Snowflake Inc. · SNOW · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Snowflake’s AI adoption accelerated, but durability remains the key test

The quarter supports the view that enterprise AI adoption and resilient demand can support Snowflake’s growth trajectory, but the evidence is not yet sufficient to dismiss concerns about durability, consumption volatility, competition, or execution.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $117.49B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.35 Consensus $0.31
EPS surprise +12.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.21B Consensus $1.18B
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -11.4% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -11.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.4% Up to 20 sessions
SNOWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management presented faster AI monetization, additional ecosystem expansion, and a broader set of migration and platform initiatives. The core question shifted from whether AI demand is emerging to whether the current pace can persist while Snowflake executes across products, partnerships, and acquisitions.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 product revenue guidance and reaffirmed its margin targets.

Key takeaways

  • Management described broadening enterprise adoption of Snowflake Intelligence and the Cortex AI suite.
  • Growth was supported by new customer wins, expansion, partnerships, and large multi-year contracts.
  • The quarter strengthened the growth narrative while leaving open questions about consumption volatility, AI durability, and execution.

Management priorities

  • Expand Snowflake Intelligence, Cortex AI, OpenFlow, and Snowpark adoption.
  • Advance migration capabilities through Datometry and SelectStar.
  • Deepen partnerships and global go-to-market activity across cloud, data, and systems-integration ecosystems.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNOW REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $713M Q3 '24 actual $734M, beat Q4 '24 estimate $760M Q4 '24 actual $775M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $788M Q1 '25 actual $829M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $853M Q2 '25 actual $869M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 actual $2B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy53 ratings
Bullish4381.1%
Neutral917.0%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$342.13Current
$121Low
$309.54Average
$525High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 48 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $342.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchJoseph Bonner$450$347.4 +31.5%Sep 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$436$356.47 +27.4%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$425$370.96 +24.2%Sep 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$440$374.72 +28.6%Sep 3, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$450$372.06 +31.5%Sep 3, 2026
See 219 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Snowflake Inc. delivers a cloud-centric data platform to customers across both the United States and international markets. The company's core offering, known as the Data Cloud, enables users to unify disparate data sources into a singular, reliable foundation. This unified data then facilitates the extraction of crucial business intelligence, the creation of innovative data-driven applications, and secure data sharing. This adaptable platform serves a wide array of organizations, encompassing various sizes and industries. Originating in 2012, the enterprise was initially recognized as Snowflake Computing, Inc., before officially rebranding to Snowflake Inc. in April 2019. Its principal operations are conducted from Bozeman, Montana.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T12:30:49.043523+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T12:30:49.040730+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.