Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold17 ratings
Bullish1058.8%
Neutral423.5%
Bearish317.7%
XPeng Inc. · XPEV · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
XPeng pairs record growth with an ambitious AI and global expansion agenda
XPeng's latest call supports a constructive growth narrative built on new-model momentum, physical AI, partnerships, and international expansion, but the thesis remains conditional on commercialization, disciplined spending, and execution.
Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical
$8.93B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$-0.06
Consensus $-0.01
EPS surprise
-656.6%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$2.86B
Consensus $3.10B
Revenue surprise
-7.5%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-10.3%
Event window
SPY move
-0.9%
Same window
Abnormal move
-9.4%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
2.2×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-17.7%
Up to 20 sessions
XPEVSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about XPEV FY2025 Q3
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did XPEV fall 10.3% after missing EPS estimates in FY2025 Q3?What changed in XPEV's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q3?Give me the bull and bear case for XPEV after FY2025 Q3 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The latest discussion shifted the focus from near-term model launches toward a broader commercialization agenda spanning extended-range vehicles, physical AI, Robotaxi, humanoid robotics, overseas production, and technology licensing.
Guidance delta
Management's guidance sentiment was raised, with the outlook centered on continued product launches, delivery growth, technology licensing, and international expansion.
Key takeaways
- Management presented strong operating momentum alongside a broad pipeline of new vehicles and AI-related initiatives.
- The investment case increasingly depends on converting physical-AI development and partnerships into recurring commercial revenue.
- The market reaction was negative despite the confident operating narrative, highlighting a gap between execution ambitions and investor expectations.
Management priorities
- Scale the new vehicle pipeline, including extended-range and dual-energy products.
- Advance VLA 2.0, Robotaxi, and humanoid-robot programs toward commercialization.
- Expand localized production and deepen technology-licensing partnerships, including with Volkswagen.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$9.55Current
$4.2Low
$22.23Average
$72High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Aug 26, 2026 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | May 29, 2026 |
| Freedom Capital Markets | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 19, 2025 |
| UBS | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Feb 24, 2025 |
| China Renaissance | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 11, 2024 |
| CLSA | Buy | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 8, 2023 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 28, 2023 |
| BOCOM International | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Jul 7, 2023 |
| Daiwa Capital | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 14, 2022 |
| Nomura Instinet | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 1, 2022 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $9.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Paul Gong | $12 | $10.93 | +25.7% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $14 | $11.15 | +46.6% | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $13.78 | +57.1% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Alexious Lee | $25.2 | $16.44 | +163.9% | May 29, 2026 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $19 | $16.44 | +99.0% | May 28, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $17.84 | +78.0% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $26 | $20.9 | +172.3% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Roman Lukianchikov | $25 | $20.14 | +161.8% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $34 | $26.04 | +256.0% | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Tina Hou | $24 | $18.57 | +151.3% | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsaio | $28 | $19.23 | +193.2% | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Eunice Lee | $19 | $20.5 | +99.0% | May 22, 2025 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $24 | $22.25 | +151.3% | May 21, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $23.8 | +88.5% | Mar 19, 2025 |
| CMB International Securities | Ji Shi | $16 | $12.64 | +67.5% | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $17 | $12.88 | +78.0% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Jeff Chung | $14.6 | $12.72 | +52.9% | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Jeff Chung | $10.3 | $10.7 | +7.9% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Macquarie | Eugene Hsiao | $10 | $8.41 | +4.7% | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Jeff Chung | $7.6 | $6.77 | -20.4% | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $7 | $6.77 | -26.7% | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Daiwa | Kelvin Lau | $11 | $8.1 | +15.2% | May 23, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Eunice Lee | $12 | $8.77 | +25.7% | May 22, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $8 | $8.77 | -16.2% | May 22, 2024 |
| CFRA | Aaron Ho | $8 | $7.76 | -16.2% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| HSBC | Yuqian Ding | $18.7 | $8.52 | +95.8% | Mar 22, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $18 | $9.89 | +88.5% | Mar 19, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Tim Hsiao | $18.7 | $21.89 | +95.8% | Jul 28, 2023 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $9 | $10.09 | -5.8% | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Daiwa | Analyst unavailable | $8 | $10.25 | -16.2% | Dec 14, 2022 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $10.47 | +57.1% | Dec 13, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $4.2 | $7.07 | -56.0% | Nov 28, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $13 | $7.76 | +36.1% | Nov 17, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $27.87 | $18.73 | +191.8% | Aug 24, 2022 |
| Barclays | Jiong Shao | $22 | $18.73 | +130.4% | Aug 23, 2022 |
| Nomura | Martin Heung | $36.3 | $31.74 | +280.1% | Jul 1, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $51.59 | $28.17 | +440.2% | Jun 21, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $20.8 | +266.5% | May 24, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $20.59 | +214.1% | May 24, 2022 |
| US Tiger Securities | Bo Pei | $40 | $20.76 | +318.8% | May 24, 2022 |
| UBS | Paul Gong | $34 | $25.87 | +256.0% | Apr 18, 2022 |
| Bernstein | Eunice Lee | $56 | $46.24 | +486.4% | Oct 28, 2021 |
| Deutsche Bank | Edison Yu | $51 | $40.28 | +434.0% | Aug 27, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Bin Wang | $72 | $43.39 | +653.9% | Aug 2, 2021 |
Track every rating change on XPEV the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationOperating within the People's Republic of China, XPeng Inc. is an innovator in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, focusing on the creation and sale of intelligent, connected automobiles. It handles the entire process from conceptualization to market distribution. Its diverse lineup caters to various consumer needs, featuring SUV models like the G3 and G3i, the P7 performance-oriented sports sedan, and the P5, designed as a family-friendly sedan. Beyond manufacturing vehicles, XPeng supports its customers with a comprehensive ecosystem of services. These encompass sales and financial solutions (including contracts, leasing, and loan referrals), vehicle upkeep (maintenance and super charging), and a range of digital and convenience offerings such as insurance agency, ride-hailing, technical assistance, and music subscriptions. The company was established in 2015, with its headquarters located in Guangzhou, China.
Historical context
All XPEV earningsConsumer Cyclical peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | -3.0% | Darden reaffirms FY2027 outlook as brands deliver mixed comp growth |
| AZO AutoZone, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.6% | +3.3% | AutoZone pairs commercial momentum with an aggressive FY2027 expansion plan |
| LEN-B Lennar Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | — | — | Lennar: Efficiency Gains Offset Housing-Market Pressures |
| LEN Lennar Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | — | -4.1% | Lennar Holds Volume Guidance as Margins Improve Despite Housing Headwinds |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
Get the XPEV recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T17:30:44.062088+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T17:30:44.059048+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.