Tyler Technologies, Inc. · TYL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Tyler Technologies: Cloud and AI support growth, while bookings remain mixed

The supplied analysis is constructive but not conclusive for durable growth: cloud migration, SaaS flips, AI-enabled products, cross-sell, and selective M&A support the trajectory, while lower new SaaS ARR, the Texas payments wind-down, and uncertain AI monetization are meaningful counterweights.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $13.22B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.97 Consensus $2.86
EPS surprise +3.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $595.9M Consensus $594.3M
Revenue surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.0% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.8% Up to 20 sessions
TYLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, Tyler reported a stronger Q3 operating picture with double-digit SaaS and transaction-revenue growth, an all-time-high SaaS bookings result, and more detail on AI productivity and ROI. The main new constraints are declining new SaaS ARR year over year, the Texas payments contract wind-down, and execution requirements around version consolidation and data-center closures.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2025 guidance and outlined a target of 20% SaaS revenue growth in 2026, with 10–12% total recurring-revenue growth.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and profitability exceeded expectations, with SaaS and transaction revenue both growing double digits.
  • SaaS bookings reached an all-time high, but new SaaS ARR declined year over year because of large-deal lumpiness.
  • AI-enabled products are a central growth pillar, with reported productivity gains of 10–30% and targeted ROI of 2–3x.
  • Cloud migrations and on-premise-to-SaaS flips remain important, with flips representing roughly half of the revenue base.
  • The Texas payments contract wind-down and public-sector budget uncertainty temper the constructive operating picture.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI investments across product development, tooling, and client deployments.
  • Accelerate the cloud-first initiative and complete version consolidation across ERP and Justice suites.
  • Expand add-on sales and cross-sell across the existing client base.
  • Pursue selective M&A while maintaining valuation discipline.
  • Complete remaining data-center closures and capture related margin benefits.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TYL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $485M Q4 '23 actual $481M, miss Q1 '24 estimate $508M Q1 '24 actual $512M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $541M Q2 '24 actual $541M, match Q3 '24 estimate $540M Q3 '24 actual $543M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $588M Q2 '25 actual $596M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $594M Q3 '25 actual $596M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $591M Q4 '25 actual $575M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $609M Q1 '26 actual $614M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $648M Q2 '26 actual $645M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $652M Q4 '26 estimate $644M Q1 '27 estimate $673M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2571.4%
Neutral1028.6%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$322.81Previous close
$340Low
$469.08Average
$700High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 27, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 23, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainJun 10, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $322.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$450$325.57 +39.4%Sep 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$395$309.6 +22.4%Aug 1, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$440$284.32 +36.3%Jul 22, 2026
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$400$308.92 +23.9%Jun 10, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldMatthew VanVliet$340$308.92 +5.3%Jun 10, 2026
See 50 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Tyler Technologies, Inc. specializes in delivering comprehensive information management solutions and services tailored for the public sector. Its operations are organized into three primary divisions: Enterprise Software, Appraisal and Tax, and NIC. The company's extensive product portfolio encompasses financial management tools, such as modular fund accounting systems designed for government bodies and non-profit organizations, as well as utility billing platforms for managing both metered and unmetered services. Additionally, Tyler offers solutions that automate a wide array of municipal and county operations, ranging from municipal court and parking ticket administration to animal and business licensing, permits and inspections, code enforcement, citizen complaint resolution, ambulance billing, fleet maintenance, and cemetery records management. Educational institutions, particularly K-12 schools, benefit from their specialized student information and transportation management systems.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T06:20:42.971879+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T06:20:42.969169+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.