Wynn Resorts, Limited · WYNN · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Wynn posts solid Q3 as Las Vegas gains offset remodel risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Las Vegas market-share gains, premium demand, Macau performance, and new resort development provide growth drivers, while remodel disruption, UAE execution and regulatory uncertainty, and reliance on favorable VIP hold temper confidence.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $8.01B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $1.15
EPS surprise -25.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.83B Consensus $1.77B
Revenue surprise +3.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.9% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.8% Up to 20 sessions
WYNNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes Las Vegas casino revenue growth and market-share gains, a strong Macau quarter aided by higher-than-normal VIP hold, progress on UAE developments, and the quantified room-night impact expected from the Encore Tower remodel.

Guidance delta

Not provided in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Las Vegas casino revenue growth and market-share gains supported EBITDA.
  • Macau adjusted EBITDAR benefited from higher-than-normal VIP hold.
  • Major projects continue, including the Encore Tower remodel and Wynn Al Marjan Island, while liquidity supports capex and shareholder returns.

Management priorities

  • Advance the Encore Tower remodel and property renovations.
  • Complete Wynn Al Marjan Island and develop Janu Al Marjan Island with Aman Group.
  • Maintain premium positioning across Las Vegas, Macau, and the UAE pipeline.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WYNN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.12 Q4 '23 actual $1.91, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.27 Q1 '24 actual $1.59, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.14 Q2 '24 actual $1.12, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.17 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.20 Q2 '25 actual $1.09, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.15 Q3 '25 actual $0.86, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.33 Q4 '25 actual $1.17, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.25 Q1 '26 actual $1.25, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.99 Q2 '26 actual $1.24, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.90 Q4 '26 estimate $1.31 Q1 '27 estimate $1.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy45 ratings
Bullish2964.5%
Neutral1533.3%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$77.17Previous close
$91Low
$130.28Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $77.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$138$87.5 +78.8%Sep 11, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$128$90.6 +65.9%Sep 2, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$143$97.6 +85.3%Aug 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$136$97.6 +76.2%Aug 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyStephen Grambling$128$94.37 +65.9%Jul 22, 2026
See 62 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wynn Resorts, Limited excels in the conceptualization, development, and operation of upscale integrated resort properties. The Wynn Palace, situated in Cotai, boasts a gaming floor spanning 424,000 square feet, which includes 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, exclusive private gaming salons, and sky casinos. Accommodations are offered in a luxurious hotel tower featuring 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, complemented by a health club, spa, salon, and swimming pool. This location further provides 14 distinct food and beverage establishments, 107,000 square feet for retail, 37,000 square feet of conference and event space, alongside a performance lake and elaborate floral displays. The Wynn Macau resort presents a 252,000 square-foot casino housing 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a dedicated poker room. Its two opulent hotel towers collectively feature 1,010 guest rooms and suites, enhanced by two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a swimming pool.…

Historical context

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Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T05:50:41.016253+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T05:50:41.013520+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.