Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish1661.5%
Neutral830.8%
Bearish27.7%
Xcel Energy Inc. · XEL · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024
Xcel raises 2025 outlook as data-center demand lifts investment
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view of Xcel's growth trajectory: management raised the forward EPS outlook and tied investment to data-center demand, electrification, and clean-energy projects. The thesis depends on converting the pipeline into contracted load while controlling wildfire, regulatory, operating-cost, and financing risks.
Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities
$48.75B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$1.25
Consensus $1.26
EPS surprise
-0.8%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$3.64B
Consensus $3.93B
Revenue surprise
-7.2%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+6.0%
Event window
SPY move
-2.0%
Same window
Abnormal move
+7.9%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
2.0×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+8.6%
Up to 20 sessions
XELSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about XEL FY2024 Q3
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did XEL rise 6.0% after missing EPS estimates in FY2024 Q3?What changed in XEL's guidance and outlook in FY2024 Q3?Give me the bull and bear case for XEL after FY2024 Q3 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management moved from reaffirming 2024 guidance to introducing 2025 guidance of $3.75-$3.85, expanded the capital plan to $45 billion over five years, and described a larger approximately 9,000 MW data-center pipeline. The supplied analysis also identifies a $35 million one-time charge tied to disallowed replacement-power costs and says green-hydrogen projects are not currently funded.
Guidance delta
Management reaffirmed 2024 EPS guidance of $3.50-$3.60 and introduced 2025 EPS guidance of $3.75-$3.85, indicating a raised forward outlook in the supplied analysis.
Key takeaways
- Management introduced 2025 EPS guidance of $3.75-$3.85 while reaffirming 2024 guidance of $3.50-$3.60.
- The five-year capital plan totals $45 billion and emphasizes clean generation, electrification, load growth, and system reliability.
- A roughly 9,000 MW data-center pipeline is a major stated growth driver, with management expecting to secure about 25% of it over five years.
- Wildfire mitigation, insurance costs, regulatory approvals, and financing remain material execution considerations.
Management priorities
- Execute the $45 billion five-year capital investment plan.
- Secure data-center contracts covering about 25% of the 9,000 MW pipeline.
- Advance Colorado and Minnesota resource-plan and solicitation approvals.
- Continue wildfire mitigation across Colorado, Texas, and the Southwest.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$78.05Current
$58Low
$85.15Average
$101High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 21, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 16, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Mar 11, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jan 30, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 8, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 21, 2022 |
| CFRA | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jan 30, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Sep 30, 2019 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 5, 2018 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 26, 2016 |
| Baird | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 2, 2016 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 29, 2016 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Dec 17, 2014 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 2, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $78.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $89 | $76.78 | +14.0% | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $76.8 | +8.9% | Oct 21, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $76.54 | +10.2% | Oct 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $76.45 | +10.2% | Oct 20, 2026 |
| BTIG | Alex Kania | $91 | $75.14 | +16.6% | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Paul Zimbardo | $99 | $75.14 | +26.8% | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $85 | $75.36 | +8.9% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $74.64 | +11.5% | Oct 14, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Sophie Karp | $87 | $74.17 | +11.5% | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Ian Rapp | $77 | $69.39 | -1.3% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $72.53 | +6.3% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $79.14 | +12.7% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $99 | $78.69 | +26.8% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $78.23 | +17.9% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $79.83 | +17.9% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $90 | $79.17 | +15.3% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $101 | $80.37 | +29.4% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $98 | $81.75 | +25.6% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $89 | $80.86 | +14.0% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $78.81 | +16.6% | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $79.93 | +11.5% | May 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $77.92 | +17.9% | May 18, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $80.6 | +11.5% | May 12, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $96 | $82.26 | +23.0% | May 4, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $79.38 | +17.9% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $80.32 | +15.3% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Richard Sunderland | $95 | $80.32 | +21.7% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $91 | $81.72 | +16.6% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $91 | $81.08 | +16.6% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Gary Hovis | $86 | $81 | +10.2% | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $81.25 | +16.6% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $89 | $78.98 | +14.0% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $75.57 | +15.3% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $75.97 | +20.4% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Stephen D'Ambrisi | $95 | $74.44 | +21.7% | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $82 | $76.2 | +5.1% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdell | $86 | $73.72 | +10.2% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $81 | $73.73 | +3.8% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $84 | $74.77 | +7.6% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $84 | $79.66 | +7.6% | Nov 20, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $81.59 | +8.9% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $86 | $81.18 | +10.2% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdell | $87 | $80.96 | +11.5% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $80.88 | +10.2% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| BTIG | Alex Kania | $96 | $80.64 | +23.0% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $81.6 | +17.9% | Oct 16, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | James Thalacker | $87 | $80.98 | +11.5% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $80.85 | +8.9% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $84 | $81.26 | +7.6% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $81 | +17.9% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $79.28 | +3.8% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $82 | $77.25 | +5.1% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $84 | $77.25 | +7.6% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $77.25 | +6.3% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdell | $80 | $73.04 | +2.5% | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $78 | $69.21 | -0.1% | May 22, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Neil Kalton | $78 | $69 | -0.1% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $79 | $71.55 | +1.2% | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $73 | $71.39 | -6.5% | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $67 | $64.07 | -14.2% | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Paul Fremont | $70 | $64.17 | -10.3% | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Paul Zimbardo | $70 | $64.06 | -10.3% | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Marie Ferguson | $68 | $60.12 | -12.9% | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Paul Fremont | $64 | $52.43 | -18.0% | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $57 | $54.48 | -27.0% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | James Thalacker | $65 | $54.79 | -16.7% | Apr 29, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Sophie Karp | $65 | $53.76 | -16.7% | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $54 | $52.91 | -30.8% | Mar 11, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Steve Fleishman | $58 | $52.91 | -25.7% | Mar 11, 2024 |
| J.P. Morgan | Jeremy Tonet | $70 | $61.43 | -10.3% | Dec 4, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $63 | $67.14 | -19.3% | Nov 11, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Durgesh Chopra | $79 | $74.78 | +1.2% | May 16, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $79 | $74.88 | +1.2% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Nicholas Campanella | $80 | $74.88 | +2.5% | Apr 28, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $75.36 | -3.9% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Insoo Kim | $76 | $62.14 | -2.6% | Oct 12, 2021 |
Track every rating change on XEL the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationXcel Energy Inc., through its various operating units, functions as a multifaceted energy company involved in the complete cycle of electricity – from its production and procurement to its transmission, delivery, and eventual sale. Its business is organized into three main divisions: Regulated Electric Utility, Regulated Natural Gas Utility, and a final "All Other" segment. The company employs a diverse range of energy sources for electricity generation, including traditional options like coal, nuclear power, natural gas, and oil, as well as a strong focus on renewables such as hydroelectric, solar, biomass, wood/refuse, and wind. In addition to its electric services, Xcel Energy is active in the natural gas sector, managing the acquisition, pipeline transport, distribution, and retail sales of natural gas.…
Historical context
All XEL earningsUtilities peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCG PG&E Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -0.8% | -1.3% | PG&E Reaffirms Guidance While Seeking Credit and Policy Clarity |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FCNCAFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+8.2% move
- FCNCNFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+0.2% move
- FCNCOFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- FCNCPFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- RDYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026+24.0% EPS-0.2% move
- SLBFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+3.7% EPS+7.1% move
Missed on EPS
- INFYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026-4.8% EPS-6.6% move
- BBDFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-7.7% EPS+3.0% move
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
Get the XEL recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T22:50:44.117119+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T22:50:44.114316+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.