Sempra · SRE · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Sempra maintains guidance as Texas growth offsets LNG execution risk

Sempra's resilient regulated-infrastructure demand and Texas load growth support the outlook, but the one-year case depends on converting a large capital program and LNG pipeline into projects without further cost, regulatory or permitting setbacks.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $53.45B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.89 Consensus $0.94
EPS surprise -5.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.97B Consensus $3.46B
Revenue surprise -14.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.1% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.2% Up to 20 sessions
SRESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The central change was execution risk: ECA LNG's commercial-operations target moved to spring 2026 and estimated net share capital cost increased by $300 million. Texas growth and the broader capital plan remained central, while 2024 and 2025 EPS guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed its 2024 and 2025 EPS guidance ranges.

Key takeaways

  • Management reaffirmed 2024 and 2025 EPS guidance.
  • Texas load growth, including data-center and industrial demand, supports a $24 billion five-year capital plan and a $3 billion resiliency plan.
  • ECA LNG commercial operations moved to spring 2026, with a $300 million increase in Sempra's net share capital cost; management still targets mid-teen equity returns.
  • Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 is advancing with an Aramco partnership, while its DOE export permit remains pending.

Management priorities

  • Execute Oncor's System Resiliency Plan and Texas transmission investments.
  • Complete ECA LNG construction and target commercial operations in spring 2026.
  • Advance Port Arthur LNG Phase 2, including remaining offtake and export-permit work.
  • Develop the Angeles Link hydrogen hub and other California resilience initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SRE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.12 Q4 '23 actual $1.13, match Q1 '24 estimate $1.34 Q1 '24 actual $1.34, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.94 Q2 '24 actual $0.89, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.05 Q3 '24 actual $0.89, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.85 Q2 '25 actual $0.89, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.91 Q3 '25 actual $1.11, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.24 Q4 '25 actual $1.28, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.51 Q1 '26 actual $1.51, match Q2 '26 estimate $1.01 Q2 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.20 Q4 '26 estimate $1.44 Q1 '27 estimate $1.60
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish2083.3%
Neutral416.7%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$81.74Previous close
$36.25Low
$86Average
$118High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeSep 1, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $81.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$94$82.37 +15.0%Oct 14, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$90$81.34 +10.1%Oct 12, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$83$76.9 +1.5%Sep 29, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$96$83.8 +17.4%Sep 3, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$97$81.7 +18.7%Sep 1, 2026
See 60 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Sempra, an energy holding company founded in 1998 and headquartered in San Diego, California, conducts its operations both domestically and internationally. The firm adopted its current name in July 2021, having previously been known as Sempra Energy. Through its San Diego Gas & Electric Company division, Sempra delivers electricity to approximately 3.6 million individuals and natural gas to roughly 3.3 million individuals across a 4,100 square mile service area.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T07:30:44.999329+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T07:30:44.996551+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.