Wells Fargo & Company · WFC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Wells Fargo: Growth Opens Up, but 2026 Trade-offs Rise

The quarter provides qualified support for the view that resilient demand and earnings growth can support Wells Fargo’s trajectory: management highlighted strong 2025 results, continued loan and deposit growth, fee expansion and efficiency gains. The counterweight is that 2026 growth depends on capital allocation, interest-rate conditions, credit quality and regulatory outcomes.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $250.90B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.62 Consensus $1.66
EPS surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $21.29B Consensus $21.65B
Revenue surprise -1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.6% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.3% Up to 20 sessions
WFCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The asset-cap removal now enables broader balance-sheet expansion, while management’s 2026 priorities emphasize organic growth, markets activity, technology and efficiency. Compared with the prior analysis, the capital trade-off is clearer: share repurchases are expected to be lower as capital supports growth, alongside continued scrutiny of net interest income, CET1 targets and commercial real estate.

Guidance delta

Management’s 2026 outlook is described as maintained, with mid-single-digit loan and deposit growth targeted and markets-related net interest income expected to increase. Share repurchases are expected to be lower as capital is redirected toward organic growth and balance-sheet expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 2025 as strong, with net income of $21.3 billion and diluted EPS up 17%.
  • Loan and deposit balances grew at double-digit percentages, while credit-card accounts increased by nearly 3 million during 2025.
  • The asset-cap removal supports further balance-sheet expansion, but lower 2026 repurchases reflect competing capital priorities.
  • The outlook combines continued growth investments with a 17–18% ROTCE target and ongoing efficiency efforts.

Management priorities

  • Pursue mid-single-digit loan and deposit growth through 2026.
  • Expand markets-related net interest income while managing margin pressure.
  • Continue branch refurbishments and digital account-opening initiatives.
  • Invest in technology, AI and automation to improve expense efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WFC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $20B Q4 '23 actual $20B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $20B Q1 '24 actual $21B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $20B Q2 '24 actual $21B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $20B Q3 '24 actual $32B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $21B Q2 '25 actual $21B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $21B Q3 '25 actual $21B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $22B Q4 '25 actual $21B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '26 actual $21B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $22B Q2 '26 actual $23B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $22B Q4 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '27 estimate $23B Q2 '27 estimate $23B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2846.7%
Neutral2846.7%
Bearish46.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.81Current
$47Low
$78.05Average
$125.5High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 15, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 15, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $80.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$92$85.29 +13.8%Jul 15, 2026
UBSErika Najarian$104$88.12 +28.7%Jul 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$93$82.62 +15.1%Jul 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$102$84.02 +26.2%Jun 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$98$79.9 +21.3%May 6, 2026
See 76 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The company’s financial products and services includes checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T21:50:58.774308+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T21:50:58.771572+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.