W. R. Berkley Corporation · WRB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

W.R. Berkley: Strong Q3, capital flexibility offsets market risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient premium growth, disciplined underwriting, strong investment income and ample capital provide support, while catastrophe-market softening, liability inflation, competition and tariff exposure limit confidence in durability.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $25.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.10 Consensus $1.11
EPS surprise -0.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.77B Consensus $3.15B
Revenue surprise +19.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.1% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.3% Up to 20 sessions
WRBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes exceptional Q3 performance, a larger capital-return opportunity set and continued portfolio-duration extension. It also shifts the near-term watch list toward property-catastrophe market softening, social inflation and auto-liability exposure.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance was provided in the supplied current-quarter analysis. The prior-quarter analysis described guidance sentiment as lowered.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q3 performance as exceptional, with record premium growth and high profitability.
  • Underwriting remained disciplined, while investment income benefited from the fixed-maturity portfolio.
  • Significant excess capital gives management options for dividends, share repurchases or strategic moves, but no major acquisitions were planned.

Management priorities

  • Maintain focus on small/admitted and specialty market segments, including Berkley One and accident & health.
  • Continue a proactive capital-return program through dividends and share repurchases.
  • Extend fixed-maturity portfolio duration while monitoring property-catastrophe reinsurance conditions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WRB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.90 Q4 '23 actual $0.97, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.43 Q1 '24 actual $1.04, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $1.04, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.92 Q3 '24 actual $0.93, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.03 Q2 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.11 Q3 '25 actual $1.10, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.13 Q4 '25 actual $1.13, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.13 Q1 '26 actual $1.30, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.08 Q2 '26 actual $1.27, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.12 Q4 '26 estimate $1.21 Q1 '27 estimate $1.22 Q2 '27 estimate $1.19
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish723.3%
Neutral1756.7%
Bearish620.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$68.98Current
$53.36Low
$69.3Average
$89High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 16, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 21, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform NeutralDowngradeJul 16, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $68.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$77$75.61 +11.6%Jul 27, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$74$72.71 +7.3%Jul 21, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$70$72.71 +1.5%Jul 21, 2026
Atlantic EquitiesAnalyst unavailable$74$70.68 +7.3%Jul 15, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$68$72.02 -1.4%Jul 10, 2026
See 48 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

W. R. Berkley Corporation functions as an insurance holding company, primarily underwriting commercial policies across the United States and globally. Its extensive operations are divided into two principal divisions: Insurance, and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess. The Insurance segment delivers a wide spectrum of commercial insurance solutions. This includes foundational coverages such as general liability, property, commercial auto, and professional liability, alongside specialized offerings like workers' compensation, environmental policies for diverse businesses, directors and officers (D&O) liability, cyber risk protection, and niche policies for fine arts and jewelry.…

Historical context

All WRB earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T15:20:41.255192+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T15:20:41.252415+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.