Verisk Analytics, Inc. · VRSK · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Verisk: Subscription growth offsets transactional revenue decline

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view of Verisk's earnings trajectory: subscription expansion, renewals, pricing realization, and product investment supported growth and margin expansion, while transactional volatility and regulatory and execution risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $25.49B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.74 Consensus $1.64
EPS surprise +6.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $716.8M Consensus $722.4M
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -8.5% Event window
SPY move +1.6% Same window
Abnormal move -10.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.7% Up to 20 sessions
VRSKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, subscription growth remained the central driver, rising to 8.3% organically and 81% of revenue, while transactional revenue fell 3%. The company added or emphasized the ISO Experience Index, Liability Navigator, ClaimSearch partnerships, and roof analytics; full-year guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year 2024 guidance: revenue of $2.84 billion to $2.90 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $1.54 billion to $1.60 billion, and EPS of $6.30 to $6.60.

Key takeaways

  • Subscription revenue grew 8.3% organically and represented 81% of total revenue, while transactional revenue declined 3%.
  • Adjusted EPS increased 15% and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 55.4%.
  • Management highlighted the ISO Experience Index, Liability Navigator, ClaimSearch partnerships, and new roof analytics as product and growth initiatives.
  • The main watchpoints are weather-driven claim volatility, regulatory scrutiny, premium-growth moderation, and execution during accelerated hiring.

Management priorities

  • Extend the ISO Experience Index to additional insurance lines.
  • Broaden the White Space platform ecosystem and add ClaimSearch partners.
  • Deploy roof analytics and wildfire-risk solutions, while continuing investment in AI-driven fraud detection and real-time data automation.
  • Pursue opportunistic M&A focused on distinctive data and analytics businesses.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VRSK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.44 Q4 '23 actual $1.40, miss Q1 '24 estimate $1.53 Q1 '24 actual $1.63, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.64 Q2 '24 actual $1.74, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.60 Q3 '24 actual $1.67, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.78 Q2 '25 actual $1.88, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.70 Q3 '25 actual $1.72, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.61 Q4 '25 actual $1.82, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.74 Q1 '26 actual $1.82, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.93 Q2 '26 actual $1.98, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.92 Q4 '26 estimate $1.98 Q1 '27 estimate $2.06
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish1040.0%
Neutral1456.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$195.88Current
$185Low
$248.97Average
$334High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 13, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 13, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $195.88. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalJeffrey Silber$217$178.17 +10.8%Oct 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$225$185.79 +14.9%Sep 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$228$201.43 +16.4%Jul 30, 2026
UBSAlex Kramm$235$200.71 +20.0%Jul 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdJeffrey Meuler$247$200.18 +26.1%Jul 30, 2026
See 40 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Verisk Analytics, Inc. is a global leader in providing advanced data analytics. It offers predictive insights and decision-making tools to a diverse clientele across numerous sectors. These include risk assessment (such as rating, underwriting, and claims), catastrophe and weather risk management, global risk analytics, natural resource intelligence, economic forecasting, commercial banking, finance, and many other specialized areas. The company's operations are organized into three primary divisions: Insurance, Energy and Specialized Markets, and Financial Services. Within the Insurance segment, Verisk assists property and casualty insurers by focusing on anticipating potential losses, accurately selecting and pricing risks, and ensuring regulatory compliance. This division develops sophisticated machine learning and artificial intelligence models to predict various scenarios and generate both standard and tailored analytics.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T10:50:42.458510+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T10:50:42.455514+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.