TD Synnex Corp · SNX · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

TD SYNNEX: HIVE Growth Broadens the FY26 Outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient cloud infrastructure, PC refresh, AI, and security demand are supporting growth, while component costs, software-mix conversion pressure and macro uncertainty could limit durability.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $22.26B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.83 Consensus $3.68
EPS surprise +4.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $17.38B Consensus $16.95B
Revenue surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.3% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +16.1% Up to 20 sessions
SNXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, TD SYNNEX moved from strong HIVE and AI-related momentum to record Q4 performance, with HIVE billings above 50% growth and a larger profit contribution. Management also set FY26 expectations at about 12% billings growth and similar CapEx to FY25.

Guidance delta

FY26 guidance targets about 12% billings growth, with CapEx expected to be similar to FY25; guidance sentiment was maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 billings grew 15% and EPS grew 24%, both setting new records
  • HIVE billings grew more than 50% and became a larger operating-income driver
  • Management expects about 12% FY26 billings growth while continuing HIVE and AI-related investment

Management priorities

  • Expand HIVE engineering, leadership and capacity
  • Scale the partner-first digital portal and AI assistant
  • Maintain free-cash-flow generation while investing in AI services and partner capabilities

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.69 Q4 '23 actual $3.13, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.84 Q1 '24 actual $2.99, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.82 Q2 '24 actual $2.73, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.80 Q3 '24 actual $2.86, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.71 Q2 '25 actual $2.99, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.05 Q3 '25 actual $3.58, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.68 Q4 '25 actual $3.83, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.29 Q1 '26 actual $4.73, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.14 Q2 '26 actual $4.85, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.70 Q3 '26 actual $5.68, beat Q4 '26 estimate $5.90 Q1 '27 estimate $5.30 Q2 '27 estimate $5.67 Q3 '27 estimate $6.49
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish1979.2%
Neutral416.7%
Bearish14.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$278.38Current
$130Low
$247.79Average
$379High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 8, 2026
Barrington Research Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 26, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJun 12, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $278.38. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSDavid Vogt$379$269.01 +36.1%Sep 25, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$359$259.47 +29.0%Sep 25, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$334$261.12 +20.0%Sep 15, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$287$262.64 +3.1%Sep 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$278$261.35 -0.1%Jul 2, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TD SYNNEX Corporation operates as a distributor and solutions aggregator for the information technology (IT) ecosystem in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It offers endpoint solutions, including personal computing devices and peripherals, mobile phones and accessories, printers, and supplies; and advanced solutions comprising data center technologies, such as hybrid cloud, security, storage, networking, servers, software, converged and hyper-converged infrastructure, and hyperscale infrastructure. The company also provides design, integration, test and other production value-added solutions, such as thermal testing, power-draw efficiency testing, burn-in, quality, and logistics support; logistics and field services; depot repair and customer management services; and cloud services, including public cloud solutions in productivity and collaboration, infrastructure as a service, platform as a service, software as a service…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T03:30:45.156060+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T03:30:45.153657+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.