Wynn Resorts, Limited · WYNN · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Wynn’s Q3 shows operating resilience, with execution risks still in view

The quarter supports a resilient-demand narrative, but not an unqualified growth case: operating strength in Macau and event-led Las Vegas demand sit alongside gaming-hold volatility, labor uncertainty and execution exposure on major projects.

Why did WYNN fall 3.7% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $8.17B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.33 Consensus $0.53
EPS surprise -37.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.69B Consensus $1.75B
Revenue surprise -3.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -3.7% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
WYNNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter’s broadly solid operating picture, Q3 analysis describes a more mixed result: Las Vegas faced an unfavorable hold while Macau VIP hold contributed positively. Management also highlighted progress on Al Marjan Island and the Macau development pipeline, while the Boston labor issue remained an operating uncertainty.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained; it does not specify a quantified guidance revision.

Key takeaways

  • Management described event-driven demand, including F1, NFL and conventions, as supporting Las Vegas room performance; the analysis also notes unfavorable hold weighed on profitability.
  • Macau remained an important source of operating strength, with high-end performance and positive VIP hold noted in the supplied analysis.
  • Al Marjan Island is described as progressing toward its stated September 2027 opening, while the Enclave, theater and event-center projects remain part of the longer-term development agenda.
  • The board increased Wynn Macau’s interim dividend and the company repurchased shares, actions the analysis frames as reflecting confidence in cash generation.

Management priorities

  • Advance Al Marjan Island toward its planned opening, with phased handovers beginning in early 2027.
  • Complete Las Vegas renovation work, including the Encore Tower remodel and spa projects.
  • Continue the Enclave, theater and event-center developments in Macau.
  • Evaluate additional U.S. development opportunities while managing operating costs and capital commitments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WYNN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.12 Q4 '23 actual $1.91, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.27 Q1 '24 actual $1.59, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.14 Q2 '24 actual $1.12, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.17 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.20 Q2 '25 actual $1.09, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.15 Q3 '25 actual $0.86, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.33 Q4 '25 actual $1.17, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.25 Q1 '26 actual $1.25, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.99 Q2 '26 actual $1.24, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q3 '26 actual $0.33, miss Q4 '26 estimate $1.31 Q1 '27 estimate $1.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy46 ratings
Bullish3065.2%
Neutral1532.6%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$84.22Current
$91Low
$127.19Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $84.22. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialBarry Jonas$110$77.46 +30.6%Oct 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$77.47 +42.5%Oct 20, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$125$75.6 +48.4%Oct 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyStephen Grambling$120$75.6 +42.5%Oct 19, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$102$74.96 +21.1%Oct 13, 2026
See 67 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wynn Resorts, Limited excels in the conceptualization, development, and operation of upscale integrated resort properties. The Wynn Palace, situated in Cotai, boasts a gaming floor spanning 424,000 square feet, which includes 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, exclusive private gaming salons, and sky casinos. Accommodations are offered in a luxurious hotel tower featuring 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, complemented by a health club, spa, salon, and swimming pool. This location further provides 14 distinct food and beverage establishments, 107,000 square feet for retail, 37,000 square feet of conference and event space, alongside a performance lake and elaborate floral displays. The Wynn Macau resort presents a 252,000 square-foot casino housing 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a dedicated poker room. Its two opulent hotel towers collectively feature 1,010 guest rooms and suites, enhanced by two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a swimming pool.…

Historical context

All WYNN earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
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Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-06T06:07:03.830891+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T07:00:51.263704+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T07:00:51.261095+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.