Western Digital Corporation · WDC · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

Western Digital: Strong Q2, Higher Margins and Hyperscale Visibility

The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating thesis: strong cloud and AI-related storage demand, higher-capacity product adoption, and long-term hyperscale agreements are paired with raised guidance. The thesis remains dependent on margin durability, HAMR execution, supply availability, and customer concentration.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $156.31B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.13 Consensus $1.93
EPS surprise +10.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.02B Consensus $2.93B
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -10.1% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -9.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.9% Up to 20 sessions
WDCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised. The supplied analysis also adds long-term agreements through 2028, next-generation HAMR and ePMR qualification plans, and strategic initiatives involving Qolab and laser IP.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was raised, with next-quarter gross-margin guidance of 47–48% and revenue guidance of $3.2 billion in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and EPS topped the high end of guidance, supported by cloud demand and higher-capacity drives.
  • Long-term purchase agreements with the top seven hyperscale customers extend through 2028.
  • Management highlighted HAMR and ePMR qualification, UltraSMR expansion, and continued shareholder returns.

Management priorities

  • Scale higher-capacity ePMR, UltraSMR, and HAMR products.
  • Expand UltraSMR-enabled JBOD platforms and qualify next-generation drives.
  • Continue capital returns while pursuing laser IP and Qolab initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WDC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $4B Q4 '24 actual $4B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $4B Q1 '25 actual $4B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $5B Q3 '27 estimate $5B Q4 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy59 ratings
Bullish4372.9%
Neutral1525.4%
Bearish11.7%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$453.48Previous close
$50Low
$299.61Average
$1,050High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 10, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $453.48. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$676$460.47 +49.1%Aug 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$630$466.24 +38.9%Aug 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$590$519.17 +30.1%Aug 6, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$525$519.17 +15.8%Aug 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$560$558.36 +23.5%Jul 13, 2026
See 110 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Western Digital Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets a broad range of data storage devices and software solutions across the United States, China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the rest of Asia, serving an international market. The company's product lineup includes client devices such as hard disk drives (HDDs) and solid-state drives (SSDs) for computing platforms like desktops, notebooks, smart video systems, gaming consoles, and set-top boxes. They also provide flash-based embedded storage solutions for mobile phones, tablets, laptops, and various portable and wearable technologies, extending into automotive, Internet of Things (IoT), industrial, and connected home applications. Additionally, Western Digital produces flash-based memory wafers.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T07:56:07.224725+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T07:56:07.221880+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.