Automatic Data Processing, Inc. · ADP · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2026
ADP Beats on Q3 Revenue and EPS, Raises FY2026 Guidance on AI and International Strength
ADP's Q3 FY2026 results extended the company's streak of steady execution, with 7% revenue growth, 80 bps of adjusted EBIT margin expansion, and 10% adjusted EPS growth -- all ahead of consensus. The beat was underpinned by record Employer Services retention, strong international and compliance bookings, and tangible efficiency gains from AI-powered products like ADP Assist and Lyric. Management raised full-year FY2026 guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now projecting 6%-7% revenue growth and 10%-11% EPS growth. The stock responded with an approximate 8% abnormal return on the report day, with continued positive drift of about 2% in the sessions that followed. Analyst price targets as of late July 2026 show a consensus of $254.78 versus a current price of $264.17, suggesting the market has already re-rated the stock above prior expectations.
Company context
Snapshot as of publicationAutomatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is a global provider of cloud-based solutions designed for human capital management (HCM). The company organizes its operations into two primary segments: Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). Through its Employer Services division, ADP delivers strategic, cloud-powered platforms and comprehensive human resources (HR) outsourcing.…
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusEarnings History
Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jan 29, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Underperform | Hold | Downgrade | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 13, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jun 5, 2025 |
| TD Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 21, 2025 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Feb 3, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Mar 26, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Jan 4, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 27, 2023 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 27, 2023 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 28, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 16, 2021 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 21, 2020 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jul 14, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 29, 2020 |
| MoffettNathanson | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 7, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 11, 2019 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 13, 2018 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 13, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 6, 2018 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 31, 2017 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 21, 2017 |
| Compass Point | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 15, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 17, 2015 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 1, 2014 |
| Susquehanna | Neutral | Positive | Downgrade | Aug 2, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $264.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Ramsey El-Assal | $294 | $243.24 | +11.3% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $295 | $246.22 | +11.7% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $270 | $246.22 | +2.2% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Kupferberg | $248 | $241.37 | -6.1% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $260 | $245.6 | -1.6% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $240 | $213 | -9.1% | May 10, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $240 | $209.14 | -9.1% | May 5, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $270 | $215.06 | +2.2% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $190 | $215.06 | -28.1% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $244 | $204.24 | -7.6% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $214 | $201.25 | -19.0% | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | David Grossman | $270 | $231.36 | +2.2% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Daniel Jester | $281 | $249.06 | +6.4% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | David Grossman | $280 | $250.69 | +6.0% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | James Faucette | $274 | $250.69 | +3.7% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $262 | $250.69 | -0.8% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $306 | $258.17 | +15.8% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Daniel Jester | $288 | $260.14 | +9.0% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Samad Samana | $230 | $264.96 | -12.9% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | David Grossman | $290 | $261.16 | +9.8% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $245 | $261.22 | -7.3% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $288 | $283.98 | +9.0% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $290 | $288.69 | +9.8% | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $315 | $310.94 | +19.2% | Jul 30, 2025 |
| UBS | Kevin McVeigh | $315 | $306.82 | +19.2% | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Samad Samana | $305 | $300.57 | +15.5% | Jan 29, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $315 | $290.24 | +19.2% | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Jason Kupferberg | $281 | $285.16 | +6.4% | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Jason Kupferberg | $267 | $262.62 | +1.1% | Aug 1, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $267 | $252.98 | +1.1% | Sep 5, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $257 | $218.18 | -2.7% | May 2, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $230 | $218.18 | -12.9% | May 2, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Dan Dolev | $250 | $218.18 | -5.4% | May 2, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | David Grossman | $238 | $212.46 | -9.9% | Mar 16, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Jeffrey Silber | $220 | $233.04 | -16.7% | Nov 16, 2021 |
| J.P. Morgan | Tien Tsin Huang | $224 | $211.82 | -15.2% | Aug 17, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Kevin Mcveigh | $215 | $213.56 | -18.6% | Aug 16, 2021 |
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What changed
Revenue growth accelerated from 6% in Q2 to 7% in Q3, while adjusted EBIT margin expansion held steady at 80 bps year-over-year. Adjusted EPS of $3.37 exceeded the $3.30 consensus by roughly 2%, and revenue of $5.94 billion beat the $5.85 billion estimate by about 1.5%. Record Employer Services retention and client satisfaction scores were new highlights this quarter. Management quantified AI efficiency gains for the first time: ADP Assist payroll agents save an average of 30 minutes per payroll run, Smart Actions reduces user clicks by approximately 80% for common HR tasks, and one client reduced payroll operation steps from 23 to 8 using Lyric AI tools. International expansion continued with small acquisitions in Mexico and Nordic countries, and over 200 new U.S. HR compliance laws alongside the EU transparency directive drove demand for compliance services. System integrator partnerships with Accenture, KPMG, and UI are being leveraged to scale Lyric implementation capacity.
Guidance delta
Full-year FY2026 guidance was raised for the second consecutive quarter. Revenue growth is now expected at 6%-7%, up from approximately 6% previously. Adjusted EPS growth is now expected at 10%-11%, up from 9%-10%. Both the revenue and EPS ranges were lifted at both the low and high ends, reflecting stronger-than-expected Q3 performance and continued confidence in AI-driven productivity and international expansion.
Key takeaways
- Revenue grew 7% year-over-year to $5.94 billion, beating the $5.85 billion consensus by approximately 1.5%.
- Adjusted EPS of $3.37 exceeded the $3.30 estimate by roughly 2.1%.
- Adjusted EBIT margin expanded 80 bps year-over-year, matching the prior quarter's pace of margin improvement.
- Employer Services retention and client satisfaction reached record levels.
- AI products showed quantifiable efficiency gains: ADP Assist saves 30 minutes per payroll run, Smart Actions cuts clicks by about 80%, and Lyric reduced one client's payroll steps from 23 to 8.
- Full-year FY2026 guidance raised to 6%-7% revenue growth and 10%-11% EPS growth, up from approximately 6% revenue and 9%-10% EPS previously.
Management priorities
- Expand AI capabilities through additional ADP Assist agents and broader Marketplace offerings.
- Scale ADP Lyric implementation capacity using internal teams and system integrator partners including Accenture, KPMG, and UI.
- Pursue selective M&A to accelerate international market reach, as evidenced by recent deals in Mexico and Nordic countries.
- Continue price-based margin expansion and drive further productivity gains.
- Grow cross-sell of insurance and retirement services to small-business PEO clients.
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Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.