Xylem Inc. · XYL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
Xylem raises 2025 outlook as margins and water demand strengthen
The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating thesis: resilient water-infrastructure and AMI demand, together with 80/20 simplification, supported stronger margins and a full-year guidance raise. The main test is whether these gains persist while Xylem manages tariffs, China softness and execution risks.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the supplied event baseline, management's message was a stronger operating outlook: Q3 growth and record EBITDA margin were paired with higher full-year guidance. The company also emphasized its planned international metering divestiture, North American focus and Amazon analytics partnership.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year 2025 guidance to approximately $9 billion of revenue, a 22%–22.3% EBITDA margin and $5.03–$5.08 EPS.
Key takeaways
- Q3 revenue grew 7% year over year, while EBITDA margin exceeded 23% and EPS increased 23%.
- Management cited 80/20 simplification, AMI smart-meter demand and water infrastructure activity as key supports.
- China softness, tariff exposure, FX headwinds and EPA grant-review delays remain offsets.
Management priorities
- Complete the planned divestiture of the international metering business and focus on North American metering.
- Expand Vue water analytics, including the Amazon partnership in Mexico City.
- Continue 80/20 simplification and pursue small-to-medium bolt-on acquisitions with disciplined capital deployment.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 29, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 29, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 16, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 29, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Melius Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 2, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 14, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 18, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Jan 4, 2023 |
| Atlantic Equities | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 16, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 3, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 2, 2022 |
| Rosenblatt | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 1, 2021 |
| Janney Montgomery Scott | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 3, 2020 |
| Janney Capital | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 3, 2020 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 7, 2020 |
| Seaport Global | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 4, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 3, 2019 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 31, 2018 |
| Vertical Research | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Oct 18, 2018 |
| Boenning & Scattergood | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 28, 2016 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Apr 11, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 5, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 5, 2016 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 29, 2014 |
| KeyBanc | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 30, 2013 |
| Brean Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 29, 2013 |
| BB&T Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 30, 2013 |
| CL King | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 15, 2013 |
| Ladenburg Thalmann | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 18, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $103.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $113.87 | +45.4% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $138 | $121.93 | +33.7% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $135 | $116.48 | +30.8% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $124.97 | +26.0% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $124.97 | +55.1% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $165 | $124.97 | +59.9% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $159 | $124.97 | +54.1% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $157 | $122.78 | +52.2% | Jul 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $159 | $124.53 | +54.1% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Stephen Volkmann | $140 | $112.04 | +35.7% | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $133 | $116.4 | +28.9% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Bryan Blair | $158 | $116.4 | +53.1% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $159 | $117.91 | +54.1% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $154 | $117.91 | +49.2% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $132 | $120.46 | +27.9% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Nathan Jones | $163 | $128.85 | +58.0% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $152 | $129.4 | +47.3% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $155 | $128.2 | +50.2% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $165 | $127.02 | +59.9% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $126.77 | +53.1% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $138 | $128.18 | +33.7% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $128.92 | +69.6% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $161 | $128.92 | +56.0% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Barclays | William Grippin | $166 | $141.33 | +60.9% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Brett Linzey | $150 | $137.11 | +45.4% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $178 | $153.42 | +72.5% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $153.4 | +64.8% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Brett Linzey | $160 | $150.5 | +55.1% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $176 | $153.48 | +70.6% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $178 | $153.48 | +72.5% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Barclays | William Grippin | $172 | $150.5 | +66.7% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $165 | $142.18 | +59.9% | Sep 18, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $168 | $143.61 | +62.8% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| UBS | Damian Karas | $165 | $127.5 | +59.9% | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $170 | $133.48 | +64.8% | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Bryan Blair | $152 | $139.4 | +47.3% | May 31, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $165 | $140.36 | +59.9% | May 29, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Brett Linzey | $135 | $135.99 | +30.8% | May 3, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $162 | $135.99 | +57.0% | May 3, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Halloran | $155 | $135.99 | +50.2% | May 3, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Brad Hewitt | $143 | $128.27 | +38.6% | Apr 8, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $153 | $127.25 | +48.3% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Nathan Jones | $133 | $99.8 | +28.9% | Aug 18, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $121 | $106.85 | +17.3% | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $123 | $111.23 | +19.2% | Dec 9, 2022 |
| Atlantic Equities | Richard Radbourne | $129 | $112.13 | +25.0% | Nov 16, 2022 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Scott Graham | $120 | $127.19 | +16.3% | Nov 22, 2021 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $150 | $129.82 | +45.4% | Nov 12, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Andrew Kaplowitz | $131 | $125.7 | +27.0% | Aug 4, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Brian K. Lee | $107 | $116.2 | +3.7% | May 5, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationXylem Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and servicing of engineered products and solutions for utility, industrial, and residential and commercial building services settings worldwide. It operates through Water Infrastructure; Applied Water; Measurement and Control Solutions; and Water Solutions and Services segments. The company offers water, wastewater, and storm water pumps and controls and systems; filtration, disinfection, and biological treatment equipment under the Flygt, Ionpure, Leopold, Neptune Benson, Sanitare, Wallace & Tiernan, and Wedeco brands; and pumps, valves, heat exchangers, controls, and dispensing equipment used for water and focuses on the residential, commercial and industrial markets under the Rule, Bell & Gossett, Flojet, Goulds Water Technology, Jabsco, and Lowara brands.…
Historical context
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Get the XYL recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T17:10:42.792934+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T17:10:42.789826+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.