
  • Construction and manufacturing momentum, including Fusion and Autodesk Construction Cloud, remained central to the strategy.
  • The new transaction model generated $46 million of revenue and $155 million of billings in Q4.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate the Construction Cloud and Forma Cloud road maps.
  • Release additional generative-AI features across the product portfolio.
  • Scale self-service capabilities and tighten channel-partner integration.
  • Provide more detail on margin expansion at the Investor Day in Q3.
  • Maintain an opportunistic M&A stance that complements the platform strategy.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ADSK REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1B Q1 '25 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 actual $2B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q1 '27 actual $2B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 actual $2B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3874.5%
Neutral917.7%
Bearish47.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$233.6Previous close
$215Low
$319.37Average
$440High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $233.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerBilly Fitzsimmons$300$209.4 +28.4%Sep 28, 2026
Goldman SachsMatthew Martino$265$220.31 +13.4%Sep 17, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$215$228.93 -8.0%Sep 14, 2026
Berenberg BankNay Soe Naing$333$258.53 +42.6%Sep 1, 2026
Rosenblatt SecuritiesBlair Abernethy$330$260.66 +41.3%Aug 31, 2026
See 117 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Autodesk, Inc. delivers advanced software and services for 3D design, engineering, and entertainment to a global clientele. Their diverse product line includes AutoCAD Civil 3D, a comprehensive solution for civil engineering tasks such as land development, transportation infrastructure, and environmental projects. For construction project management, they offer BIM 360, a cloud-based platform. Core design and drafting needs are met by AutoCAD and its specialized counterpart, AutoCAD LT. The company also provides CAM software, essential for computer numeric control (CNC) machining, inspection, and manufacturing modeling, alongside Fusion 360, an integrated platform for 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-13T00:00:14.471520+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T06:30:43.532898+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T06:30:43.530302+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.