Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy15 ratings
Bullish1280.0%
Neutral320.0%
Bearish00.0%
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. · SPCX · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
SpaceX pairs rapid growth plans with significant execution demands
The supplied analysis supports a constructive growth narrative, with Starlink expansion, AI-compute demand, launch execution, and enterprise contracts providing potential drivers. That narrative remains conditional on converting backlog, sustaining pricing, securing infrastructure and approvals, and funding a capital-intensive build-out.
Reported After market closeNASDAQIndustrials
$1948.43B market cap
90quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$-0.09
Consensus $-0.23
EPS surprise
+60.1%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$7.81B
Consensus $6.83B
Revenue surprise
+14.5%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
-13.6%
Event window
SPY move
-0.2%
Same window
Abnormal move
-13.4%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.1×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+30.0%
Up to 20 sessions
SPCXSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about SPCX FY2026 Q2
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did SPCX fall 13.6% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q2?What changed in SPCX's guidance and outlook in FY2026 Q2?Give me the bull and bear case for SPCX after FY2026 Q2 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The supplied analysis emphasizes a broader growth program spanning Starlink V3, mobile broadband, AI-compute infrastructure, Starship operations, enterprise and government contracts, EchoStar spectrum, and the Cursor acquisition. It also flags a raised guidance sentiment, but no numeric change is provided.
Guidance delta
The supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as raised; it does not provide a numeric guidance change.
Key takeaways
- The supplied analysis describes revenue nearly doubling year over year, led by Starlink and AI-compute services.
- Management priorities include higher Starship launch cadence, Starlink V3 deployment, mobile broadband, and expanded AI-compute capacity.
- The analysis cites enterprise and government demand, cloud-services agreements, and the Cursor acquisition as growth drivers.
- Key uncertainties include contract conversion, pricing durability, regulation, GPU supply, and the capital required for expansion.
Management priorities
- Operationalize Starship for regular payload and satellite launches.
- Deploy and integrate Starlink V3 satellites and expand mobile broadband.
- Scale AI-compute infrastructure and cloud-services capacity.
- Advance enterprise and government contracts, the Cursor acquisition, and EchoStar spectrum initiatives.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
$147.79Current
$75Low
$218.94Average
$450High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macquarie | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 28, 2026 |
| MoffettNathanson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 26, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 17, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $147.79. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI | Kutgun Maral | $275 | $148.62 | +86.1% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Pivotal Research | Jeffrey Wlodarczak | $230 | $162.57 | +55.6% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $254 | $160.57 | +71.9% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $173 | $167.54 | +17.1% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| CLSA | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $146.38 | +69.2% | Sep 28, 2026 |
| MoffettNathanson | Analyst unavailable | $142 | $151.21 | -3.9% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $212 | $147.95 | +43.4% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Pivotal Research | Jeffrey Wlodarczak | $220 | $147.95 | +48.9% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $142.23 | +89.5% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Emilee Deutchman | $175 | $137.95 | +18.4% | Aug 26, 2026 |
| Phillip Securities | Glenn Thum | $75 | $140 | -49.3% | Aug 17, 2026 |
| Arete Research | Analyst unavailable | $450 | $138.74 | +204.5% | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Steve Silver | $160 | $114.92 | +8.3% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $248 | $108.27 | +67.8% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $215 | $125.33 | +45.5% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Potter | $140 | $125.33 | -5.3% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| HSBC | Nicolas Cote-Colisson | $115 | $118.24 | -22.2% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $225 | $135.27 | +52.2% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $156 | $135.27 | +5.6% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $136.08 | +69.2% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $230 | $139.14 | +55.6% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Colin Canfield | $246 | $160.42 | +66.5% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $255 | $160.42 | +72.5% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Macquarie | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $160.42 | +69.2% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| MoffettNathanson | Julie Zhu | $131 | $160.42 | -11.4% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $239 | $160.42 | +61.7% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $160.42 | +35.3% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $225 | $160.42 | +52.2% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $210 | $160.42 | +42.1% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Jonathan Siegmann | $190 | $160.42 | +28.6% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $160.42 | +35.3% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Ken Gawrelski | $230 | $160.42 | +55.6% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $160.42 | +38.7% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Adam Jonas | $300 | $160.42 | +103.0% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Daiwa | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $157.54 | +18.4% | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Wedbush | Analyst unavailable | $190 | $170.86 | +28.6% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $154.6 | +15.0% | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Timothy Horan | $250 | $191.82 | +69.2% | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Arete Research | Andrew Beale | $401 | $191.82 | +171.3% | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Timothy Horan | $190 | $135 | +28.6% | Jun 11, 2026 |
| New Street | Pierre Ferragu | $165 | $135 | +11.6% | Jun 10, 2026 |
Track every rating change on SPCX the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationSpace Exploration Technologies Corp. designs, manufactures, and launches rockets and spacecraft, and provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, and Canada. The company offers launch services for satellites, cargo, and crew to destinations such as low Earth orbit, the International Space Station, the Moon, and Mars, using vehicles, including Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, and Starship. It provides dedicated rideshare missions for small satellites, manufactures reusable rockets and spacecraft, such as Dragon and Starship, and conducts suborbital and orbital flight tests.…
Historical context
All SPCX earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GE GE Aerospace | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +11.9% | -3.7% | GE Aerospace: Strong Q3, Higher Guidance, Capacity Investment |
| PAC Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | -0.4% | GAP: EBITDA growth offsets continued passenger-traffic pressure |
| RTX RTX Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | -0.3% | RTX: Q3 growth and backlog support raised outlook |
| MMM 3M Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +5.7% | 3M Raises EPS Outlook as New Products and EBO Gain Traction |
| NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +5.1% | Northrop Grumman Raises Guidance as Backlog Reaches $110B |
| EFX Equifax Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +11.4% | Equifax: AI-led margin gains offset weaker mortgage outlook |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- SYF-PAFY2026 Q3 · October 20, 2026+10.7% EPS— move
- SYFFY2026 Q3 · October 20, 2026+10.7% EPS-1.2% move
- SYF-PBFY2026 Q3 · October 20, 2026+10.7% EPS— move
- GEFY2026 Q3 · October 20, 2026+11.9% EPS-3.7% move
- NFLXFY2026 Q3 · October 20, 2026+6.1% EPS-1.7% move
- CCKFY2026 Q3 · October 19, 2026+5.8% EPS-2.0% move
Missed on EPS
- AGNCMFY2026 Q3 · October 19, 2026-0.6% EPS-0.3% move
- STLDFY2026 Q3 · October 19, 2026-4.0% EPS-0.3% move
- AGNCFY2026 Q3 · October 19, 2026-0.6% EPS+4.1% move
- HDBFY2027 Q2 · October 17, 2026-2.0% EPS— move
- TFC-PIFY2026 Q3 · October 16, 2026-50.9% EPS— move
- TFC-POFY2026 Q3 · October 16, 2026-50.9% EPS— move
Get the SPCX recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-05T14:14:26.205912+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-21T01:50:42.038093+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-21T01:50:42.035190+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.