United Rentals, Inc. · URI · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

United Rentals Q2: Record Revenue, Raised Guidance, and a Possible Investment-Grade Upgrade

United Rentals extended its record-breaking streak in Q2 2026, with revenue, rental revenue, EBITDA, and EPS all reaching new highs. A 12% revenue increase to $4.4 billion and 22% adjusted EPS growth to $12.76 were driven by robust demand from large-project construction, power, infrastructure, and specialty segments. Management raised full-year guidance for the second consecutive quarter, increased CapEx to expand fleet amid record time utilization, and highlighted a potential investment-grade credit upgrade from S&P. The market responded decisively, with the stock posting an abnormal return of over 11% on volume 2.6 times baseline, though a subsequent drift of roughly -4.5% indicates some profit-taking. The combination of accelerating rental revenue growth, disciplined capital allocation, and an improving credit profile underscores a company executing well in a demand-rich environment.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $67.92B market cap
80quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

United Rentals, Inc., founded in 1997 and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, functions as a prominent equipment rental firm through its various subsidiaries. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: General Rentals and Specialty. The General Rentals segment offers a broad selection of construction and industrial machinery, including heavy equipment like backhoes, skid-steer loaders, earthmoving machinery, and forklifts, alongside aerial work platforms such as boom and scissor lifts. This division also provides general tools and lighter equipment, ranging from pressure washers to power tools. Its client base is diverse, encompassing construction and industrial enterprises, manufacturers, utility companies, municipalities, government bodies, and individual homeowners. Conversely, the Specialty segment focuses on more specialized construction products.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS Consensus $12
EPS surprise Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue Consensus $4.22B
Revenue surprise Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
URI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $8.33 Q1 '24 actual $9.15, beat Q2 '24 estimate $10.54 Q2 '24 actual $10.70, beat Q3 '24 estimate $12.48 Q3 '24 actual $11.80, miss Q2 '25 estimate $10.51 Q2 '25 actual $10.47, miss Q3 '25 estimate $12.29 Q3 '25 actual $11.70, miss Q4 '25 estimate $11.79 Q4 '25 actual $11.09, miss Q1 '26 estimate $8.95 Q1 '26 actual $9.71, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11.53 Q2 '26 actual $12.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $13.83 Q4 '26 estimate $13.04 Q1 '27 estimate $11.17 Q2 '27 estimate $14.25
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2870.0%
Neutral717.5%
Bearish512.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,065.88Current
$269Low
$977.37Average
$1,421High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 17, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeJun 29, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 25, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 24, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 23, 2026
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 23, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainMay 27, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2024
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainApr 29, 2024
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2024
Exane BNP Paribas Underperform OutperformDowngradeJan 5, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 2, 2023
OTR Global Mixed PositiveDowngradeApr 19, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 12, 2023
Vertical Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 20, 2021
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainApr 30, 2020
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeApr 3, 2020
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainNov 11, 2019
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainNov 11, 2019
Citi Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2019
Standpoint Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2018
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeOct 22, 2018
Macquarie Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 19, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainSep 13, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainJan 26, 2018
Avondale Partners Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 26, 2017
Susquehanna Neutral PositiveDowngradeJan 29, 2016
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 29, 2016
Axiom Capital Sell SellMaintainAug 21, 2015
Wolfe Research Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 20, 2015
Northcoast Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 16, 2014
ISI Group Buy Strong BuyDowngradeNov 7, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,065.88. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$1,335$1,137.96 +25.2%Jul 24, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,350$1,139.71 +26.7%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,139.71 +22.0%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,355$1,139.71 +27.1%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$950$1,139.71 -10.9%Jul 24, 2026
UBSSteven Fisher$1,350$1,156.78 +26.7%Jul 23, 2026
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$1,421$1,111.76 +33.3%Jul 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,130.8 +22.0%Jul 1, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$1,320$1,121.66 +23.8%Jun 29, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,250$1,083.72 +17.3%Jun 25, 2026
Raymond JamesTim Thein$1,275$1,094.17 +19.6%Jun 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,145$1,010.42 +7.4%Jun 3, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Raso$1,101$935.05 +3.3%May 11, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$715$974.41 -32.9%Apr 24, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,209$967.39 +13.4%Apr 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$1,030$977.07 -3.4%Apr 24, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,119$986.78 +5.0%Apr 24, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,150$986.78 +7.9%Apr 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$1,100$986.78 +3.2%Apr 24, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$903$767.36 -15.3%Apr 9, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$972$779.29 -8.8%Jan 30, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$950$787.04 -10.9%Jan 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$970$787.04 -9.0%Jan 30, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$965$787.04 -9.5%Jan 30, 2026
RBC CapitalSabahat Khan$1,041$787.04 -2.3%Jan 30, 2026
Wells FargoJerry Revich$1,071$956.01 +0.5%Jan 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,045$812.51 -2.0%Dec 18, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,000$800.83 -6.2%Dec 3, 2025
Wells FargoJerry Revich$995$843.26 -6.6%Nov 13, 2025
UBSSteven Fisher$1,025$883.15 -3.8%Oct 28, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,169$921.12 +9.7%Oct 24, 2025
RBC CapitalSabahat Khan$1,123$914.3 +5.4%Oct 24, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$600$980.37 -43.7%Oct 20, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,194$988.59 +12.0%Oct 8, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$1,050$954.66 -1.5%Oct 1, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,120$931.25 +5.1%Sep 25, 2025
BernsteinChad Dillard$1,128$943.42 +5.8%Sep 23, 2025
BNP ParibasThomas Burlton$900$946.43 -15.6%Sep 16, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,075$955.24 +0.9%Aug 29, 2025
Argus ResearchKristina Ruggeri$935$908.14 -12.3%Aug 12, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$786$633.6 -26.3%Apr 25, 2025
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$666$653.39 -37.5%Mar 25, 2025
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$965$796.02 -9.5%Dec 19, 2024
CitigroupKyle Menges$860$744.21 -19.3%Jul 29, 2024
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$793$668.43 -25.6%Mar 13, 2024
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$440$373.85 -58.7%Jan 10, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$404$368.44 -62.1%Dec 14, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$420$346.9 -60.6%Nov 16, 2022
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$318$298.57 -70.2%Oct 27, 2022
KeyBancKen Newman$425$307.8 -60.1%Aug 22, 2022
BernsteinSam Boughedda$269$320.45 -74.8%Aug 18, 2022
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$385$322.21 -63.9%Jan 10, 2022
Morgan StanleyCourtney Yakavonis$395$356.53 -62.9%Dec 9, 2021
CitigroupTimothy Thein$445$381.67 -58.3%Nov 16, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesRoss Gilardi$440$353.05 -58.7%Oct 5, 2021
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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +10.1% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +11.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.3% Up to 20 sessions
URISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared to Q1, United Rentals accelerated rental revenue growth from 9% to 13% and achieved record time utilization across its fleet. CapEx guidance was increased to fund additional fleet. The company divested its scaffolding business for a $49 million net benefit, whereas Q1 focused on four bolt-on acquisitions totaling approximately $400 million. S&P raised the credit outlook to positive, a new development not flagged in Q1. Free cash flow remained strong at approximately $1.2 billion. Full-year guidance was raised again, building on the Q1 increase to $16.9-$17.4 billion revenue and $7.625-$7.875 billion adjusted EBITDA.

