WEC Energy Group, Inc. · WEC · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

WEC raises 2026 guidance as data-center demand expands capital plan

WEC's Q3 update supports a constructive growth thesis: management linked higher investment and earnings expectations to large-customer demand and a projected increase in electric load. The evidence is promising but depends on regulatory approvals, project execution and customer concentration remaining manageable.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $37.35B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.18 Consensus $0.97
EPS surprise +21.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.29B Consensus $2.27B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.7% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.3% Up to 20 sessions
WECSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior quarter, management raised 2026 earnings guidance, increased the five-year capital plan to $47.5 billion and described a larger load opportunity. The capital-allocation approach also emphasizes cash returns from very large customers to keep total equity requirements roughly flat.

Guidance delta

Raised: 2026 earnings guidance increased to $5.60-$5.64 per share from the prior quarter's $5.51-$5.61 range.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 EPS was $1.18, and management raised 2026 earnings guidance to $5.60-$5.64 per share.
  • The five-year capital plan increased to $47.5 billion, supported by roughly 1 GW of added electric demand.
  • Management said cash returns from very large customer arrangements keep total equity requirements roughly flat at about $5.5 billion.
  • The plan emphasizes natural-gas generation, battery storage, renewables and transmission.

Management priorities

  • Advance generation, battery-storage, renewable and transmission investments.
  • Support new very large customer load, including Microsoft and Oracle-related demand.
  • Extend the Point Beach carbon-free base-load PPA and pursue additional load growth beyond 2031.
  • Execute Wisconsin and Illinois regulatory filings and environmental reviews.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WEC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $2B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1029.4%
Neutral2058.8%
Bearish411.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$116.2Current
$95Low
$115.67Average
$135High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 16, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $116.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCMeike Becker$106.5$108.5 -8.4%Oct 22, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$127$107 +9.3%Oct 20, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$109$107.7 -6.2%Oct 16, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$111$104.91 -4.5%Oct 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$114$109.68 -1.9%Aug 13, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

WEC Energy Group, Inc. is a major energy provider operating across the United States, delivering regulated natural gas and electricity, as well as both regulated and non-regulated renewable energy services. The company's operations are divided into six main business segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. Its electricity generation relies on a diverse portfolio of sources, including coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass. Beyond power generation, WEC Energy Group also provides electric transmission services, manages retail natural gas distribution, handles natural gas transportation, and is involved in the production, distribution, and sale of steam.…

Historical context

All WEC earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T14:18:35.789300+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T15:00:44.413011+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T15:00:44.409880+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.