The Southern Company · SO · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Southern Company: Strong Load Growth, Financing Progress, Risks Remain

The current and prior analyses support a constructive operating narrative: resilient demand, especially from data centers and commercial customers, is paired with expanded generation investment and financing progress. The thesis remains conditional because equity needs, regulatory uncertainty, financing costs, and execution could limit the conversion of demand into earnings growth.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $96.31B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.60 Consensus $1.51
EPS surprise +6.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.82B Consensus $7.62B
Revenue surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.2% Up to 20 sessions
SOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds reported third-quarter strength, further evidence of data-center load growth, progress on debt and equity financing, and the acquisition of a natural-gas generating facility. The analysis also continues to flag long-term EPS rebasing, regulatory, financing, and project-execution questions.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the analysis says third-quarter earnings put the full year at the top of guidance.

Key takeaways

  • The current analysis describes adjusted EPS beating estimates and placing full-year earnings at the top of guidance.
  • Management highlighted data-center and commercial load growth, with a large pipeline of potential incremental demand.
  • Financing progress supports the capital plan, but equity needs, regulatory developments, and project execution remain key watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Expand generation capacity and battery storage in Georgia and Alabama.
  • Advance gas pipeline expansion and support large-load customer growth.
  • Continue equity financing and update the long-term capital and sales outlook.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $7B Q4 '23 actual $6B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $7B Q1 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $7B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $8B Q3 '25 actual $8B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '26 actual $8B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $8B Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $9B
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1133.3%
Neutral1957.6%
Bearish39.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$83.72Current
$71Low
$89.94Average
$112High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Keybanc Underweight Sector WeightDowngradeJul 23, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $83.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$97$92.7 +15.9%Aug 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$106$94.34 +26.6%Jul 31, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$104$97.25 +24.2%Jul 27, 2026
KeyBancSophie Karp$79$95.8 -5.6%Jul 23, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$102$94.8 +21.8%Jul 22, 2026
See 59 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Southern Company operates as an energy utility, primarily involved in the production, transmission, and distribution of electricity. Its operations are segmented into Gas Distribution Operations, Gas Pipeline Investments, Wholesale Gas Services, and Gas Marketing Services. The company also undertakes the development, construction, acquisition, ownership, and management of various power generation assets, including renewable energy ventures, and supplies electricity to the wholesale market. Complementing its power business, it distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee, while also offering gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and managing gas pipeline investments.…

Historical context

All SO earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T12:10:42.673051+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T12:10:42.669894+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.