The Charles Schwab Corporation · SCHW · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Schwab record Q1: $6.5B revenue, $1.43 EPS beat, but shares slipped ~8%

Schwab's record Q1 pairs an EPS beat with continued strong client acquisition (~1.3M accounts, $158B net new assets), positioning it to compound earnings through wealth-advisory flows, AI-driven efficiency, higher cash rates, and a phased spot-crypto launch. The offsetting risk is rate and tape sensitivity: shares fell about 8% on the print despite the beat, and drifted another ~3% lower, signaling concern over net interest margin and revenue per trade. The setup is constructive but environment-dependent.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $173.03B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.43 Consensus $1.40
EPS surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.48B Consensus $6.50B
Revenue surprise -0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.6% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -7.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.4% Up to 20 sessions
SCHWSPY benchmark

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What changed

Relative to the prior quarter (Q3 2025, +27% revenue and +70% EPS growth), Q1 2026 growth normalized to +16% revenue and +38% adjusted EPS — still record levels but at a slower pace. The quarter added several concrete catalysts: the Forge acquisition closed (pre-IPO private shares), spot crypto was quantified at 75bps with a phased rollout, and the first client AI assistant was dated for June 2026. Notably, the stock fell ~7.9% on the day despite the EPS beat — its largest abnormal down-move of the window — with ~3.4% further drift and roughly 3x baseline volume, so the negative market reaction outweighed the headline beat.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management kept its full-year outlook and expressed confidence that AI, digital assets, and private-market initiatives will sustain earnings growth through the cycle. The supplied analysis includes no specific numeric guidance range.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q1 2026: revenue of $6.5B (+16% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $1.43 (+38%), an EPS beat versus the $1.40 estimate while revenue came in marginally short.
  • Strong client growth: roughly 1.3M new brokerage accounts and $158B of core net new assets, lifting total client assets to about $11.8T.
  • Forge acquisition closed, adding direct access to pre-IPO private shares.
  • Spot crypto (Bitcoin, Ether) launching at 75bps with a phased client rollout beginning with an employee pilot.
  • AI acceleration: the first client AI assistant launches in June 2026, with AI portfolio insights and AI-enabled experiences planned through 2026.

Management priorities

  • Launch AI-driven portfolio insights and AI-enabled experiences across 2026.
  • Introduce the first client AI assistant in June 2026 and expand its capabilities over time.
  • Roll out the Schwab Crypto spot platform to clients in phases, adding more coins over time.
  • Deploy private issuer equity services and expand Forge product offerings.
  • Open roughly a dozen new branches in 2026 and roll out the Schwab Team Investor account for teens.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SCHW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.65 Q4 '23 actual $0.68, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.74 Q1 '24 actual $0.74, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.72 Q2 '24 actual $0.73, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.75 Q3 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.10 Q2 '25 actual $1.14, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.25 Q3 '25 actual $1.31, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.36 Q4 '25 actual $1.39, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.40 Q1 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.56 Q2 '26 actual $1.62, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.67 Q4 '26 estimate $1.78 Q1 '27 estimate $1.81 Q2 '27 estimate $1.97
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold50 ratings
Bullish2958.0%
Neutral1836.0%
Bearish36.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$100.61Current
$56Low
$105.82Average
$145High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 20, 2026
Show 45 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $100.61. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$135$105.24 +34.2%Aug 3, 2026
Compass PointEd Engel$135$105.24 +34.2%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$136$103.9 +35.2%Jul 27, 2026
Argus ResearchStephen Biggar$114$102.18 +13.3%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesPatrick O'Shaughnessy$145$99.79 +44.1%Jul 22, 2026
See 90 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) stands as a prominent financial services enterprise, delivering a comprehensive suite of offerings that encompass wealth management, securities trading and brokerage, banking services, asset administration, custodial solutions, and financial planning advice. Its operations are primarily structured around two core divisions: Investor Services and Advisor Services. The Investor Services segment caters directly to individual retail clients, furnishing a range of services such as brokerage accounts, investment guidance, banking and trust administration, retirement planning, and corporate brokerage offerings. It further assists businesses with the full-service recordkeeping of equity compensation plans (e.g., stock options, restricted stock, performance shares), provides clearing services for retail investors and mutual funds, and offers compliance solutions. Conversely, the Advisor Services segment provides a robust support system for independent investment advisors.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T11:21:02.885660+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T11:21:02.882735+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.