Welltower Inc. · WELL · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Welltower enters 2025 with strong occupancy and acquisition momentum

The supplied analysis supports a constructive, but not risk-free, view of Welltower's operating trajectory: strong occupancy, same-store NOI growth, acquisitions, and deleveraging provide evidence of durable demand and operating leverage, while labor, financing, expense, regulatory, and execution risks remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $171.01B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.40
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.19B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.2% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.4% Up to 20 sessions
WELLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the company reported stronger Q4 operating momentum, raised 2025 guidance, expanded its acquisition pipeline to $2 billion under contract, and reduced net debt/EBITDA to about 3.5x while continuing its technology-platform rollout.

Guidance delta

Raised: 2025 guidance calls for 9.25%–13% portfolio NOI growth and midpoint FFO of $4.87 per share.

Key takeaways

  • Record occupancy and 24% same-store NOI growth marked a strong Q4 2024.
  • Management highlighted $2 billion of 2025 acquisitions under contract across 27 transactions.
  • Operating and data-science platforms remain central to efficiency and margin expansion.
  • Net debt/EBITDA declined to about 3.5x, with $9 billion of liquidity available.

Management priorities

  • Close approximately $2 billion of early-2025 acquisitions and build regional density.
  • Roll out the end-to-end operating technology platform across the portfolio.
  • Expand private-funds management after regulatory clearance.
  • Maintain disciplined capex and pursue further capital-light transitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WELL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.94 Q4 '23 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.94 Q1 '24 actual $1.01, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.00 Q2 '24 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.04 Q3 '24 actual $1.11, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.22 Q2 '25 actual $1.28, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.30 Q3 '25 actual $1.34, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.59 Q4 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.68 Q1 '26 actual $1.02, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.62 Q2 '26 actual $0.61, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.64 Q4 '26 estimate $0.69 Q1 '27 estimate $0.71 Q2 '27 estimate $0.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2777.1%
Neutral822.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$237.32Current
$80Low
$186.68Average
$275High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $237.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$268$234.85 +12.9%Oct 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$246$230.29 +3.7%Oct 13, 2026
Evercore ISIJames Kammert$256$232.53 +7.9%Sep 21, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$275$234.29 +15.9%Sep 15, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$251$238.78 +5.8%Sep 2, 2026
See 64 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Welltower Inc. (NYSE:WELL), an S&P 500 company based in Toledo, Ohio, is a leader in reshaping healthcare infrastructure. This Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) strategically collaborates with premier operators in seniors housing, post-acute care, and health systems. Their core mission is to finance the vital property assets required to expand innovative care delivery models, thereby enhancing overall public wellness and healthcare experiences. Welltower's portfolio encompasses a variety of properties, including seniors housing, post-acute communities, and outpatient medical facilities, all situated primarily within key, rapidly growing markets across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.

Historical context

All WELL earnings

Real Estate peers this season

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CBRE CBRE Group, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +4.6% -2.5% CBRE: Infrastructure Growth Offsets Capital-Markets Headwinds

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-28T00:00:20.742579+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T05:00:42.306530+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T05:00:42.303769+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.