Target Corporation · TGT · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Target Maintains 2026 Outlook While Investing in Stores and Digital

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Target's growth plan: maintained guidance, loyalty and category expansion, and technology investment provide support, while tariffs, execution, and front-loaded spending are the main tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $70.97B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.44 Consensus $2.16
EPS surprise +13.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $30.45B Consensus $30.46B
Revenue surprise -0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.7% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +7.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.3% Up to 20 sessions
TGTSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about TGT FY2025 Q4

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the outlook shifted from a lower-half EPS concern to maintained guidance for roughly 2% net-sales growth and $7.50-$8.50 adjusted EPS. Management also detailed more than $2 billion of incremental investment and expanded store, category, loyalty, and technology initiatives.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management targeted roughly 2% net-sales growth and adjusted EPS of $7.50-$8.50, with expected operating-margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Target outlined more than $2 billion of incremental investment, split between capital spending and guest-experience enhancements.
  • Growth priorities include Target Circle 360, Target Plus, beauty, food and beverage, and refreshed Fun101, home, baby, and wellness assortments.
  • AI is being applied to personalization, pricing, and store efficiency, while tariffs and execution remain key risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand and remodel stores, including more than 30 new full-size stores and more than 130 remodels in 2026.
  • Improve merchandising and guest experience through Beauty Studio, Threshold, Fun101, and other category initiatives.
  • Accelerate personalization, pricing, fulfillment, and store-efficiency technology.

Follow TGT with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TGT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $29B Q3 '24 actual $25B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $32B Q4 '24 actual $32B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $25B Q1 '25 actual $25B, match Q2 '25 estimate $25B Q2 '25 actual $25B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $25B Q2 '26 actual $25B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $25B Q3 '26 actual $25B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $30B Q4 '26 actual $30B, match Q1 '27 estimate $25B Q1 '27 actual $25B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $26B Q2 '27 actual $27B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $26B Q4 '27 estimate $31B
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold58 ratings
Bullish2746.6%
Neutral2746.5%
Bearish46.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$156.15Current
$80Low
$166.27Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 20, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 54 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $156.15. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$150$159.14 -3.9%Aug 20, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$178$159.68 +14.0%Aug 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$167$158.81 +6.9%Aug 20, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$170$159.03 +8.9%Aug 20, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$142$159.03 -9.1%Aug 20, 2026
See 206 more

Track every rating change on TGT the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Target Corp. engages in the operation and ownership of general merchandise stores. It offers food and general merchandise, clothing and household goods, electronics, and toys. Its brands include A New Day, All in Motion, Art Class, Auden, AVA & VIV, Boots and Barkley, Brightroom, Bullseye's Playground, Casaluna, Cat & Jack, Cloud Island, Colsie, dealworthy, Embark, Everspring, Favorite Day, Figmint, Future Collective, Gigglescape, Good & Gather, Goodfellow & Co, Hearth & Hand with Magnolia, Heyday, Hyde & EEK! Boutique, JoyLab, Kindfull, Kona Sol, Made By Design, Market Pantry, Mondo Llama, More Than Magic, Opalhouse, Open Story, Original Use, Pillowfort, Project 62, Room Essentials, Shade & Shore, Smartly, Smith & Hawken, Sonia Kashuk, Spritz, Sun Squad, Threshold, Universal Thread, up&up, Wild Fable, Wondershop, Xhilaration, California Roots, Casa Cantina, The Collection, Headliner, Jingle & Mingle, Rosé Bae, Photograph, SunPop, and Wine Cube. The company was founded by George Draper Dayton in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

Historical context

All TGT earnings

Consumer Defensive peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the TGT recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T18:50:54.821980+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T18:50:54.819634+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.