TE Connectivity plc · TEL · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2026

TE Connectivity: AI and energy demand drive Q2 momentum

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: resilient AI, data-center, energy, and electrification demand is translating into growth and maintained near-term guidance. The main test is whether order momentum and margin expansion persist as CapEx rises and input-cost, supply-chain, and program-ramp risks remain.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $62.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.73 Consensus $2.69
EPS surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.74B Consensus $4.75B
Revenue surprise -0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -9.1% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move -10.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.9% Up to 20 sessions
TELSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised expected second-half AI revenue by $150 million, added a passive optical connectivity acquisition, and emphasized continued energy and electrification investment. It maintained Q3 guidance, raised the quarterly dividend by 10%, and retained a roughly 6% CapEx outlook.

Guidance delta

Management maintained Q3 guidance of $5 billion in sales and $2.83 EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Sales grew 15% year over year to $4.7 billion, while the industrial segment grew 27%.
  • Management said AI and data-center demand are becoming a major growth engine, with an additional $150 million of AI revenue expected in the second half.
  • The company reported adjusted operating margin of 22%, $1.3 billion of first-half free cash flow, and record orders of $5.3 billion.
  • Management maintained Q3 guidance and raised the quarterly dividend by 10%, while targeting 100% full-year free-cash-flow conversion.

Management priorities

  • Ramp AI and digital data-network programs in the second half of FY2026.
  • Integrate the acquired passive optical connectivity technology.
  • Expand energy grid-hardening and clean-energy connectivity solutions.
  • Pursue automotive electrification and high-value vehicle architectures.
  • Maintain CapEx at roughly 6% of revenue to support growth initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TEL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.83 Q2 '24 actual $1.86, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.86 Q3 '24 actual $1.91, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.94 Q4 '24 actual $1.95, match Q3 '25 estimate $2.08 Q3 '25 actual $2.27, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.29 Q4 '25 actual $2.44, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.55 Q1 '26 actual $2.72, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.69 Q2 '26 actual $2.73, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q3 '26 actual $2.94, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.06 Q1 '27 estimate $3.01 Q2 '27 estimate $3.12 Q3 '27 estimate $3.37
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1448.3%
Neutral1551.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$213.67Current
$123Low
$207.94Average
$300High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeJun 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 15, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeApr 23, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 14, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 13, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainNov 17, 2025
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 30, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2025
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJan 25, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 20, 2023
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 9, 2023
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJan 26, 2023
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 3, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJun 30, 2022
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 10, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainJul 30, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2020
Citi Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 9, 2019
Cross Research Hold BuyDowngradeJul 16, 2019
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 17, 2019
Berenberg Hold HoldMaintainMar 2, 2016
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2015
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 11, 2014
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeMay 16, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $213.67. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$243$213.48 +13.7%Sep 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$220$204.63 +3.0%Sep 11, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$241$198.43 +12.8%Jul 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$225$200.94 +5.3%Jul 23, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$230$217.64 +7.6%Jun 22, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$300$210.38 +40.4%Jun 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$261$218 +22.2%Apr 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$226$221.01 +5.8%Apr 23, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$234$221.01 +9.5%Apr 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$286$221.01 +33.9%Apr 22, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$270$234.33 +26.4%Apr 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$272$234.33 +27.3%Apr 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$285$231.68 +33.4%Feb 13, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$270$225.49 +26.4%Jan 27, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$302$231.35 +41.3%Jan 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$244$231 +14.2%Jan 22, 2026
Wells FargoColin Langan$249$231 +16.5%Jan 22, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$306$231 +43.2%Jan 21, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$304$237.3 +42.3%Jan 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$283$237.22 +32.4%Jan 14, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$240$225.97 +12.3%Dec 19, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$239$214.49 +11.9%Nov 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$297$214.49 +39.0%Nov 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$277$246.87 +29.6%Nov 4, 2025
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$255$244.56 +19.3%Oct 30, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$280$246.76 +31.0%Oct 30, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$238$222.46 +11.4%Oct 10, 2025
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$249$222.07 +16.5%Oct 7, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$260$223.54 +21.7%Oct 6, 2025
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$263$217.04 +23.1%Sep 29, 2025
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$222$205.98 +3.9%Sep 3, 2025
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$232$205.29 +8.6%Sep 3, 2025
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$165$149.95 -22.8%Dec 16, 2024
HSBCStephen Bersey$137$151.79 -35.9%Oct 31, 2024
CitigroupAsiya Merchant$160$154.53 -25.1%Jul 25, 2024
HSBCStephen Bersey$162$151.4 -24.2%Jul 24, 2024
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$175$150 -18.1%May 24, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Leiker$165$151.69 -22.8%May 21, 2024
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$158$140 -26.1%Apr 25, 2024
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$150$140 -29.8%Apr 24, 2024
JefferiesSaree Boroditsky$180$144.78 -15.8%Apr 9, 2024
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$123$123.88 -42.4%Dec 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$140$127.79 -34.5%Jun 10, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$158$124.56 -26.1%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$151$123.3 -29.3%Apr 25, 2022
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$183$143.48 -14.4%Feb 20, 2022
CitigroupJim Suva$155$140.42 -27.5%Jan 30, 2022
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$170$160.8 -20.4%Dec 31, 2021
Wolfe ResearchRod Lache$190$160.04 -11.1%Nov 9, 2021
UBSChristopher Snyder$175$144.26 -18.1%Oct 28, 2021
Cowen & Co.Joseph C Giordano$160$149.2 -25.1%Aug 23, 2021
OppenheimerChristopher Glynn$155$146.04 -27.5%Jul 30, 2021
Benchmark Co.David Williams$145$132.91 -32.1%Apr 23, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TE Connectivity plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells connectivity and sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia–Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through two reportable segments, Transportation Solutions and Industrial Solutions. It provides antennas, application tooling, cable assemblies, connectors, electromagnetic compatibility/electromagnetic interference solutions, energy and power, fiber optics, heat shrink tubing, identification and labeling, medical components, passive components, relays and contactors, sensors, switches, terminals and splices, wires and cables, and wire protection and management solutions.…

Historical context

All TEL earnings

Technology peers this season

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ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
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DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T22:40:56.587012+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T22:40:56.584255+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.