SBA Communications Corporation · SBAC · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

SBA Communications raises outlook as new growth avenues emerge

The Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient tower leasing and a stronger balance sheet provide support, while emerging edge-compute and satellite opportunities could broaden growth. The case still depends on carrier spending, churn management and disciplined capital allocation.

Reported After market closeNASDAQReal Estate $18.65B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.87 Consensus $1.85
EPS surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $715.3M Consensus $706.0M
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.7% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +2.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.5% Up to 20 sessions
SBACSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, SBA moved from a broad growth-and-balance-sheet narrative to tangible progress on investment-grade financing, a higher S&P rating, modestly increased full-year guidance and a clearer emphasis on edge compute and direct-to-device satellite opportunities.

Guidance delta

Management modestly raised full-year site-leasing revenue, AFFO and AFFO-per-share guidance.

Key takeaways

  • SBA reported a solid Q2 2026 and increased its dividend 13% to $1.25 per share.
  • The company highlighted a $3.5 billion unsecured investment-grade bond issuance and an S&P upgrade from BBB- to BBB.
  • Upcoming spectrum auctions, edge compute and satellite-to-device opportunities were identified as longer-term growth drivers.
  • International churn remains elevated, while leverage, carrier spending and litigation remain important watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Build approximately 600 towers in 2026, focused on Central America and Tanzania.
  • Continue investment-grade debt issuance to refinance maturities and resume share buybacks in the second half of 2026.
  • Pursue edge-compute, satellite-terrestrial and acquisition opportunities while supporting 5G densification.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SBAC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.21 Q1 '24 actual $1.42, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.07 Q2 '24 actual $1.51, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.27 Q3 '24 actual $2.40, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.12 Q2 '25 actual $2.09, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3.04 Q3 '25 actual $3.32, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.89 Q4 '25 actual $3.47, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.78 Q1 '26 actual $1.74, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.85 Q2 '26 actual $1.87, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.08 Q4 '26 estimate $1.86 Q1 '27 estimate $1.93
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish2868.3%
Neutral1331.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$175.84Current
$205Low
$278.17Average
$425High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeJul 17, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 10, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMay 1, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 30, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJan 20, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainNov 4, 2025
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainNov 4, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 1, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 27, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2025
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainApr 29, 2025
Citizens Capital Markets Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainFeb 25, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2024
MoffettNathanson Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMar 30, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 22, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 22, 2023
Wolfe Research Peer Perform UnderperformUpgradeJan 25, 2023
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJun 30, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainFeb 24, 2020
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 15, 2019
Moffett Nathanson Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 8, 2019
Guggenheim Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 22, 2019
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 29, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainMay 3, 2016
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainMay 3, 2016
Evercore ISI Group Hold BuyDowngradeNov 5, 2015
BTIG Research Buy BuyMaintainJun 18, 2015
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainNov 6, 2014
Pacific Crest Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 5, 2014
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2014
Evercore Partners Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 5, 2014
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2012
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2012
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2012
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainMay 2, 2012
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 30, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $175.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$205$177.76 +16.6%Sep 21, 2026
BarclaysBrendan Lynch$208$182.43 +18.3%Aug 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$238$175.01 +35.4%Aug 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyCameron McVeigh$215$179.54 +22.3%Aug 4, 2026
Wells FargoEric Luebchow$210$185.04 +19.4%Jul 17, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$205$180.95 +16.6%Jun 26, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$245$217.91 +39.3%May 5, 2026
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$230$219.37 +30.8%May 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$244$214.2 +38.8%Apr 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$225$218.46 +28.0%Apr 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$260$189.25 +47.9%Jan 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$233$193.52 +32.5%Jan 14, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$205$193.11 +16.6%Dec 16, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$212$194.27 +20.6%Dec 1, 2025
Williams TradingGregory Williams$237$197.66 +34.8%Nov 4, 2025
BMO CapitalAri Klein$210$193.52 +19.4%Nov 4, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$215$196.26 +22.3%Oct 20, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$275$191.37 +56.4%Oct 14, 2025
Raymond JamesRic Prentiss$265$219.16 +50.7%Aug 5, 2025
JMP SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$280$219.16 +59.2%Aug 5, 2025
JMP SecuritiesGreg Miller$250$196.83 +42.2%Jan 27, 2025
BMO CapitalAri Klein$230$201.06 +30.8%Dec 18, 2024
Williams TradingGregory Williams$261$239.94 +48.4%Oct 29, 2024
JefferiesJonathan Petersen$225$239.94 +28.0%Oct 29, 2024
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$280$236.38 +59.2%Oct 14, 2024
Deutsche BankMatt Niknam$240$217.07 +36.5%Aug 14, 2024
BMO CapitalAri Klein$245$217.94 +39.3%Jul 30, 2024
Wells FargoEric Luebchow$220$212.83 +25.1%Jul 15, 2024
RBC CapitalJonathan Atkin$235$197.22 +33.6%May 9, 2024
Deutsche BankMatthew Niknam$230$189.12 +30.8%May 2, 2024
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$227$201.89 +29.1%Apr 30, 2024
Wells FargoEric Luebchow$230$201.89 +30.8%Apr 30, 2024
BarclaysBrendan Lynch$255$195.06 +45.0%Apr 17, 2024
MoffettNathansonNick Del Deo$262$213.4 +49.0%Apr 8, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsAri Klein$260$241.83 +47.9%Jul 13, 2023
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$350$305.78 +99.0%Jan 13, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$336$304.82 +91.1%Jan 12, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$334$296.48 +89.9%Nov 23, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$341$297.98 +93.9%Nov 14, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$366$311.23 +108.1%Sep 16, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$380$338.95 +116.1%Aug 26, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$390$347.64 +121.8%Aug 8, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$410$340.7 +133.2%Aug 2, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$408$332.85 +132.0%Aug 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$361$319.53 +105.3%Jul 20, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$355$313.51 +101.9%Jul 19, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$381$323.47 +116.7%Jul 12, 2022
JefferiesJonathan Petersen$347$330.46 +97.3%Jul 5, 2022
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$389$292.04 +121.2%Jun 19, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$385$365.5 +118.9%Apr 26, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$405$369.96 +130.3%Apr 26, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$410$371.89 +133.2%Apr 26, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$378$360.91 +115.0%Apr 19, 2022
Deutsche BankMatthew Niknam$365$326.03 +107.6%Mar 3, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesDavid Barden$425$379.04 +141.7%Jan 3, 2022
UBSBatya Levi$400$356.96 +127.5%Nov 2, 2021
CitigroupMichael Rollins$404$357.88 +129.8%Aug 19, 2021
Truist FinancialGregory P Miller$400$344.12 +127.5%Aug 3, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SBA Communications Corporation stands as a premier owner, operator, and provider of crucial wireless communication infrastructure across North, Central, and South America, in addition to South Africa. Guided by its mission to 'Build Better Wireless,' the company primarily earns revenue from two core business areas: the leasing of antenna space and providing comprehensive site development services. Its central activity revolves around renting out capacity on its shared communication towers to various wireless service providers through long-term contractual agreements. For further details, please visit www.sbasite.com.

Historical context

All SBAC earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T15:13:17.358983+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T04:50:51.027199+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T04:50:51.024363+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.