Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · RS · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Reliance Steel: Pricing Power Lifts Q2, Tariffs Pressure Margins

The Q2 analysis supports a constructive near-term earnings case: pricing power, record tonnage, domestic supply relationships, and infrastructure-related demand outweighed tariff and LIFO pressures. The key question is whether those advantages persist as contract concentration, supply constraints, and trade-policy risks evolve.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $21.34B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.27 Consensus $5.47
EPS surprise +14.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.63B Consensus $4.26B
Revenue surprise +8.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.8% Up to 20 sessions
RSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter shows stronger reported momentum and a more explicit margin offset from LIFO expense. The analysis also identifies a larger current contribution from the border-wall contract, while maintaining the focus on approximately $300 million of capital spending and strategic end-market expansion.

Guidance delta

Q3 EPS guidance of $6.40-$6.60 indicates continued momentum; the analysis characterizes guidance as maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Higher pricing and record tonnage drove strong Q2 revenue and EPS growth.
  • Domestic mill relationships and constrained supply supported pricing power and material availability.
  • The border-wall contract added volume and margin support, but dependence on large government contracts is a risk.
  • Higher LIFO expense, particularly from aluminum, is the main near-term margin headwind.
  • Management highlighted continued demand across infrastructure, semiconductor, aerospace, and defense markets.

Management priorities

  • Execute approximately $300 million of capital spending, with half directed to strategic growth investments.
  • Expand processing capability and footprint while targeting higher-margin aerospace, semiconductor, and defense end markets.
  • Use domestic mill relationships to pursue infrastructure and reshoring opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $4.73 Q2 '24 actual $4.65, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3.66 Q3 '24 actual $3.64, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4.68 Q2 '25 actual $4.43, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3.68 Q3 '25 actual $3.64, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.83 Q4 '25 actual $2.40, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4.63 Q1 '26 actual $5.16, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.47 Q2 '26 actual $6.27, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6.83 Q3 '26 actual $8.02, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6.16 Q1 '27 estimate $6.67 Q2 '27 estimate $6.66 Q3 '27 estimate $6.01
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish936.0%
Neutral1456.0%
Bearish28.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$417.92Current
$230Low
$359.7Average
$421High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 9, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainApr 28, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 23, 2026
Wolfe Research Underperform Peer PerformDowngradeJul 26, 2024
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 11, 2024
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 13, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 15, 2021
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 21, 2020
Longbow Research Neutral UnderperformUpgradeSep 6, 2019
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeApr 26, 2019
Bank of America Neutral UnderperformUpgradeDec 13, 2018
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 7, 2017
Clarksons Platou Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 18, 2016
Clarkson Capital Markets Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 18, 2016
Rosenblatt Neutral SellUpgradeApr 28, 2016
CLSA Underperform BuyDowngradeApr 22, 2016
Credit Suisse Outperform NeutralUpgradeMar 31, 2015
Topeka Capital Buy HoldUpgradeOct 17, 2014
Topeka Buy HoldUpgradeOct 17, 2014
Davenport Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 25, 2013
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 22, 2013
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainApr 16, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $417.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$420$421.07 +0.5%Oct 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$420$404.06 +0.5%Oct 14, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$421$400.31 +0.7%Oct 5, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$372$381.91 -11.0%Jul 9, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$418$398.63 +0.0%Jun 24, 2026
Wells FargoTimna Tanners$376$393.95 -10.0%Jun 4, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$390$362.53 -6.7%Apr 28, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$350$358.77 -16.3%Apr 27, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$378$351.68 -9.6%Apr 27, 2026
Wells FargoTimna Tanners$330$323.3 -21.0%Apr 15, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$340$317.7 -18.6%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$320$327.28 -23.4%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalKatja Jancic$315$273.74 -24.6%Oct 24, 2025
Wells FargoTimna Tanners$296$293.66 -29.2%Aug 13, 2025
Seaport GlobalMartin Englert$350$306.14 -16.3%Jul 25, 2025
KeyBancPhilip Gibbs$325$290.95 -22.2%Oct 14, 2024
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$230$200.06 -45.0%Apr 29, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. (RS) operates as a premier diversified metal solutions provider and a leading metal service center, serving clients across the United States, Canada, and globally. The company provides an extensive inventory of approximately 100,000 metal products, including alloys, aluminum, brass, copper, carbon steel, stainless steel, titanium, and various specialty steels.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-23T17:04:09.611045+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T03:50:43.943740+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T03:50:43.940873+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.