Royal Bank of Canada · RY · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2026

RBC posts record Q2 earnings as fees and AI productivity support growth

The quarter supports a constructive operating picture for RBC: broad-based revenue growth, stronger fee businesses, AI-related productivity gains and continued U.S. expansion outweighed the risks discussed on the call. The evidence remains balanced by macro uncertainty, credit-quality questions and net-interest-margin pressure.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $277.19B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.84 Consensus $2.81
EPS surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.84B Consensus $12.74B
Revenue surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.1% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.4% Up to 20 sessions
RYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the emphasis shifted from initial AI and digital initiatives toward reported productivity gains, stronger fee-based activity and a larger capital-return program. RBC also highlighted its Indigenous advisory practice and continued U.S. expansion, while maintaining its outlook.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook: expense growth and net-interest income remain in the mid-single-digit range, with capital-return targets reaffirmed.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q2 earnings were supported by broad revenue growth and operating leverage across major businesses.
  • Fee-based revenue benefited from M&A, Global Markets and Wealth Management, while net new assets were approximately $15 billion.
  • Management highlighted AI productivity gains and a target of $1 billion in AI-generated enterprise value within 18 months.
  • Capital returns increased through a 14% dividend increase, expanded buybacks and a new normal-course issuer bid.
  • The main offsets are trade and geopolitical uncertainty, credit-quality risks and pressure on net interest margins.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI models across client-facing workflows and pursue the $1 billion enterprise-value target.
  • Expand U.S. operations, including City National and commercial lending, while growing Capital Markets capabilities.
  • Maintain disciplined capital returns and keep CET1 at the higher end of the target range.
  • Develop the Indigenous advisory and finance practice for major energy and critical-minerals projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.06 Q1 '24 actual $2.11, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.03 Q2 '24 actual $2.15, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.19 Q3 '24 actual $2.42, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.36 Q3 '25 actual $2.79, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.51 Q4 '25 actual $2.76, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.81 Q1 '26 actual $2.94, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.81 Q2 '26 actual $2.84, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.89 Q3 '26 actual $3.07, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.14 Q1 '27 estimate $4.37 Q2 '27 estimate $4.28 Q3 '27 estimate $4.59
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1343.3%
Neutral1653.3%
Bearish13.4%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$199.45Current
$94Low
$141.54Average
$225High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Raymond James Mkt Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 12, 2026
TD Securities Buy HoldUpgradeDec 4, 2025
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeNov 25, 2025
Erste Group Buy HoldUpgradeSep 22, 2025
CIBC Neutral Sector OutperformDowngradeSep 5, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 29, 2025
National Bank Financial Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 30, 2025
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 5, 2024
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 18, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2023
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 25, 2023
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJun 27, 2023
RBC Capital Perform Sector PerformMaintainMay 5, 2023
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 5, 2023
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMar 25, 2020
DA Davidson Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 31, 2019
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Bank of America Buy UnderperformUpgradeJan 30, 2018
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeFeb 27, 2017
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeFeb 27, 2017
Rafferty Capital Hold BuyDowngradeDec 1, 2016
Rafferty Hold BuyDowngradeDec 1, 2016
Buckingham Research Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 6, 2016
Canaccord Genuity Hold BuyDowngradeOct 9, 2014
National Bank Financial Inc Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeDec 9, 2013
Deutsche Bank Hold SellUpgradeNov 20, 2013
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeMay 14, 2013
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainApr 17, 2013
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 30, 2012
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeNov 30, 2012
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $199.45. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$225$197.39 +12.8%Jun 11, 2026
BMO CapitalSohrab Movahedi$193$128.02 -3.2%Dec 5, 2024
Argus ResearchStephen Biggar$120$107.11 -39.8%Jun 6, 2024
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$125$105.28 -37.3%Jun 6, 2022
DesjardinsDouglas Young$112.2$102.97 -43.7%Aug 27, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$105.04$98.81 -47.3%May 19, 2021
CFRAPauline Bell$94$91.14 -52.9%Apr 23, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), established in 1864 and headquartered in Toronto, Canada, operates as a comprehensive global financial institution. Its Personal & Commercial Banking division caters to individual clients by providing essential services like checking and savings accounts, various lending options (including mortgages, personal loans, and auto financing), private banking, investment vehicles such as mutual funds and guaranteed investment certificates (GICs), along with credit cards and payment solutions. For small and medium-sized commercial enterprises, this segment delivers a suite of services including financing, leasing, deposit management, foreign exchange, cash management, auto dealer financing, and trade solutions. These offerings are readily accessible through its extensive network of branches, ATMs, and mobile platforms. The Wealth Management segment specializes in delivering bespoke, advice-driven strategies and solutions to affluent and ultra-affluent individuals, as well as institutional investors.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-12T10:22:19.319807+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T04:41:01.596050+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T04:41:01.593193+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.