Adobe Inc. · ADBE · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2025

Adobe raises FY2025 outlook as AI adoption accelerates

Adobe's Q2 FY2025 results support a constructive growth thesis: recurring subscription revenue remained strong while Firefly, Acrobat AI Assistant, Express, Gen Studio and Experience Platform initiatives broadened the AI opportunity. The key question is whether adoption converts into durable, material monetization while the company manages competition, FX, macroeconomic pressure and copyright risk.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $94.48B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.06 Consensus $4.97
EPS surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.87B Consensus $5.80B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.3% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.0% Up to 20 sessions
ADBESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management moved from reaffirming full-year guidance to raising FY2025 revenue and EPS guidance. The supplied analysis also points to faster AI adoption, including monthly active users above 700 million, a 4K Firefly video model, and an agentic AI layer with 10 purpose-built agents.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2025 revenue and EPS guidance; AI-direct ARR was tracking ahead of the $250 million FY2025 target.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 FY2025 revenue reached a record $5.87 billion, up 11% year over year.
  • Firefly, Acrobat AI Assistant, and Express drove more than 30% quarter-over-quarter user growth, with monthly active users above 700 million.
  • Management raised FY2025 revenue guidance and said AI-direct ARR was tracking ahead of its $250 million target.
  • The main watchpoints are AI monetization, FX, competition, macroeconomic conditions, and copyright litigation.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Creative Cloud Pro globally with integrated Firefly capabilities.
  • Expand Firefly subscription tiers and introduce a 4K video generation model.
  • Develop Adobe Experience Platform assistants and native agents for real-time journey orchestration.
  • Continue expanding Gen Studio for performance marketing and AI-enhanced automation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ADBE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $4.39 Q2 '24 actual $4.48, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4.53 Q3 '24 actual $4.65, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.97 Q2 '25 actual $5.06, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5.18 Q3 '25 actual $5.31, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.40 Q4 '25 actual $5.50, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5.87 Q1 '26 actual $6.06, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.82 Q2 '26 actual $5.96, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6.08 Q3 '26 actual $6.13, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6.31 Q1 '27 estimate $6.78 Q2 '27 estimate $6.80
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold63 ratings
Bullish3047.6%
Neutral2742.9%
Bearish69.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$237.69Current
$190Low
$403.63Average
$730High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 11, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 11, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 11, 2026
Show 58 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $237.69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$255$246.62 +7.3%Sep 11, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$270$245.82 +13.6%Sep 11, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$250$248.93 +5.2%Sep 11, 2026
Robert W. BairdRob Oliver$250$248.83 +5.2%Sep 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$250$248.83 +5.2%Sep 11, 2026
See 181 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Adobe Inc. stands as a prominent global software provider, delivering a diverse range of solutions. Its operations are structured into three primary business divisions: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising. The Digital Media segment empowers individuals, teams, and enterprises to generate, disseminate, and amplify various forms of content through its array of products and services, including the cloud-native Document Cloud platform. Central to this segment is Creative Cloud, its subscription-based flagship, granting access to a comprehensive suite of creative tools. This division caters to a diverse range of users, from professional content creators and marketers to educators, communicators, and general consumers.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T04:30:47.756877+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T04:30:47.754145+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.