Trimble Inc. · TRMB · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Trimble raises outlook as AI adoption accelerates, with transition risks

Trimble's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: organic growth, margin expansion, AI adoption, and raised guidance point to improving execution. The case remains conditional because Field Systems will create a near-term ARR headwind, while AI monetization and the Transportation & Logistics review remain execution variables.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $13.42B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $0.80
EPS surprise +7.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $972.0M Consensus $952.1M
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.8% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.9% Up to 20 sessions
TRMBSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied Q2 analysis shows stronger reported operating momentum and raised guidance, alongside three material developments: Document Crunch is performing ahead of expectations, Field Systems is transitioning to a proprietary product, and management is reviewing potential interest in Transportation & Logistics.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance after Q2 results, according to the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 delivered 10% organic revenue growth and margin expansion, supporting higher full-year targets.
  • AI tools are gaining traction across workflows, with usage-based models and reported productivity benefits.
  • Field Systems is moving from a white-label product to a proprietary solution, creating a near-term ARR headwind but potential future margin benefit.
  • Management is reviewing interest in the Transportation & Logistics segment while continuing core platform execution.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI-enabled workflow automation and agentic tools.
  • Execute the Field Systems product transition and broaden the Trimble Connect ecosystem.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation, including the announced share-repurchase program.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TRMB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $0.62 Q1 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.62 Q3 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.62 Q2 '26 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.72 Q3 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.96 Q4 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.72 Q1 '27 actual $0.79, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.80 Q2 '27 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.86 Q4 '27 estimate $1.16 Q1 '28 estimate $0.87 Q2 '28 estimate $0.97
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1763.0%
Neutral933.3%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.83Current
$61Low
$82.33Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 7, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 30, 2026
Keybanc Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeDec 16, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainNov 2, 2023
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeApr 5, 2023
Northcoast Research Sell NeutralDowngradeMar 7, 2023
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainDec 13, 2022
Wolfe Research Perform Peer PerformMaintainAug 17, 2022
Craig-Hallum Hold HoldMaintainFeb 11, 2021
Needham Buy BuyMaintainNov 5, 2020
Berenberg Buy HoldUpgradeApr 17, 2018
Dougherty & Co. Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 30, 2017
Dougherty Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 30, 2017
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 11, 2016
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 1, 2015
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2015
MKM Partners Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 5, 2015
Boenning & Scattergood Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 28, 2015
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 2, 2014
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 2, 2014
Lazard Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 27, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $57.82. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$56.99 +38.3%Aug 19, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$73$55.64 +26.2%Aug 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$61$52.29 +5.5%Jul 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$80$63.42 +38.3%May 7, 2026
OppenheimerKristen Owen$86$68.88 +48.7%Feb 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$101$80.61 +74.7%Jan 12, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$99$80.13 +71.2%Dec 15, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$94$77.02 +62.6%Nov 13, 2025
OppenheimerKristen Owen$102$79.72 +76.4%Nov 6, 2025
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$100$79.3 +72.9%Oct 7, 2025
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$95$80.21 +64.3%Oct 3, 2025
OppenheimerKristen Owen$88$73.96 +52.2%Dec 11, 2024
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$84$61.3 +45.3%Nov 7, 2024
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$73$63.42 +26.2%Mar 12, 2024
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$68$54.69 +17.6%Feb 12, 2024
Raymond JamesBrian Gesuale$65$53.93 +12.4%Sep 29, 2023
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$65$55.04 +12.4%Dec 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$65$55.18 +12.4%Dec 13, 2022
Piper SandlerWeston Twigg$100$65.23 +72.9%May 20, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies.…

Historical context

All TRMB earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-12T19:18:20.209084+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-17T01:23:13.296768+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T17:00:48.750507+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T17:00:48.748156+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.