Ventas, Inc. · VTR · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Ventas: Senior-housing momentum and acquisitions strengthen outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis for Ventas: senior-housing demand, improving occupancy, operating leverage, and acquisitions are supporting growth. The thesis is conditional on continued demand, disciplined execution, favorable financing, and no meaningful return of new supply.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $44.84B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.80 Consensus $0.80
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.24B Consensus $1.23B
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move +0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.2% Up to 20 sessions
VTRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the acquisition program accelerated to $1.7 billion of senior-housing investments closed or under contract, while management again raised its 2024 outlook. The latest analysis also emphasized operating leverage, the OI platform, and Zero Lost Revenue Days as contributors to performance; Brookdale, supply, and financing conditions remain key areas to monitor.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2024 normalized FFO and SHOP NOI expectations for the third time this year.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q3 performance as stronger than expected, with 7% year-over-year FFO growth and double-digit senior-housing NOI expansion.
  • Senior-housing investments closed or under contract reached $1.7 billion in Q3, with management citing 7%–8% year-one NOI yields.
  • Higher occupancy, pricing, and operating leverage supported margin expansion.
  • The OI platform and Zero Lost Revenue Days initiative were highlighted as tools for improving pricing, capex efficiency, digital marketing, and occupancy.

Management priorities

  • Continue acquiring high-quality senior-housing assets, with a goal of having more than 50% of the total portfolio in senior housing by year-end.
  • Expand Zero Lost Revenue Days to more communities.
  • Use the OI platform to improve pricing, capex efficiency, and digital marketing.
  • Evaluate additional conversions of Triple-Net leases to SHOP format.
  • Focus on U.S. and Canadian markets with favorable affordability and demographic conditions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VTR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.74 Q1 '24 actual $0.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.79 Q2 '24 actual $0.80, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.80 Q3 '24 actual $0.80, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.85 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.87 Q3 '25 actual $0.88, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.10 Q4 '25 actual $0.15, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.12 Q1 '26 actual $0.11, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.14 Q2 '26 actual $0.14, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.16 Q4 '26 estimate $0.19 Q1 '27 estimate $0.19
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish1858.1%
Neutral1238.7%
Bearish13.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$87.42Previous close
$51Low
$83.35Average
$110High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 2, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainMay 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 11, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 4, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 22, 2025
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 15, 2025
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 14, 2025
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeJan 17, 2025
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 16, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 12, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2022
SMBC Nikko Neutral OutperformDowngradeNov 22, 2021
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeOct 30, 2019
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeOct 30, 2019
Capital One Financial Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeOct 28, 2019
Capital One Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeOct 28, 2019
Bank of America Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 10, 2018
Goldman Sachs Sell NeutralDowngradeMar 15, 2017
Hilliard Lyons Neutral UnderperformUpgradeNov 11, 2016
Macquarie Neutral UnderperformUpgradeFeb 21, 2013
Morgan Keegan Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 21, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $87.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoJohn Kilichowski$96$85.86 +9.8%Oct 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$91$83.54 +4.1%Oct 13, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$100$87.22 +14.4%Sep 21, 2026
JefferiesJoe Dickstein$102$89.1 +16.7%Sep 15, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$104$91.18 +19.0%Sep 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$102$91.8 +16.7%Aug 31, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$107$91.91 +22.4%Aug 11, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$102$92.15 +16.7%Jul 31, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$104$97.62 +19.0%Jul 22, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$99$92.21 +13.2%Jul 7, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$88$81.18 +0.7%Jun 18, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$94$83.89 +7.5%Jun 16, 2026
