Automatic Data Processing, Inc. · ADP · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2026

ADP Beats on Q3 Revenue and EPS, Raises FY2026 Guidance on AI and International Strength

ADP's Q3 FY2026 results extended the company's streak of steady execution, with 7% revenue growth, 80 bps of adjusted EBIT margin expansion, and 10% adjusted EPS growth -- all ahead of consensus. The beat was underpinned by record Employer Services retention, strong international and compliance bookings, and tangible efficiency gains from AI-powered products like ADP Assist and Lyric. Management raised full-year FY2026 guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now projecting 6%-7% revenue growth and 10%-11% EPS growth. The stock responded with an approximate 8% abnormal return on the report day, with continued positive drift of about 2% in the sessions that followed. Analyst price targets as of late July 2026 show a consensus of $254.78 versus a current price of $264.17, suggesting the market has already re-rated the stock above prior expectations.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $105.60B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is a global provider of cloud-based solutions designed for human capital management (HCM). The company organizes its operations into two primary segments: Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). Through its Employer Services division, ADP delivers strategic, cloud-powered platforms and comprehensive human resources (HR) outsourcing.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.37 Consensus $3
EPS surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.94B Consensus $5.85B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ADP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.10 Q2 '24 actual $2.13, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.79 Q3 '24 actual $2.88, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.06 Q4 '24 actual $2.09, beat Q1 '25 estimate $2.21 Q1 '25 actual $2.33, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.23 Q4 '25 actual $2.26, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.44 Q1 '26 actual $2.49, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.57 Q2 '26 actual $2.62, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.30 Q3 '26 actual $3.37, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.59 Q1 '27 estimate $2.75 Q2 '27 estimate $2.92 Q3 '27 estimate $3.67

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold36 ratings
Bullish822.2%
Neutral2363.9%
Bearish513.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$264.17Current
$190Low
$255.78Average
$315High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 9, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 8, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 6, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 30, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $264.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$294$243.24 +11.3%Jul 22, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$295$246.22 +11.7%Jul 22, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$270$246.22 +2.2%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoJason Kupferberg$248$241.37 -6.1%Jul 9, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$260$245.6 -1.6%Jul 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$240$213 -9.1%May 10, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$240$209.14 -9.1%May 5, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$270$215.06 +2.2%Apr 30, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$190$215.06 -28.1%Apr 29, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$244$204.24 -7.6%Apr 21, 2026
See 27 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +8.0% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +8.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.2% Up to 20 sessions
ADPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue growth accelerated from 6% in Q2 to 7% in Q3, while adjusted EBIT margin expansion held steady at 80 bps year-over-year. Adjusted EPS of $3.37 exceeded the $3.30 consensus by roughly 2%, and revenue of $5.94 billion beat the $5.85 billion estimate by about 1.5%. Record Employer Services retention and client satisfaction scores were new highlights this quarter. Management quantified AI efficiency gains for the first time: ADP Assist payroll agents save an average of 30 minutes per payroll run, Smart Actions reduces user clicks by approximately 80% for common HR tasks, and one client reduced payroll operation steps from 23 to 8 using Lyric AI tools. International expansion continued with small acquisitions in Mexico and Nordic countries, and over 200 new U.S. HR compliance laws alongside the EU transparency directive drove demand for compliance services. System integrator partnerships with Accenture, KPMG, and UI are being leveraged to scale Lyric implementation capacity.

Guidance delta

Full-year FY2026 guidance was raised for the second consecutive quarter. Revenue growth is now expected at 6%-7%, up from approximately 6% previously. Adjusted EPS growth is now expected at 10%-11%, up from 9%-10%. Both the revenue and EPS ranges were lifted at both the low and high ends, reflecting stronger-than-expected Q3 performance and continued confidence in AI-driven productivity and international expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 7% year-over-year to $5.94 billion, beating the $5.85 billion consensus by approximately 1.5%.
  • Adjusted EPS of $3.37 exceeded the $3.30 estimate by roughly 2.1%.
  • Adjusted EBIT margin expanded 80 bps year-over-year, matching the prior quarter's pace of margin improvement.
  • Employer Services retention and client satisfaction reached record levels.
  • AI products showed quantifiable efficiency gains: ADP Assist saves 30 minutes per payroll run, Smart Actions cuts clicks by about 80%, and Lyric reduced one client's payroll steps from 23 to 8.
  • Full-year FY2026 guidance raised to 6%-7% revenue growth and 10%-11% EPS growth, up from approximately 6% revenue and 9%-10% EPS previously.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI capabilities through additional ADP Assist agents and broader Marketplace offerings.
  • Scale ADP Lyric implementation capacity using internal teams and system integrator partners including Accenture, KPMG, and UI.
  • Pursue selective M&A to accelerate international market reach, as evidenced by recent deals in Mexico and Nordic countries.
  • Continue price-based margin expansion and drive further productivity gains.
  • Grow cross-sell of insurance and retirement services to small-business PEO clients.

Related earnings events

Technology

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T02:01:48.542712+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T02:01:48.539797+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.