Guidance delta

Full-year 2026 guidance was raised for the second consecutive quarter. In Q1, management raised revenue guidance to $16.9-$17.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625-$7.875 billion. Following Q2, guidance was raised again, now forecasting near-10% revenue growth and higher EBITDA. CapEx guidance was also increased to fund additional fleet amid historically high utilization. Specific updated dollar ranges for revenue and EBITDA were not provided in the transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 set new records for total revenue, rental revenue, EBITDA and EPS, with revenue up 12% YoY to $4.4 billion and adjusted EPS up 22% to $12.76.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance was raised again, indicating near-10% revenue growth and higher EBITDA.
  • Demand from large-scale projects across construction, power, LNG terminals, and data centers remains strong and is accelerating.
  • Free cash flow stayed strong at roughly $1.2 billion and the balance sheet remains flexible for growth and shareholder returns.
  • CapEx guidance was increased to fund additional fleet amid historically high time utilization.
  • S&P raised the credit outlook to positive, signaling a possible investment-grade upgrade within 12 months.

Management priorities

  • Increase gross CapEx to add fleet and support high utilization.
  • Continue share buybacks and dividend payouts.
  • Pursue selective specialty acquisitions and product pilots.
  • Deploy AI-enabled pricing tools to improve rate capture.
  • Maintain focus on margin expansion and ROIC improvement.

Related earnings events

Industrials

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-23T19:03:19.168103+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-14T01:23:12.683215+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T14:03:33.269000+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T14:03:33.265834+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.