TD Synnex Corp · SNX · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025
TD SYNNEX Holds Outlook as Hive Pause Pressures Execution
The supplied analysis supports a mixed view: resilient demand across several technology solution areas and progress in digital platforms support the growth case, but Hive execution, working capital, and margin risks remain material.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis adds a temporary Hive demand pause, a delayed component shipment, inventory buildup, and a higher-than-expected gross-to-net adjustment to the prior quarter's growth and platform-expansion narrative.
Guidance delta
Maintained: management kept its prior full-year mid-single-digit billings growth outlook and continued targeting $1.1 billion of fiscal 2025 free cash flow.
Key takeaways
- Management described the Hive softness and component delay as a near-term issue while highlighting continued demand across cloud, cybersecurity, data and analytics, AI, and endpoint solutions.
- Digital Bridge and the PACE platform are being expanded to improve partner efficiency and broaden adoption.
- Capital allocation remained a stated priority, alongside efforts to manage inventory, margins, and cash conversion.
Management priorities
- Stabilize Hive execution and work through component and inventory issues.
- Expand Digital Bridge, PACE, and related platform adoption across regions.
- Maintain vendor partnerships, shareholder returns, and the fiscal 2025 free-cash-flow objective.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Barrington Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 12, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 10, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | May 27, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 30, 2025 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 19, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | Jun 28, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 28, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 29, 2022 |
| Cross Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 12, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 4, 2018 |
| Pivotal Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 31, 2018 |
| CLSA | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 27, 2016 |
| Brean Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 24, 2016 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 11, 2016 |
| Needham | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 26, 2015 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 28, 2013 |
| Credit Agricole | Outperform | Buy | Maintain | Mar 28, 2013 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 26, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $246.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | David Vogt | $379 | $269.01 | +53.6% | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $359 | $259.47 | +45.5% | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $334 | $261.12 | +35.4% | Sep 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Guy Hardwick | $287 | $262.64 | +16.3% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $278 | $261.35 | +12.7% | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Barrington | Vincent Colicchio | $325 | $265.6 | +31.7% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | David Paige | $340 | $274.49 | +37.8% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $330 | $277.63 | +33.7% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $352 | $277.63 | +42.7% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $374 | $277.63 | +51.6% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $341 | $283.26 | +38.2% | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Katherine Murphy | $300 | $277.09 | +21.6% | Jun 11, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | David Paige | $315 | $278.1 | +27.7% | Jun 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $265 | $233.31 | +7.4% | May 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Katherine Murphy | $180 | $150.3 | -27.1% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $193 | $146.03 | -21.8% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $172 | $146.63 | -30.3% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $163 | $146.94 | -33.9% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $177 | $150.65 | -28.3% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Barrington | Analyst unavailable | $182 | $164.64 | -26.2% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $187 | $164.58 | -24.2% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $180 | $161.22 | -27.1% | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $181 | $159.69 | -26.6% | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $164 | $164.5 | -33.5% | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $164 | $159.69 | -33.5% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $159.69 | -29.1% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $173 | $150.26 | -29.9% | Sep 18, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | David Paige | $165 | $149.82 | -33.1% | Aug 22, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | David Paige | $145 | $137.79 | -41.2% | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $137.79 | -37.2% | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Barclays | George Wang | $140 | $136.88 | -43.3% | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Barrington | Analyst unavailable | $156 | $129.58 | -36.8% | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $144 | $119.67 | -41.6% | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $118 | $117.29 | -52.2% | Sep 26, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $140 | $115.09 | -43.3% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $150 | $116.12 | -39.2% | Jun 26, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $135 | $130.61 | -45.3% | Jun 11, 2024 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $145 | $111.7 | -41.2% | Apr 16, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ananda Baruah | $150 | $118.23 | -39.2% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $118 | $113.69 | -52.2% | Mar 27, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Sheerin | $130 | $112.27 | -47.3% | Mar 26, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $110 | $105.01 | -55.4% | Mar 22, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Sheerin | $120 | $102.04 | -51.4% | Sep 19, 2023 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationTD SYNNEX Corporation operates as a distributor and solutions aggregator for the information technology (IT) ecosystem in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It offers endpoint solutions, including personal computing devices and peripherals, mobile phones and accessories, printers, and supplies; and advanced solutions comprising data center technologies, such as hybrid cloud, security, storage, networking, servers, software, converged and hyper-converged infrastructure, and hyperscale infrastructure. The company also provides design, integration, test and other production value-added solutions, such as thermal testing, power-draw efficiency testing, burn-in, quality, and logistics support; logistics and field services; depot repair and customer management services; and cloud services, including public cloud solutions in productivity and collaboration, infrastructure as a service, platform as a service, software as a service…
Historical context
All SNX earningsTechnology peers this season
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| ERIC Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +28.6% | +11.8% | Ericsson Q3: 7% organic growth, resilient margins and AI-led demand |
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +20.4% | -3.9% | ASML: Record Q3, strong AI demand and broader capacity plans |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-03-13T00:00:40.784045+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T07:20:41.687281+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T07:20:41.684489+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.