AT&T Inc. · T-PA · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

AT&T: Fiber, 5G and acquisitions underpin confident outlook

AT&T’s current trajectory supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: resilient fiber and 5G demand, convergence and acquired assets can support growth, while integration, leverage, competition and consumer-wireline pressure remain material offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $164.62B market cap
75quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.52 Consensus $0.46
EPS surprise +12.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $33.47B Consensus $32.87B
Revenue surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added emphasis on the Lumen fiber and EchoStar spectrum transactions, a planned advanced-connectivity reporting structure, and accelerated fiber deployment. Management also maintained its multi-year outlook while highlighting AI and digital initiatives as productivity levers.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth of 3–4%, with EPS guidance of $2.25–$2.35.

Key takeaways

  • Fiber and 5G subscriber growth drove the strongest consumer broadband subscriber increase in a decade.
  • Management plans to deploy fiber to more than 40 million customer locations by year-end.
  • Lumen fiber and EchoStar spectrum assets are central to the advanced-connectivity strategy.
  • A new segment structure will separate advanced connectivity from legacy operations beginning in Q1 2026.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate fiber deployment and expand 5G capacity.
  • Increase fiber-wireless convergence and fixed-wireless penetration.
  • Integrate the Lumen fiber and EchoStar spectrum assets.
  • Use AI, digital self-service and software to improve productivity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
T-PA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 actual $0.50, None Q3 '24 actual $-0.02, None Q2 '25 estimate $0.53 Q2 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.54 Q3 '25 actual $1.29, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.46 Q4 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.55 Q1 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.59 Q2 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.60 Q3 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.54 Q1 '27 estimate $0.61 Q2 '27 estimate $0.68 Q3 '27 estimate $0.71
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish1942.2%
Neutral2453.3%
Bearish24.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeOct 19, 2023
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 11, 2023
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 28, 2023
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 9, 2023
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 2, 2023
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJul 26, 2023
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 19, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2023
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 5, 2023
MoffettNathanson Perform UnderperformUpgradeJun 6, 2023
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainJun 4, 2023
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainApr 28, 2023
TD Cowen Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 21, 2023
LightShed Partners Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 7, 2023
Raymond James Buy Strong BuyDowngradeJan 26, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 25, 2023
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeDec 7, 2022
Truist Securities Buy HoldUpgradeOct 20, 2022
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 21, 2022
Wolfe Research Peer Perform Peer PerformMaintainJun 1, 2022
Keybanc Sector Weight UnderweightUpgradeOct 13, 2021
Redburn Partners Sell SellMaintainJun 25, 2021
New Street Research Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 20, 2021
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 24, 2021
DZ Bank Sell HoldDowngradeApr 23, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2020
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainApr 2, 2020
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeMar 22, 2020
Standpoint Research Hold BuyDowngradeOct 31, 2019
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 29, 2018
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeJun 6, 2018
Hilliard Lyons Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 25, 2018
Independent Research Hold SellUpgradeOct 24, 2016
Drexel Hamilton Hold BuyDowngradeOct 23, 2016
Buckingham Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 23, 2016
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainMar 6, 2016
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2015
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainJul 26, 2015
FBR Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeApr 23, 2013
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeSep 13, 2012
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 13, 2012
Hudson Square Hold BuyDowngradeSep 12, 2012
Gabelli & Co. Hold BuyDowngradeJun 28, 2012
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating on a global scale, AT&T Inc. delivers a diverse range of telecommunication, media, and technology solutions. Its Communications division is responsible for providing wireless voice and data connectivity. This includes the sale of mobile devices such as smartphones, wireless data cards, and other computing devices, along with accessories like carrying cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary retail stores, authorized agents, and various third-party retailers. Additionally, this segment offers comprehensive services to multinational corporations, small and mid-sized businesses, governmental bodies, and wholesale clients.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.