Wells Fargo & Company · WFC · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Wells Fargo: Asset-cap lift supports growth, capital returns and ROE goals

The call supports a constructive operating picture: asset-cap removal broadened balance-sheet growth, fee momentum and expense savings supported returns, and excess capital enabled shareholder distributions. The thesis remains contingent on net interest income, expense execution, credit quality and progress toward the ROE target.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $243.28B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.73 Consensus $1.55
EPS surprise +11.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $21.44B Consensus $21.15B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.1% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +7.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.9% Up to 20 sessions
WFCSPY benchmark

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What changed

The asset-cap lift unlocked broader balance-sheet growth and pushed assets above $2 trillion. Management also highlighted ongoing expense savings, investment-banking share gains and capital returns, while analysts focused on near-term NII, expenses, ROE execution and commercial-real-estate exposure.

Guidance delta

Maintained; analysts focused on the fourth-quarter net interest income ramp and full-year expenses.

Key takeaways

  • The asset-cap lift enabled balance-sheet expansion, with assets surpassing $2 trillion.
  • Revenue increased 5% year over year and net income rose 9%; investment-banking fees increased 25%.
  • Management cited $15 billion of gross expense savings since 2019 and a medium-term 17–18% ROE target.
  • More than $30 billion of excess capital supported share repurchases and dividend growth.
  • Credit quality remained strong, while commercial real estate and interest-rate sensitivity remained risks to monitor.

Management priorities

  • Continue balance-sheet expansion after the asset-cap lift.
  • Pursue top-five U.S. investment-banking market share.
  • Scale Wells Fargo Premier and deepen wealth-management relationships.
  • Refurbish more than half of the branch network by year-end.
  • Maintain share repurchases and dividend growth supported by excess capital.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WFC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $20B Q4 '23 actual $20B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $20B Q1 '24 actual $21B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $20B Q2 '24 actual $21B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $20B Q3 '24 actual $32B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $21B Q2 '25 actual $21B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $21B Q3 '25 actual $21B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $22B Q4 '25 actual $21B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '26 actual $21B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $22B Q2 '26 actual $23B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $22B Q4 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '27 estimate $23B Q2 '27 estimate $23B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2846.7%
Neutral2846.7%
Bearish46.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.45Current
$47Low
$77.94Average
$125.5High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 15, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 15, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $80.45. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$95$78.68 +18.1%Oct 1, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$92$85.29 +14.4%Jul 15, 2026
UBSErika Najarian$104$88.12 +29.3%Jul 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$93$82.62 +15.6%Jul 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$102$84.02 +26.8%Jun 29, 2026
See 77 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The company’s financial products and services includes checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services.…

Historical context

All WFC earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T03:26:08.135824+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T03:26:08.132833+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.