Verisk Analytics, Inc. · VRSK · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Verisk: Subscription growth strengthened while transactional revenue declined

The quarter supports a more recurring-growth profile as subscription revenue expanded and reached 82% of revenue, but the evidence is mixed: transactional revenue declined and the outlook remains exposed to insurance-cycle, catastrophe, and auto-shopping risks.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $23.12B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.67 Consensus $1.60
EPS surprise +4.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $725.3M Consensus $722.2M
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.5% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.9% Up to 20 sessions
VRSKSPY benchmark

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What changed

Subscription growth accelerated to 9.1% from the prior analysis's 8.3%, while subscription mix increased from 81% to 82% of revenue. Transactional revenue declined 2.5%, compared with a 3% decline in the prior analysis. Management continued to emphasize product launches, AI tools, international expansion, and selective acquisitions.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2024 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance was unchanged; margins were expected at 54%-55%.

Key takeaways

  • Subscription revenue grew 9.1% and reached 82% of total revenue.
  • Transactional revenue declined 2.5% year over year, primarily from contract conversions.
  • Management maintained 2024 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance.
  • New products and AI tools are intended to support cross-sell and upsell opportunities.
  • Premium-cycle changes, catastrophe losses, and auto-shopping activity remain key watch items.

Management priorities

  • Complete the Core Lines Reimagine rollout and expand it to remaining lines.
  • Broaden Future of Forms to additional policy lines and update business-owner policy offerings.
  • Continue developing and deploying generative-AI tools across claims, underwriting, and premium audit.
  • Expand international life, health, travel, and Canadian operations.
  • Pursue selective acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VRSK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.44 Q4 '23 actual $1.40, miss Q1 '24 estimate $1.53 Q1 '24 actual $1.63, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.64 Q2 '24 actual $1.74, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.60 Q3 '24 actual $1.67, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.78 Q2 '25 actual $1.88, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.70 Q3 '25 actual $1.72, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.61 Q4 '25 actual $1.82, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.74 Q1 '26 actual $1.82, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.93 Q2 '26 actual $1.98, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.93 Q4 '26 estimate $1.98 Q1 '27 estimate $2.06
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish936.0%
Neutral1560.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$177.63Previous close
$185Low
$249.72Average
$334High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainJul 30, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJul 23, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $177.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$225$185.79 +26.7%Sep 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$228$201.43 +28.4%Jul 30, 2026
UBSAlex Kramm$235$200.71 +32.3%Jul 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdJeffrey Meuler$247$200.18 +39.1%Jul 30, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$223$201.34 +25.5%Jul 30, 2026
See 39 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Verisk Analytics, Inc. is a global leader in providing advanced data analytics. It offers predictive insights and decision-making tools to a diverse clientele across numerous sectors. These include risk assessment (such as rating, underwriting, and claims), catastrophe and weather risk management, global risk analytics, natural resource intelligence, economic forecasting, commercial banking, finance, and many other specialized areas. The company's operations are organized into three primary divisions: Insurance, Energy and Specialized Markets, and Financial Services. Within the Insurance segment, Verisk assists property and casualty insurers by focusing on anticipating potential losses, accurately selecting and pricing risks, and ensuring regulatory compliance. This division develops sophisticated machine learning and artificial intelligence models to predict various scenarios and generate both standard and tailored analytics.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T06:00:42.426999+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T06:00:42.424242+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.