Western Digital Corporation · WDC · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026

Western Digital pairs strong FY27 Q1 growth with an accelerated HDD roadmap

The current analysis supports the view that strong earnings growth and resilient AI, cloud, and hyperscale demand can support Western Digital's outlook over the next year. The main test is whether pricing, product-transition execution, and cost-per-terabyte improvements persist while input costs and competitive capacity rise.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $132.58B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.64 Consensus $4.11
EPS surprise +12.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.38B Consensus $4.14B
Revenue surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -6.4% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -5.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
WDCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the current analysis shows a faster product-transition cadence: 40TB ePMR is expected to reach approximately 30% of nearline volume by fiscal Q2 and approximately 50% by fiscal Q3 2027, while first-generation HAMR moves toward volume shipments in the first half of calendar 2027. Management also highlighted 55% year-over-year revenue growth, 58% gross margin, 49% operating margin, and $1.4B of free cash flow for the quarter.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was raised; the analysis cites Q2 revenue guidance of $5.1B and continued margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 55% year over year to $4.4B, while EPS rose 161%; free cash flow was $1.4B.
  • AI, cloud, hyperscale, and neocloud demand supported higher exabyte shipments and a 28% increase in average price per terabyte.
  • The 40TB ePMR ramp and first-generation HAMR shipments are central to the next phase of capacity and margin expansion.

Management priorities

  • Ramp 40TB ePMR drives toward approximately 50% of nearline volume by fiscal Q3 2027.
  • Begin volume shipments of first-generation HAMR drives in the first half of calendar 2027 and qualify additional customers.
  • Invest in head and media research and development and factory automation while commercializing high-bandwidth HDDs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WDC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $-1.13 Q2 '24 actual $-0.69, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.22 Q3 '24 actual $0.63, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.18 Q4 '24 actual $1.44, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.72 Q1 '25 actual $1.78, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.48 Q4 '25 actual $1.66, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.59 Q1 '26 actual $1.78, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.93 Q2 '26 actual $2.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.39 Q3 '26 actual $2.72, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.31 Q4 '26 actual $3.56, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4.08 Q2 '27 estimate $4.84 Q3 '27 estimate $5.66 Q4 '27 estimate $6.55
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy59 ratings
Bullish4372.9%
Neutral1525.4%
Bearish11.7%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$354.19Current
$50Low
$311.02Average
$1,050High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $354.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$615$354.19 +73.6%Oct 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$643$352.21 +81.5%Oct 20, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$450$356.45 +27.1%Oct 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$470$397.28 +32.7%Oct 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$676$460.47 +90.9%Aug 6, 2026
See 114 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Western Digital Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets a broad range of data storage devices and software solutions across the United States, China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the rest of Asia, serving an international market. The company's product lineup includes client devices such as hard disk drives (HDDs) and solid-state drives (SSDs) for computing platforms like desktops, notebooks, smart video systems, gaming consoles, and set-top boxes. They also provide flash-based embedded storage solutions for mobile phones, tablets, laptops, and various portable and wearable technologies, extending into automotive, Internet of Things (IoT), industrial, and connected home applications. Additionally, Western Digital produces flash-based memory wafers.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-23T01:03:01.331651+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-23T01:23:12.835668+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T01:40:41.615725+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T01:40:41.612914+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.