Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish1129.7%
Neutral2054.1%
Bearish616.2%
Molson Coors Beverage Company · TAP · FY2024 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2024
Molson Coors Reaffirms Guidance After Strong Q1, Flags Overshipment Risk
The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: strong core-brand momentum, shelf-space gains and premiumization provide evidence of resilient demand, while overshipment, U.S. category volatility and the Pabst exit test whether that momentum can persist.
Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive
$7.48B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$0.95
Consensus $0.74
EPS surprise
+28.4%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$2.60B
Consensus $2.50B
Revenue surprise
+4.0%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-9.9%
Event window
SPY move
-1.6%
Same window
Abnormal move
-8.3%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.4×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-7.4%
Up to 20 sessions
TAPSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about TAP FY2024 Q1
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did TAP fall 9.9% after beating EPS estimates in FY2024 Q1?What changed in TAP's guidance and outlook in FY2024 Q1?Give me the bull and bear case for TAP after FY2024 Q1 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, the company reported stronger near-term operating momentum but adopted a more cautious tone. It highlighted Q1 overshipment, volatile April U.S. demand and the Pabst exit as offsets to brand and shelf-space gains, while maintaining guidance.
Guidance delta
Maintained: full-year guidance was reaffirmed despite near-term U.S. beer-category volatility.
Key takeaways
- Core brands delivered double-digit volume growth, while management cited meaningful shelf-space gains.
- Management said Q1 shipments exceeded brand volume by 750,000 hectoliters, creating a potential later-year headwind.
- Growth plans center on premium brands, new campaigns, production investment and the U.K. investment plan.
Management priorities
- Sustain share gains for Coors Light, Miller Lite and Coors Banquet through retailer resets and brand marketing.
- Expand Madri Excepcional, Blue Moon, Simply Spiked and Happy Thursday.
- Complete the Golden Brewery modernization and execute the planned U.K. investment.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
$39.21Current
$36Low
$53.68Average
$75High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 26, 2026 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 14, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 30, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Roth Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 6, 2023 |
| Roth MKM | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 4, 2023 |
| CFRA | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 2, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Feb 22, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Bryan Garnier | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 1, 2022 |
| Redburn Partners | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Jul 13, 2022 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 6, 2020 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 20, 2020 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 26, 2019 |
| Redburn | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Oct 11, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 15, 2019 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Aug 2, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 17, 2018 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 17, 2018 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Feb 8, 2018 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 4, 2017 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 23, 2015 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 9, 2014 |
| BTIG | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 9, 2014 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 16, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $39.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $39.03 | -8.2% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $43.04 | +14.8% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $41.18 | +4.6% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $40.86 | +2.0% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $39.27 | +4.6% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Eric Serotta | $46 | $41.46 | +17.3% | May 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $42.14 | +4.6% | May 4, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $42 | $42.74 | +7.1% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $44.54 | +9.7% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $52 | $49.21 | +32.6% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $48.17 | +14.8% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $50.81 | +14.8% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Roth Capital | Analyst unavailable | $58 | $50.81 | +47.9% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $53.22 | +37.7% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $49 | $49.05 | +25.0% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $50.64 | +2.0% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $49.64 | +27.5% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $45.47 | +27.5% | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $46.45 | +27.5% | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Robert Ottenstein | $50 | $44.67 | +27.5% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Roth Capital | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $44.83 | +65.8% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Kaumil Gajrawala | $48 | $43.67 | +22.4% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $43.31 | +37.7% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| UBS | Peter Grom | $49 | $45.85 | +25.0% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $52 | $45.76 | +32.6% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Roth Capital | William Kirk | $71 | $56.95 | +81.1% | May 20, 2025 |
| Barclays | Lauren Lieberman | $61 | $60.96 | +55.6% | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Chris Carey | $74 | $60.03 | +88.7% | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $59 | $52.1 | +50.5% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $57 | $53.07 | +45.4% | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Barclays | Lauren Lieberman | $47 | $53.98 | +19.9% | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Trevor Stirling | $61 | $51.24 | +55.6% | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Robert Ottenstein | $68 | $57.26 | +73.4% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Barclays | Lauren Lieberman | $67 | $67.81 | +70.9% | Apr 12, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Bonnie Herzog | $75 | $66.63 | +91.3% | Apr 9, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $69 | $67.24 | +76.0% | Mar 22, 2024 |
| Cowen & Co. | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $49.58 | +53.0% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $50 | $54.5 | +27.5% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Bryan Garnier & Co Ltd | Nikolaas Faes | $54 | $51.67 | +37.7% | Sep 1, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Bonnie Herzog | $54 | $55.38 | +37.7% | Jun 28, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Vivien Azer | $55 | $55.86 | +40.3% | Jun 24, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $51 | $54.25 | +30.1% | Apr 27, 2022 |
| MKM Partners | William Kirk | $64 | $49.05 | +63.2% | Feb 24, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Vivien Azer | $50 | $44.5 | +27.5% | Nov 1, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Bonnie Herzog | $42 | $43.42 | +7.1% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| Evercore ISI | Robert Ottenstein | $55 | $43.42 | +40.3% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| Guggenheim | Laurent Grandet | $75 | $48.31 | +91.3% | Jul 29, 2021 |
| Bernstein | Trevor Stirling | $74 | $56.47 | +88.7% | May 24, 2021 |
Track every rating change on TAP the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationMolson Coors Beverage Company is a global entity engaged in the production, marketing, and sale of a diverse range of beer and other malt-based beverages. Its extensive operations span the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. The company's product lineup also features flavored malt beverages, craft beers, and convenient ready-to-drink selections. Founded in 1774, the firm, headquartered in Golden, Colorado, was previously known as Molson Coors Brewing Company before officially adopting its current name, Molson Coors Beverage Company, in January 2020.
Historical context
All TAP earningsConsumer Defensive peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +6.1% | -1.8% | AB InBev posts strong Q3 growth as China weakness persists |
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| HSY The Hershey Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | -1.8% | Hershey maintains 2027 growth outlook as innovation expands |
| BG Bunge Global S.A. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | -3.1% | Bunge Maintains 2026 EPS Guidance as Projects Advance |
Latest beats and misses
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Missed on EPS
- SCIFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-2.1% EPS-8.7% move
- AMFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-5.6% EPS+3.7% move
- INGFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-5.1% EPS-2.0% move
- AMPFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-4.3% EPS+1.7% move
- AMRZFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-1.0% EPS+3.9% move
- MAAFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-5.9% EPS+1.3% move
Get the TAP recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T12:30:47.246614+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T12:30:47.243699+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.