Rollins, Inc. · ROL · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Rollins Maintains Outlook as Weather Pressures One-Time Work

The current analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: recurring demand, pricing, acquisitions, and efficiency initiatives support the operating trajectory, while weather-sensitive one-time work and execution risks temper the case.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $14.71B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.25 Consensus $0.26
EPS surprise -5.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $912.9M Consensus $926.8M
Revenue surprise -1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -10.5% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -9.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.1% Up to 20 sessions
ROLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds weather-related weakness in one-time project revenue, while highlighting acquisition integration, technician retention, and technology initiatives as areas of progress.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the analysis indicates no change to management's stated outlook.

Key takeaways

  • The current analysis describes continued strength in recurring and ancillary services.
  • Management highlighted smooth acquisition integration, improved technician retention, and technology investment.
  • The main counterweight is weather-related weakness in one-time project revenue, alongside execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Integrate acquisitions and pursue disciplined tuck-in M&A.
  • Improve efficiency through leadership development, financial systems, and potential AI-enabled CRM integration.
  • Continue balanced capital allocation through dividends and opportunistic repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ROL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.20 Q1 '24 actual $0.20, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.27 Q2 '24 actual $0.27, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.30 Q3 '24 actual $0.29, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.30 Q2 '25 actual $0.30, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.33 Q3 '25 actual $0.35, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.26 Q4 '25 actual $0.25, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.23 Q1 '26 actual $0.24, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.34 Q2 '26 actual $0.32, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.35 Q4 '26 estimate $0.27 Q1 '27 estimate $0.25 Q2 '27 estimate $0.34
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold22 ratings
Bullish627.3%
Neutral1463.6%
Bearish29.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$30.57Current
$27Low
$51.86Average
$72High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
BNP Paribas Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 29, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 24, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 5, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeJul 24, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 23, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform BuyDowngradeJul 23, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 29, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJun 2, 2025
Stifel Buy HoldUpgradeOct 20, 2023
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 4, 2020
Buckingham Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 4, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Hold SellUpgradeNov 6, 2019
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainApr 30, 2019
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 30, 2019
William Blair Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 30, 2018
Sidoti & Co. Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 21, 2016
KeyBanc Hold HoldMaintainApr 17, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $30.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoJason Hass$27$30.59 -11.7%Sep 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$33$32.49 +7.9%Sep 23, 2026
UBSJoshua Chan$43$38.59 +40.7%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$45$39.44 +47.2%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoJason Haas$32$39.44 +4.7%Jul 24, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$45$38.62 +47.2%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$35$43.47 +14.5%Jul 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAshish Sabadra$40$43.47 +30.8%Jul 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$50$44.29 +63.6%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyGreg Parrish$65$43.62 +112.6%Jul 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$46$44.54 +50.5%Jun 25, 2026
BernsteinConnor Cerniglia$52$49.42 +70.1%May 29, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$66$56.6 +115.9%Apr 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$61$56.16 +99.5%Apr 24, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$51$56.99 +66.8%Apr 24, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$67$56.99 +119.2%Apr 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$58$54.8 +89.7%Apr 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$70$58.97 +129.0%Feb 13, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$52$58.69 +70.1%Feb 13, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$67$57.07 +119.2%Feb 12, 2026
Wells FargoJason Haas$56$65.6 +83.2%Feb 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$65$63.11 +112.6%Jan 21, 2026
RBC CapitalAshish Sabadra$70$60.71 +129.0%Dec 23, 2025
Morgan StanleyToni Kaplan$72$59.46 +135.5%Dec 17, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$72$60.34 +135.5%Dec 5, 2025
JefferiesStephanie Moore$66$57.61 +115.9%Nov 3, 2025
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$55$57.79 +79.9%Oct 31, 2025
Goldman SachsGeorge Tong$64$57.79 +109.4%Oct 30, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$63$56.28 +106.1%Oct 28, 2025
Goldman SachsGeorge Tong$61$55.47 +99.5%Apr 24, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$55$52.21 +79.9%Apr 4, 2025
BarclaysManav Patnaik$50$47.86 +63.6%Nov 4, 2024
Wells FargoJason Haas$54$47.78 +76.6%Aug 12, 2024
Stifel NicolausMichael Hoffman$54$49.75 +76.6%Jun 20, 2024
UBSJoshua Chan$49$44.35 +60.3%Apr 15, 2024
RBC CapitalAshish Sabadra$52$43.8 +70.1%Jul 13, 2023
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Rollins, Inc. operates a network of subsidiaries that specialize in delivering pest and wildlife management solutions to a diverse clientele, encompassing both homeowners and commercial enterprises, throughout the United States and globally. For residential properties, the company offers comprehensive pest control, safeguarding homes from prevalent invaders such as rodents, insects, and other nuisance animals. Furthermore, it devises tailored pest management strategies for various business sectors, including healthcare, foodservice, and logistics. Beyond standard pest solutions, Rollins, Inc. also provides a range of termite defense options, from conventional treatments to baiting systems, alongside other complementary services. The firm serves its customers directly through its own operations as well as through its extensive franchisee network. Established in 1948, Rollins, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T01:26:04.367780+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T01:26:04.364706+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.