Snap-on Incorporated · SNA · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Snap-on: Product innovation offsets flat Tools volume

The supplied analysis supports a measured version of the growth thesis: Snap-on's product innovation, diagnostics, RSNI expansion, and critical-industry demand provide support, while flat Tools volume and macro risks argue against treating resilient demand as established across the business.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $18.99B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.94 Consensus $4.93
EPS surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.23B Consensus $1.24B
Revenue surprise -0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.2% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.4% Up to 20 sessions
SNASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the current quarter adds evidence of 2.8% revenue growth, 5% C&I sales growth, improved Tools margins despite flat volume, and continued product launches. The risk profile remains centered on tariffs, currency, shortages, and demand conversion.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the current analysis continues to describe a roughly $100 million 2026 capex plan and a confident operating stance.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue growth remained modest, while EPS reached $4.94.
  • C&I sales grew 5%, and Tools-group margins improved despite flat volume.
  • NanoAxis, Control Tech Plus, MT 2,600, and RSNI are the main product and software growth supports.
  • Tariffs, currency, shutdowns, shortages, and technician uncertainty remain key risks.
  • The current analysis is constructive, but it does not remove the need to watch volume and demand conversion.

Management priorities

  • Scale new power-tool and diagnostic products
  • Expand RSNI software, databases, and OEM integrations
  • Invest roughly $100 million in product and facility upgrades
  • Grow critical-industry custom kitting
  • Continue buybacks and dividend increases

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4.66 Q4 '23 actual $4.75, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4.64 Q1 '24 actual $4.75, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.94 Q2 '24 actual $5.07, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.63 Q2 '26 actual $4.72, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.64 Q3 '26 actual $4.71, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.93 Q4 '26 actual $4.94, match Q1 '27 estimate $4.75 Q1 '27 actual $4.69, miss Q2 '27 estimate $4.90 Q3 '27 estimate $4.96 Q4 '27 estimate $5.19 Q1 '28 estimate $5.08

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold17 ratings
Bullish1164.7%
Neutral423.5%
Bearish211.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$364.81Current
$240Low
$390.56Average
$485High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 24, 2026
Barrington Research Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2025
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 18, 2025
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 31, 2025
Roth MKM Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2024
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeDec 6, 2022
MKM Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 10, 2022
UBS Sell SellMaintainSep 16, 2020
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 16, 2019
CL King Buy BuyMaintainJun 28, 2016
Northcoast Research Buy BuyMaintainMar 18, 2015
Wunderlich Securities Buy BuyMaintainDec 2, 2014
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainDec 2, 2014
Janney Montgomery Scott Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 11, 2013
Janney Capital Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 11, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $364.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$485$412.34 +32.9%Jul 31, 2026
Roth CapitalScott Stember$461$400.78 +26.4%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$415$395.41 +13.8%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$420$372.13 +15.1%May 28, 2026
Roth CapitalScott Stember$431$389.52 +18.1%Apr 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$395$390.75 +8.3%Apr 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$380$386.86 +4.2%Apr 21, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$409$369.01 +12.1%Feb 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$375$369.21 +2.8%Feb 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$370$366.63 +1.4%Jan 30, 2026
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$405$345.96 +11.0%Oct 21, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$365$337.81 +0.1%Oct 17, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$385$340.8 +5.5%Oct 17, 2025
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$395$325.27 +8.3%Aug 29, 2025
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$347$337.94 -4.9%Jul 18, 2025
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$390$334.08 +6.9%Mar 3, 2025
CFRAJonathan Sakraida$285$275.74 -21.9%Sep 10, 2024
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$336$273.47 -7.9%Jul 25, 2024
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$282$261.76 -22.7%Apr 19, 2024
CFRAJonathan Sakraida$265$294.63 -27.4%Apr 2, 2024
Tigress FinancialElizabeth Suzuki$240$297.61 -34.2%Mar 11, 2024
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$298$223.26 -18.3%Apr 26, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Snap-on Incorporated, a global provider based in Kenosha, Wisconsin, specializes in the production and distribution of an extensive range of tools, equipment, diagnostic systems, and repair information solutions for professional users worldwide. The company operates through its Commercial & Industrial Group, Snap-on Tools Group, Repair Systems & Information Group, and Financial Services segments. Its comprehensive product portfolio includes a diverse selection of hand tools like wrenches, sockets, pliers, screwdrivers, cutting and pruning tools, and torque measuring instruments. Snap-on also supplies various power tools (cordless, pneumatic, hydraulic, and corded) and robust tool storage solutions such as chests and roll cabinets.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T17:06:32.934825+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T17:06:32.932054+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.