Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish310.3%
Neutral1448.3%
Bearish1241.4%
1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.
Southern Copper Corporation · SCCO · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Southern Copper: Strong Results, Lower Copper Guidance
Southern Copper's strong results and by-product contribution support the operating case, but lower copper production guidance and execution risks weaken the near-term trajectory.
Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials
$155.01B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$1.58
Consensus $1.54
EPS surprise
+2.6%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$3.87B
Consensus $3.71B
Revenue surprise
+4.3%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+3.4%
Event window
SPY move
+0.4%
Same window
Abnormal move
+3.0%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.3×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+11.4%
Up to 20 sessions
SCCOSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about SCCO FY2025 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did SCCO rise 3.4% after beating EPS estimates in FY2025 Q4?What changed in SCCO's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for SCCO after FY2025 Q4 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The company reported record 2025 results and highlighted strong by-product support, while lowering 2026 copper production guidance. Management also emphasized Tia Maria, cost discipline and continued expansion spending.
Guidance delta
Lowered: 2026 copper production is forecast to decline, while per-pound cost guidance is flat.
Key takeaways
- Record 2025 sales, adjusted EBITDA and net income were supported by copper prices and by-product volumes.
- By-product production and credits remain an important support for margins.
- Tia Maria is the main growth project, while lower ore grades and currency pressure temper the outlook.
- The central tension is strong near-term economics versus lower copper production guidance and project execution risk.
Management priorities
- Advance Tia Maria toward second-half 2027 copper production.
- Focus on zinc and silver production at Buenavista to support by-product credits.
- Maintain disciplined capital spending while advancing expansion projects and ESG initiatives.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$182.43Current
$61Low
$139.59Average
$186High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Oct 19, 2026 |
| UBS | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Underperform | Maintain | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Itau BBA | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Oct 29, 2025 |
| HSBC | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Sell | Sell | Maintain | May 3, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Jan 11, 2023 |
| BBVA | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Oct 14, 2020 |
| Macquarie | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Jul 11, 2019 |
| Bradesco Corretora | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Nov 21, 2018 |
| Bradesco | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Nov 21, 2018 |
| B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 19, 2018 |
| B. Riley FBR | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 19, 2018 |
| B. Riley | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 6, 2018 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Dec 7, 2016 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 23, 2016 |
| Berenberg | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Feb 29, 2016 |
| FBR Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 28, 2016 |
| Brean Capital | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 26, 2015 |
| BB&T Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 5, 2015 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 9, 2014 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Nov 6, 2013 |
| Santander | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 11, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $182.43. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $168 | $200.51 | -7.9% | Oct 19, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $180 | $200.57 | -1.3% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $198.54 | -6.8% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Garchitorena | $166 | $195.48 | -9.0% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $179.37 | -12.3% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $172 | $167.21 | -5.7% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $169.75 | -13.4% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Myles Allsop | $160 | $172.48 | -12.3% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Alfonso Salazar | $140 | $193.84 | -23.3% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $148 | $179.12 | -18.9% | May 21, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $175.28 | -20.5% | May 21, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Alfonso Salazar | $135 | $174.85 | -26.0% | May 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $171 | $171.69 | -6.3% | May 1, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Alfonso Salazar | $133 | $187.74 | -27.1% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | $186 | $193.37 | +2.0% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $178 | $188.05 | -2.4% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $187.17 | -12.3% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Myles Allsop | $140 | $162.07 | -23.3% | Mar 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $192.8 | -17.8% | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $156 | $198.2 | -14.5% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $192 | $198.18 | +5.2% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $191.73 | -31.5% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Myles Allsop | $148 | $186.25 | -18.9% | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $129 | $174.37 | -29.3% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $182 | $176 | -0.2% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $144 | $147.18 | -21.1% | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $138 | $143.86 | -24.4% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| UBS | Myles Allsop | $143 | $144.06 | -21.6% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $138.36 | -37.0% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| HSBC | Jonathan Brandt | $118 | $133.27 | -35.3% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $132 | $126.73 | -27.6% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $121 | $126.73 | -33.7% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $128.29 | -15.0% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Marcio Farid | $89 | $106.88 | -51.2% | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Carlos De Alba | $99 | $97.55 | -45.7% | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Alfonso Salazar | $52 | $117.57 | -71.5% | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Carlos De Alba | $100 | $110.54 | -45.2% | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Alejandro Demichelis | $137 | $116.96 | -24.9% | May 31, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Alfonso Salazar | $54 | $128.55 | -70.4% | May 21, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Alejandro Demichelis | $130 | $104.36 | -28.7% | Mar 22, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Carlos De Alba | $70 | $79.96 | -61.6% | Apr 17, 2023 |
| Banco Santander | Rafael Barcellos | $69 | $57.93 | -62.2% | Nov 28, 2022 |
| Barclays | Matthew Murphy | $61 | $64.89 | -66.6% | Jun 8, 2022 |
Track every rating change on SCCO the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationSouthern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Mexico, the United States, Peru, Brazil, Chile, and Other American countries. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes; production of copper-molybdenum concentrates and sulfuric acid; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials; and mining and processing of copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold and lead.…
Historical context
All SCCO earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +6.9% | -20.6% | CRS: Aerospace Bookings Accelerate as Guidance Holds |
| DOW Dow Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +11.3% | +4.7% | Dow’s Q3 growth and self-help gains support a steady Q4 outlook |
| NEM Newmont Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +12.2% | -2.6% | Newmont Holds 2026 Guidance as Projects Set Up 2027 Growth |
| RS Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +17.4% | -0.7% | Reliance posts record quarter as pricing and volume gains drive results |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- DECKFY2027 Q2 · October 22, 2026+13.4% EPS-0.2% move
- OMCFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+2.2% EPS+2.6% move
- SSNCFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+0.6% EPS+2.8% move
- BEFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+36.0% EPS-8.7% move
- ROPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+1.7% EPS+9.7% move
- BPOPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+5.8% EPS-2.8% move
Missed on EPS
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
- HBANPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS0.0% move
- PCGFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-0.8% EPS-1.3% move
Get the SCCO recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T13:10:41.818599+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T13:10:41.815877+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.