Deutsche BankOmotayo Okusanya$100$83.46 +14.4%Jun 16, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhotra$98$88 +12.1%May 22, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$95$88.28 +8.7%May 21, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$110$88.14 +25.8%May 19, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$100$88.53 +14.4%May 12, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$95$85.34 +8.7%May 7, 2026
BMO CapitalJuan Sanabria$100$88.04 +14.4%May 4, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$98$88.02 +12.1%May 4, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$93$88.02 +6.4%May 4, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$95$87.25 +8.7%Apr 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$90$85.25 +3.0%Feb 13, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$88$83.38 +0.7%Feb 10, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$91$82.79 +4.1%Feb 10, 2026
Goldman SachsJulien Blouin$100$82.75 +14.4%Feb 9, 2026
UBSMichael Goldsmith$85$83.12 -2.8%Feb 9, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$94$75.08 +7.5%Jan 9, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$93$75.4 +6.4%Jan 5, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$93$78.7 +6.4%Dec 15, 2025
KeyBancAustin Wurschmidt$85$80 -2.8%Dec 4, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$88$79.76 +0.7%Nov 25, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$85$73.76 -2.8%Oct 31, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$80$71.5 -8.5%Oct 21, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$77$69.99 -11.9%Oct 1, 2025
UBSMichael Goldsmith$73$67.18 -16.5%Sep 19, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$74$67.54 -15.4%Aug 28, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$78$67.79 -10.8%Aug 22, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$75$67.87 -14.2%Mar 7, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$72$69.18 -17.6%Feb 28, 2025
Evercore ISIJames Kammert$70$64.91 -19.9%Sep 16, 2024
WedbushRichard Anderson$71$64.16 -18.8%Sep 10, 2024
Evercore ISIJames Kammert$64$60.28 -26.8%Aug 28, 2024
RBC CapitalMichael Carroll$63$59.1 -27.9%Aug 9, 2024
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$59$58.56 -32.5%Aug 7, 2024
Evercore ISIJames Kammert$56$52.64 -35.9%Jul 15, 2024
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$52.5$52.69 -39.9%Jul 11, 2024
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$52$49.59 -40.5%Jun 12, 2024
RBC CapitalMichael Carroll$52$47.14 -40.5%May 7, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$51$47.05 -41.7%May 7, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$50$42.77 -42.8%Mar 18, 2024
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$56$44.29 -35.9%Nov 23, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$54$48.26 -38.2%Aug 31, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$55$47.55 -37.1%Aug 31, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$60$52.43 -31.4%Jul 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$52$50.74 -40.5%Jul 15, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$65$50.25 -25.6%Jul 13, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$61$51.43 -30.2%Jul 1, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$59$56.74 -32.5%Jun 1, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$63$56.09 -27.9%May 20, 2022
Deutsche BankDerek Johnston$64$51.56 -26.8%Feb 17, 2022
Credit SuisseOmotayo Okusanya$53$52.03 -39.4%Feb 1, 2022
Robert W. BairdDave Rodgers$60$50.93 -31.4%Jan 26, 2022
CitigroupNicholas Joseph$63$46.96 -27.9%Dec 14, 2021
SMBC NikkoRichard Anderson$55$49.51 -37.1%Nov 22, 2021
Capital One FinancialDaniel Bernstein$65$55.75 -25.6%Jun 30, 2021
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$63$55.75 -27.9%Jun 30, 2021
KeyBancJordan Sadler$65$56.06 -25.6%Jun 29, 2021
Stifel NicolausSteve Manaker$57$56.19 -34.8%Jun 28, 2021
BarclaysSteven Valiquette$67$56.27 -23.4%Jun 11, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ventas, Inc. is an S&P 500 company enabling exceptional environments that benefit a large and growing aging population. With approximately 1,450 properties in North America and the United Kingdom, Ventas occupies an essential role in the longevity economy. The Company’s growth is fueled by its more than 900 senior housing communities, which provide valuable services to residents and enable them to thrive in supported environments. Ventas aims to deliver outsized performance by leveraging its operational expertise, data-driven insights from its Ventas OITM platform, extensive relationships and strong financial position. The Ventas portfolio also includes outpatient medical buildings, research centers and healthcare facilities. Ventas, Inc. is based in Illinois, Chicago. Ventas, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 in Maryland.

Historical context

All VTR earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T03:30:45.272827+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T03:30:45.270028+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.