Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold17 ratings
Bullish1058.8%
Neutral423.5%
Bearish317.7%
XPeng Inc. · XPEV · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
XPeng pairs stronger Q2 execution with ambitious robotics expansion
XPeng's Q2 execution strengthened the near-term automotive case, while robotics, ADAS, and international expansion create additional growth paths. The evidence is constructive, but the longer-term thesis depends on converting these initiatives into scalable, profitable businesses.
Why did XPEV fall 8.5% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q2?
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Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical
$10.09B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$-0.21
Consensus $-0.06
EPS surprise
-252.3%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$2.91B
Consensus $3.02B
Revenue surprise
-3.7%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-8.5%
Event window
SPY move
-0.3%
Same window
Abnormal move
-8.2%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
4.0×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-4.8%
Up to 20 sessions
XPEVSPY benchmark
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Why did XPEV fall 8.5% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q2?What changed in XPEV's guidance and outlook in FY2026 Q2?Give me the bull and bear case for XPEV after FY2026 Q2 earnings.
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, XPeng reported higher Q2 deliveries, improved gross margin, and a more concrete robotics financing and commercialization plan. International shipments also accelerated, while the company kept its forward outlook and added further detail on VLA 2.0's overseas rollout.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its forward outlook, including Q3 delivery and revenue-growth expectations, while outlining additional SUV launches and continued robotics and ADAS expansion.
Key takeaways
- Q2 vehicle deliveries rose 65% quarter over quarter to 103,295, while overseas shipments increased 81% year over year.
- Gross margin improved to 20.7% as premium SUVs and international growth supported the automotive business.
- The main new initiative is IRON humanoid-robot commercialization, backed by a reported $900 million financing round and a year-end 2026 mass-production target.
- VLA 2.0, European regulatory approval, and software and robotaxi revenue broaden the opportunity but add execution and regulatory dependencies.
Management priorities
- Scale IRON mass production and prepare for external commercial deployments.
- Launch the G9L and MONA L05 SUVs and sustain premium-vehicle growth.
- Expand VLA 2.0 ADAS internationally, including the European approval process.
- Build software, AI-services, subscription, and robotaxi revenue streams.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$10.17Current
$4.2Low
$22Average
$72High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 26, 2026 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Aug 26, 2026 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | May 29, 2026 |
| Freedom Capital Markets | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 19, 2025 |
| UBS | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Feb 24, 2025 |
| China Renaissance | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 11, 2024 |
| CLSA | Buy | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 8, 2023 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 28, 2023 |
| BOCOM International | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Jul 7, 2023 |
| Daiwa Capital | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 14, 2022 |
| Nomura Instinet | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 1, 2022 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $10.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $16 | $9.07 | +57.3% | Oct 23, 2026 |
| UBS | Paul Gong | $12 | $10.93 | +18.0% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $14 | $11.15 | +37.7% | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $13.78 | +47.5% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Alexious Lee | $25.2 | $16.44 | +147.8% | May 29, 2026 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $19 | $16.44 | +86.8% | May 28, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $17.84 | +67.2% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $26 | $20.9 | +155.7% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Roman Lukianchikov | $25 | $20.14 | +145.8% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $34 | $26.04 | +234.3% | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Tina Hou | $24 | $18.57 | +136.0% | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsaio | $28 | $19.23 | +175.3% | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Eunice Lee | $19 | $20.5 | +86.8% | May 22, 2025 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $24 | $22.25 | +136.0% | May 21, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $23.8 | +77.0% | Mar 19, 2025 |
| CMB International Securities | Ji Shi | $16 | $12.64 | +57.3% | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $17 | $12.88 | +67.2% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Jeff Chung | $14.6 | $12.72 | +43.6% | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Jeff Chung | $10.3 | $10.7 | +1.3% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $10 | $8.41 | -1.7% | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Jeff Chung | $7.6 | $6.77 | -25.3% | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $7 | $6.77 | -31.2% | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Daiwa | Kelvin Lau | $11 | $8.1 | +8.2% | May 23, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Eunice Lee | $12 | $8.77 | +18.0% | May 22, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $8 | $8.77 | -21.3% | May 22, 2024 |
| CFRA | Aaron Ho | $8 | $7.76 | -21.3% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| HSBC | Yuqian Ding | $18.7 | $8.52 | +83.9% | Mar 22, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $18 | $9.89 | +77.0% | Mar 19, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $18.7 | $21.89 | +83.9% | Jul 28, 2023 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $9 | $10.09 | -11.5% | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Daiwa | Analyst unavailable | $8 | $10.25 | -21.3% | Dec 14, 2022 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $10.47 | +47.5% | Dec 13, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $4.2 | $7.07 | -58.7% | Nov 28, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $13 | $7.76 | +27.8% | Nov 17, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $27.87 | $18.73 | +174.0% | Aug 24, 2022 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $22 | $18.73 | +116.3% | Aug 23, 2022 |
| Nomura | Martin Heung | $36.3 | $31.74 | +256.9% | Jul 1, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $51.59 | $28.17 | +407.3% | Jun 21, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $20.8 | +244.1% | May 24, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $20.59 | +195.0% | May 24, 2022 |
| US Tiger Securities | Bo Pei | $40 | $20.76 | +293.3% | May 24, 2022 |
| UBS | Paul Gong | $34 | $25.87 | +234.3% | Apr 18, 2022 |
| Bernstein | Eunice Lee | $56 | $46.24 | +450.6% | Oct 28, 2021 |
| Deutsche Bank | Edison Yu | $51 | $40.28 | +401.5% | Aug 27, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Bin Wang | $72 | $43.39 | +608.0% | Aug 2, 2021 |
Track every rating change on XPEV the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationOperating within the People's Republic of China, XPeng Inc. is an innovator in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, focusing on the creation and sale of intelligent, connected automobiles. It handles the entire process from conceptualization to market distribution. Its diverse lineup caters to various consumer needs, featuring SUV models like the G3 and G3i, the P7 performance-oriented sports sedan, and the P5, designed as a family-friendly sedan. Beyond manufacturing vehicles, XPeng supports its customers with a comprehensive ecosystem of services. These encompass sales and financial solutions (including contracts, leasing, and loan referrals), vehicle upkeep (maintenance and super charging), and a range of digital and convenience offerings such as insurance agency, ride-hailing, technical assistance, and music subscriptions. The company was established in 2015, with its headquarters located in Guangzhou, China.
Historical context
All XPEV earningsConsumer Cyclical peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB Airbnb, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +10.9% | -3.5% | Airbnb raises 2026 outlook as hotels and AI broaden growth |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FNFFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 20260.0% EPS+6.6% move
- MTDFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+3.6% EPS+4.8% move
- IAGFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+16.7% EPS+4.6% move
- GMABFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+55.6% EPS-4.3% move
- STEFY2027 Q2 · November 4, 2026+9.7% EPS+2.5% move
- IRMFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+4.6% EPS-11.1% move
Missed on EPS
- WPMFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-1.1% EPS+2.2% move
- CPTFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-27.2% EPS-3.1% move
- VMRKFY2026 Q3 · November 4, 2026-425.6% EPS+2.4% move
- NTRAFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-49.3% EPS-15.2% move
- TIGOFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-40.8% EPS+2.6% move
- UHALFY2027 Q2 · November 4, 2026-15.4% EPS-3.2% move
Get the XPEV recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-24T21:19:33.742982+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T09:30:51.004238+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T09:30:51.001518+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.