Airbnb, Inc. · ABNB · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Airbnb’s international growth and product pipeline offset U.S. softness

The supplied analysis is constructive but conditional: resilient international demand and a broad product pipeline support the growth case, while U.S. softness, execution, FX, and investment-related margin pressure remain material tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $96.40B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.25
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.26B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.0% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.5% Up to 20 sessions
ABNBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts emphasis toward international expansion, product improvements, the Summer Release, and AI-enabled service. It also makes the near-term demand and investment risks more explicit.

Guidance delta

Maintained: the supplied analysis indicates Q2 revenue and full-year adjusted EBITDA margin guidance were unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Management described international expansion, especially in Latin America and Brazil, as a key growth engine.
  • Product work spans affordability, price transparency, listing quality, AI customer service, and offerings beyond accommodations.
  • The company said U.S. market share was still gaining despite softer domestic demand and longer lead times.
  • The next test is whether new offerings scale without undermining the margin framework.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale the 2025 Summer Release and offerings beyond accommodations.
  • Complete the U.S. rollout of the AI customer service agent.
  • Expand HotelTonight and hotel inventory on the platform.
  • Invest in localization and product improvements in under-penetrated international markets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ABNB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish2452.2%
Neutral1839.1%
Bearish48.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$162.43Current
$60Low
$162.58Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Keybanc Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeOct 2, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 10, 2026
Raymond James Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 8, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $162.43. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$191$160.47 +17.6%Oct 1, 2026
China Renaissance Securities (US) Inc.Analyst unavailable$200$149.58 +23.1%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$170$168.32 +4.7%Sep 16, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$161$168.27 -0.9%Sep 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$200$181.94 +23.1%Sep 8, 2026
See 159 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Airbnb, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, manages a global digital marketplace. This platform seamlessly connects individuals, known as hosts, who wish to offer a variety of accommodations and unique local experiences, with guests seeking such services worldwide. Users can easily book anything from private rooms and primary residences to vacation homes through its online and mobile channels. Originally established as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. in 2007, the company officially rebranded to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Its corporate headquarters are situated in San Francisco, California.

Historical context

All ABNB earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-23T11:31:31.967616+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T04:50:44.606488+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T04:50:44.603601+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.