Targa Resources Corp. · TRGP · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Targa outlines growth through Permian and NGL infrastructure

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: Permian volume growth, new infrastructure and global LPG demand provide potential support for continued earnings growth. The counterweight is the scale of planned capital spending and the execution, leverage and commodity sensitivities attached to it.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $64.84B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.90
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.66B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.7% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.5% Up to 20 sessions
TRGPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds a 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook, a larger defined project slate, full ownership of Badlands assets and ownership of Cedar Bayou Fractionators. Capital spending remains elevated as the company advances new Permian, fractionation and LPG infrastructure.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as raised, with a 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook of $4.65-$4.85 billion and stronger 2026 expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record 2024 adjusted EBITDA and continued Permian volume growth.
  • The company is accelerating investment in processing, pipeline, fractionation and LPG export capacity.
  • Shareholder returns increased, while higher capex raises execution and leverage considerations.

Management priorities

  • Expand Permian gathering and processing capacity.
  • Build NGL transportation, fractionation and LPG export infrastructure.
  • Manage leverage while continuing dividend growth and opportunistic repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TRGP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.46 Q4 '23 actual $1.26, miss Q1 '24 estimate $1.30 Q1 '24 actual $1.22, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.27 Q2 '24 actual $1.33, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.56 Q3 '24 actual $1.75, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.86 Q2 '25 actual $2.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.11 Q3 '25 actual $2.20, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.30 Q4 '25 actual $2.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.48 Q1 '26 actual $2.21, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2.83 Q2 '26 actual $3.54, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.74 Q4 '26 estimate $2.94 Q1 '27 estimate $3.06
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2882.4%
Neutral617.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$302.37Current
$45Low
$233.66Average
$359High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 21, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 8, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeSep 18, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $302.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$328$296.74 +8.5%Oct 21, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$340$295.22 +12.4%Oct 20, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$319$282.96 +5.5%Oct 15, 2026
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$326$280.56 +7.8%Oct 15, 2026
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$322$293.04 +6.5%Oct 13, 2026
See 84 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Targa Resources Corp., alongside its subsidiary Targa Resources Partners LP, is a significant entity in the North American midstream energy sector, focusing on the ownership, operation, acquisition, and development of crucial energy infrastructure assets. Its business is structured into two main divisions: "Gathering and Processing" and "Logistics and Transportation." Within these segments, the company undertakes a broad range of activities, including the collection, compression, treatment, processing, transport, and sale of natural gas. It also manages the storage, fractionation, treatment, transportation, and distribution of natural gas liquids (NGLs) and their associated products, providing services even to liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) exporters. Furthermore, Targa handles the gathering, storage, terminaling, purchasing, and selling of crude oil.…

Historical context

All TRGP earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-06T00:01:56.136176+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T15:10:40.074257+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T15:10:40.070941+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.