Uber Technologies, Inc. · UBER · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Uber: Record Q3 growth, with AV scale-up as the key execution test

The supplied analysis supports the view that Uber’s growth and demand are resilient, but it does not establish that those trends alone will support results over the next year. Evidence in favor includes record Q3 performance, 22% trip growth, 21% gross-bookings growth, expanding cross-platform use, grocery and retail delivery growth, and membership scale. The main counterweights are autonomous-vehicle execution, competition, regulatory and insurance exposure, and investment intensity.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $138.64B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.11 Consensus $0.69
EPS surprise +350.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.47B Consensus $13.28B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.1% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.2% Up to 20 sessions
UBERSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis describes a record Q3 with 22% trip growth and 33% year-over-year EBITDA growth, alongside a $12 billion grocery and retail delivery run rate. Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the company added a Nvidia L4 autonomous-vehicle architecture, an initial 5,000-car Stellantis rollout, Uber AI Solutions, and expanded regulatory wins; guidance sentiment remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained. The supplied analysis says management expects continued high-teens gross bookings growth and mid-30s EBITDA growth in Q4.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 was record-setting, with trips up 22% and EBITDA up 33% year over year.
  • Cross-platform usage, grocery and retail delivery, Uber One, and autonomous vehicles were central growth themes.
  • The supplied analysis identifies a $12 billion grocery and retail delivery run rate and 36 million Uber One members.
  • The Nvidia partnership supports an initial rollout of 5,000 Stellantis-powered autonomous cars within a broader 100,000-vehicle ambition.

Management priorities

  • Expand cross-platform experiences and local commerce.
  • Build a hybrid autonomous and human fleet, including Nvidia-powered L4 vehicles and broader ownership models.
  • Grow Uber One across more countries and expand premium products and merchant services.
  • Use generative AI and AI-enabled gig opportunities to broaden the platform.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
UBER REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $10B Q4 '23 actual $10B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $10B Q1 '24 actual $10B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $11B Q2 '24 actual $11B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $11B Q3 '24 actual $11B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $12B Q2 '25 actual $13B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $13B Q3 '25 actual $13B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $14B Q4 '25 actual $14B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $13B Q1 '26 actual $13B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $14B Q2 '26 actual $14B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $15B Q4 '26 estimate $16B Q1 '27 estimate $15B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy62 ratings
Bullish5182.3%
Neutral1117.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$68.11Current
$33Low
$90.42Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 8, 2026
StoneX Hold HoldMaintainSep 8, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Show 57 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $68.11. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$74$71.08 +8.6%Sep 10, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$100$73.13 +46.8%Sep 9, 2026
BTIGJake Fuller$100$75.96 +46.8%Sep 4, 2026
BMO CapitalBrian Pitz$119$75.77 +74.7%Sep 3, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$100$77.38 +46.8%Aug 10, 2026
See 143 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Uber Technologies, Inc. is a leading technology corporation that conceptualizes and deploys its proprietary software applications across a broad global footprint, spanning North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. The company primarily serves as a digital nexus, linking consumers with independent transport providers for ride-hailing services. Furthermore, it connects individuals and other patrons with a variety of establishments—such as restaurants, grocery stores, and other retailers—to a network of delivery service providers for the preparation and transport of meals, groceries, and other goods. The organization structures its operations into three distinct divisions: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T19:40:44.960408+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T19:40:44.957636+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.