Vulcan Materials Company · VMC · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Vulcan pairs 5% EBITDA growth with acquisitions and pricing

Vulcan's Q3 analysis points to resilient earnings execution through pricing, cost controls and acquisitions despite energy headwinds and muted residential demand. The outlook depends on infrastructure and non-residential projects converting into volume while 2027 pricing offsets cost pressure.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $34.34B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.81
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.24B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.8% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
VMCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q3 adjusted EBITDA increased 5% year over year to $707 million, while energy headwinds totaled about $40 million. Vulcan completed three bolt-on aggregate acquisitions and said 2027 aggregate pricing could rise at a mid- to high-single-digit rate.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management expects 2027 aggregate pricing to increase at a mid- to high-single-digit percentage rate; no broader guidance change was supplied in the analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 5% year over year despite roughly $40 million of Q3 energy headwinds.
  • Margin expanded 20 basis points to 32.3%, and cash gross profit per ton rose modestly.
  • Three bolt-on acquisitions expanded the footprint across Texas, Tennessee, Colorado and Ohio.
  • Management cited infrastructure and large non-residential projects as demand supports.
  • The company returned $950 million through dividends and share repurchases, according to the analysis.

Management priorities

  • Complete additional bolt-on aggregate acquisitions before year-end.
  • Implement January 1 price increases and mid-year adjustments.
  • Continue maintenance and growth capex, dividend growth and share repurchases.
  • Use the Vulcan Way of Operating to control costs and improve efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VMC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2468.6%
Neutral1028.6%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$280.31Current
$180Low
$275Average
$360High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 28, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 16, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 9, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $280.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesPatrick Tyler Brown$308$257.9 +9.9%Oct 16, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$256$244.03 -8.7%Oct 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$326$244.13 +16.3%Oct 8, 2026
Truist FinancialKeith Hughes$320$243.06 +14.2%Oct 5, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$249$243.06 -11.2%Oct 5, 2026
See 47 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Vulcan Materials Company, alongside its affiliated entities, stands as a prominent producer and distributor of construction aggregates, primarily operating within the United States. The company's activities are organized into four distinct divisions: Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete, and Calcium. The Aggregates division focuses on providing essential materials like crushed stone, sand, gravel, and other foundational aggregates, along with related services. These products are vital for building and maintaining highways, public infrastructure, residential properties, and various commercial, industrial, and other non-residential structures.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T19:10:50.010084+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-29T01:23:20.584741+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-29T22:50:41.690276+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-29T22:50:41.687572+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.