Textron Inc. · TXT · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Textron sees demand, but supply chain and MV-75 funding remain key risks

Textron's Q2 supports a constructive demand case, with strong Aviation backlog and growth across Bell and Systems. The near-term investment case remains conditional on supply-chain and labor execution, progress on the Industrial separation, and funding for MV-75.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $13.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.62 Consensus $1.55
EPS surprise +4.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.83B Consensus $3.81B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -6.4% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -6.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.1% Up to 20 sessions
TXTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the company reported Q2 revenue growth of 3%, emphasized supply-chain and workforce productivity constraints, and continued the Industrial sale process. MV-75 is being self-funded while management awaits a $350 million reprogramming request.

Guidance delta

Maintained full-year EPS guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue grew 3% year over year to $3.8 billion, with Bell up 6% and Systems up 7%.
  • Management cited strong commercial and military demand, including an $8 billion Aviation backlog.
  • Industrial is being prepared for sale or spin-out while MV-75 continues to be self-funded pending reprogramming funds.

Management priorities

  • Improve supply-chain throughput through dual-sourcing and capacity expansion
  • Raise labor productivity through workforce training and the Career & Learning Center
  • Advance Gen3 light jets, Denali certification, and MV-75 toward first flight and an LRIP contract
  • Progress the Industrial segment sale or spin-out

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TXT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q3 '26 actual $4B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q1 '27 actual $4B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 actual $4B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $4B Q4 '27 estimate $4B Q1 '28 estimate $4B Q2 '28 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1344.8%
Neutral1655.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$76.81Current
$68Low
$96.46Average
$110High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 13, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 4, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 4, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainApr 7, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 2, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $76.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSGavin Parsons$95$89.96 +23.7%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$98$89.96 +27.6%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$97$89.5 +26.3%Jul 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$100$92.78 +30.2%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$109$94.08 +41.9%May 4, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Textron Inc. (TXT) is a diverse global enterprise with significant involvement in the aerospace, defense, industrial, and financial sectors. Its Textron Aviation division is responsible for the production, sale, and maintenance of a variety of aircraft, including corporate jets, turboprop and piston-engine planes, and military trainer and defense aircraft. This segment also delivers extensive maintenance, inspection, and repair services, alongside selling commercial aircraft components. The Bell segment stands as a primary provider of military and civilian helicopters, in addition to tiltrotor aircraft, supported by related spare parts and services. Textron Systems focuses on developing and supplying advanced unmanned aerial platforms, sophisticated electronic systems and solutions, specialized marine vessels, piston aircraft engines, realistic live military air-to-air and air-to-ship training systems, weaponry and associated components, and a range of armored and specialty vehicles.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T16:04:47.560772+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T02:10:54.131020+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T02:10:54.128044+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.