Rollins, Inc. · ROL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Rollins Q3: Organic Growth and Margins Strengthen as Saela Outperforms

The supplied Q3 analysis supports the view that resilient demand and earnings growth can reinforce Rollins's operating trajectory: organic growth remained solid, margins expanded, cash flow improved, and Saela outperformed its initial revenue expectations. The main tests are whether residential momentum persists, pricing remains accepted, and margin gains continue despite fleet, claims, weather, and competitive pressures.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $14.51B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.35 Consensus $0.33
EPS surprise +6.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.03B Consensus $1.02B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.3% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +8.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.4% Up to 20 sessions
ROLSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Q3 showed higher reported organic growth at 7.2%, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to 25.2%, free cash flow growth of about 30%, and Saela tracking above its initial first-year revenue expectation. Management maintained its FY2025 growth targets and continued to emphasize commercial investment, pricing, productivity, and disciplined M&A.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its FY2025 targets of 7–8% organic growth and 3–4% growth from acquisitions; no change was identified in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue grew 12% year over year, including 7.2% organic growth across service lines.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 120 basis points to 25.2%, while free cash flow grew about 30%.
  • Saela's first-year revenue is tracking in the mid-70s percentage range, above the originally projected mid-60s range.
  • Commercial pest control delivered double-digit recurring growth, while leverage remained low at 0.8x.
  • The quarterly dividend increased 11% this week, and operating cash flow conversion reached 112%.

Management priorities

  • Continue investing in the commercial division and sales productivity.
  • Expand the Collab talent-development program for more than 2,000 people leaders.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation through dividend growth, modest share repurchases, and strategic M&A.
  • Use pricing and cost efficiencies to improve margins.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ROL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.21 Q4 '23 actual $0.21, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.20 Q1 '24 actual $0.20, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.27 Q2 '24 actual $0.27, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.30 Q3 '24 actual $0.29, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.30 Q2 '25 actual $0.30, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.33 Q3 '25 actual $0.35, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.26 Q4 '25 actual $0.25, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.23 Q1 '26 actual $0.24, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.34 Q2 '26 actual $0.32, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.35 Q4 '26 estimate $0.27 Q1 '27 estimate $0.25 Q2 '27 estimate $0.34
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold22 ratings
Bullish627.3%
Neutral1463.6%
Bearish29.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$30.16Current
$27Low
$51.86Average
$72High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
BNP Paribas Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 29, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 24, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 5, 2026
Show 17 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $30.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoJason Hass$27$30.59 -10.5%Sep 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$33$32.49 +9.4%Sep 23, 2026
UBSJoshua Chan$43$38.59 +42.6%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$45$39.44 +49.2%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoJason Haas$32$39.44 +6.1%Jul 24, 2026
See 31 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Rollins, Inc. operates a network of subsidiaries that specialize in delivering pest and wildlife management solutions to a diverse clientele, encompassing both homeowners and commercial enterprises, throughout the United States and globally. For residential properties, the company offers comprehensive pest control, safeguarding homes from prevalent invaders such as rodents, insects, and other nuisance animals. Furthermore, it devises tailored pest management strategies for various business sectors, including healthcare, foodservice, and logistics. Beyond standard pest solutions, Rollins, Inc. also provides a range of termite defense options, from conventional treatments to baiting systems, alongside other complementary services. The firm serves its customers directly through its own operations as well as through its extensive franchisee network. Established in 1948, Rollins, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T07:56:11.570256+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T07:56:11.567245+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.