VICI Properties Inc. · VICI · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

VICI pairs modest guidance growth with broader experiential expansion

The latest call supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient experiential demand and disciplined capital deployment can extend growth, but the thesis depends on executing new projects while preserving tenant and credit quality.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $26.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.48 Consensus $0.71
EPS surprise -32.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.06B Consensus $1.04B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.0% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -4.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.1% Up to 20 sessions
VICISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The growth narrative broadened from primarily gaming and domestic investments to include VICI’s first Caribbean property, additional build-to-suit activity, and potential sports-infrastructure financing. Management continued to favor accretive capital deployment and relationship expansion over share repurchases.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026 AFFO guidance modestly, with the increase concentrated at the low end.

Key takeaways

  • The quarter extended VICI’s capital-deployment strategy into a new Caribbean build-to-suit opportunity.
  • Management highlighted new tenant relationships and continued strength in Las Vegas conventions, sports, and entertainment.
  • The growth case rests on accretive investments and partnership models rather than share repurchases.
  • The main counterweights are execution risk, tenant and regulatory exposure, and uncertainty around regional gaming valuations.

Management priorities

  • Deploy capital into accretive experiential real estate investments.
  • Expand build-to-suit and partnership models with existing and new tenants.
  • Develop opportunities tied to Las Vegas sports and entertainment infrastructure.
  • Broaden the platform internationally while maintaining tenant and credit discipline.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VICI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.66 Q1 '24 actual $0.57, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.68 Q2 '24 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.67 Q3 '24 actual $0.70, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.60 Q2 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.59 Q3 '25 actual $0.71, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.70 Q4 '25 actual $0.57, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.71 Q1 '26 actual $0.82, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.71 Q2 '26 actual $0.48, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.72 Q4 '26 estimate $0.72 Q1 '27 estimate $0.74
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish2076.9%
Neutral623.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$23.88Current
$26Low
$33.27Average
$40High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 15, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 2, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 1, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJun 18, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 2, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainNov 28, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 31, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 10, 2025
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2025
Citizens Capital Markets Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainFeb 24, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJan 27, 2025
Wedbush Outperform NeutralUpgradeJan 2, 2025
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainDec 13, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeJul 5, 2023
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 6, 2023
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 22, 2023
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainMay 3, 2021
Nomura Instinet Buy BuyMaintainJun 25, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainJun 25, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2020
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainApr 7, 2020
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 15, 2018
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 15, 2018
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $23.88. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$30$23.9 +25.7%Sep 21, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$29$25.04 +21.5%Sep 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$27$25.54 +13.1%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$26$25.65 +8.9%Sep 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$29$26.36 +21.5%Aug 13, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$30$26.24 +25.7%Jul 31, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$32$26.22 +34.0%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$31$26.58 +29.8%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$27$26.28 +13.1%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$31$26.77 +29.8%Jul 8, 2026
RBC CapitalBrad Heffern$29$26.73 +21.5%Jun 25, 2026
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$29$26.8 +21.5%Jun 18, 2026
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$32$28.92 +34.0%May 12, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$31$28.46 +29.8%May 4, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$34$28.8 +42.4%Apr 21, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$34$29.5 +42.4%Mar 9, 2026
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$30$27.68 +25.7%Jan 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$33$27.86 +38.2%Jan 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$30$28.31 +25.7%Dec 17, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$33$28.45 +38.2%Dec 3, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$32$28.82 +34.0%Dec 1, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$35$30.22 +46.6%Nov 6, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$37$30.86 +55.0%Oct 20, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$37$32.61 +55.0%Oct 1, 2025
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$36$33.39 +50.8%Aug 28, 2025
JMP SecuritiesMitch Germain$35$32.75 +46.6%Jul 22, 2025
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$34.25$31.88 +43.5%Mar 27, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$36$28.21 +50.8%Jan 10, 2025
WedbushRichard Anderson$33$28.79 +38.2%Jan 2, 2025
Wells FargoJohn Kilichowski$36$33.31 +50.8%Oct 1, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$36$33.15 +50.8%Aug 28, 2024
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$32$33.01 +34.0%Dec 16, 2022
Truist FinancialBarry Jonas$40$34.19 +67.5%Jul 30, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$38$31.31 +59.2%Jul 8, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$39$29.38 +63.4%May 19, 2022
CBREJohn DeCree$35$27.48 +46.6%Dec 7, 2021
JefferiesDavid Katz$38$29.39 +59.2%Oct 17, 2021
KeyBancTodd Thomas$33$28.77 +38.2%Oct 6, 2021
Capital One FinancialNeil Malkin$37$30.19 +55.0%Sep 1, 2021
Evercore ISIRichard Hightower$34$29.13 +42.4%Aug 3, 2021
Raymond JamesRJ Milligan$36$30.29 +50.8%Jun 4, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesShaun Kelley$36$30.2 +50.8%May 4, 2021
Goldman SachsStephen Grambling$34$30.54 +42.4%May 3, 2021
Ladenburg Thalmann & Co.John Massocca$33.5$29.45 +40.3%Apr 26, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

VICI Properties functions as a specialized real estate investment trust dedicated to experiential properties. The company boasts an extensive collection of premier gaming, hospitality, and entertainment venues, notably including the globally recognized Caesars Palace. Its diverse and nationally distributed portfolio encompasses 29 gaming facilities, spanning over 48 million square feet. These sites collectively feature approximately 19,200 hotel rooms and more than 200 distinct dining, bar, and nightlife establishments. VICI's assets are leased to leading operators in the gaming and hospitality sectors, such as Caesars Entertainment, Century Casinos, Hard Rock International, JACK Entertainment, and Penn National Gaming. Beyond its core properties, VICI also holds four championship golf courses and possesses 34 acres of undeveloped land strategically located adjacent to the Las Vegas Strip. The company's fundamental objective is to cultivate the United States' most valuable and high-performing experiential real estate portfolio.

Historical context

All VICI earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T17:10:33.276600+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T14:30:54.383539+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T14:30:54.380818+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.