Suzano S.A. · SUZ · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Suzano posts strong quarter while pulp and logistics risks remain

The quarter strengthens the operating case through record sales and EBITDA, high pulp volumes, lower cash costs, and acquisition integration progress. The next test is whether these gains persist through maintenance, tight logistics, pulp-market volatility, European weakness, and continued deleveraging.

Reported Session unavailableNYSEBasic Materials $10.42B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus —
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.13B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.0% Up to 20 sessions
SUZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds record fourth-quarter sales and EBITDA, all-time-high pulp volumes, lower year-on-year cash costs, and progress integrating Pactiv Evergreen into Suzano Packaging US. It also identifies new near-term pressure from scheduled mill maintenance, tight inventories and logistics, while guidance remains maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook. The analysis highlights 2025 capex of R$12.4bn, including R$7.8bn for maintenance, and a leverage target below 2.9×.

Key takeaways

  • Record sales and EBITDA were accompanied by leverage of 2.9× and lower cash costs.
  • Pactiv Evergreen integration and Suzano Packaging US turnaround are progressing.
  • Tight inventories, logistics constraints, planned maintenance, and European weakness remain offsets.

Management priorities

  • Continue deleveraging toward leverage below 2.9×.
  • Execute the 2025 capex plan and scheduled maintenance.
  • Improve Suzano Packaging US and pursue downstream value creation.
  • Expand tissue and fluff capacity while evaluating longer-term pulp and power projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SUZ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $2B, None Q1 '24 actual $2B, None Q2 '24 actual $2B, None Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $16B Q1 '27 estimate $16B Q2 '27 estimate $16B
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Analyst 52W Price Targets

$8.4Current
$11Low
$12.2Average
$13.4High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $8.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesFrancisco Barbosa$13.4$9.45 +59.5%Feb 5, 2026
BradescoThiago Lofiego$11$9.71 +31.0%Aug 24, 2022

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Suzano S.A. is a prominent global producer and seller of eucalyptus pulp and paper products, with operations extending internationally from its base in Brazil. Its core business is structured around distinct Pulp and Paper segments. The company's extensive product portfolio includes various types of paper, such as coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, and tissue products. Additionally, Suzano supplies market and fluff pulps, along with lignin and its byproducts. Beyond these traditional offerings, Suzano maintains a diverse range of other ventures. These encompass the research, development, and production of biofuel, the operation of port terminals, and involvement in power generation and distribution.…

Historical context

All SUZ earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-12T00:00:51.428704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T20:40:47.338856+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T20:40:47.335530+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.