Rockwell Automation, Inc. · ROK · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2024

Rockwell cuts FY2024 outlook as destocking weighs on orders

The current evidence is mixed: demand and guidance weakened, but recurring services, acquisitions, and productivity initiatives could support margins if orders recover.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $47.43B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.71 Consensus $2.08
EPS surprise +30.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.05B Consensus $2.03B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.6% Event window
SPY move -0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.1% Up to 20 sessions
ROKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, guidance deteriorated further: organic sales were described as down about 10% and adjusted EPS down 21% to $9.60. The margin program expanded to a $250 million FY25 benefit target, while order growth remained modest and destocking continued.

Guidance delta

Management lowered FY2024 guidance, citing slower orders, destocking, and weaker end-user capital spending.

Key takeaways

  • Management cited slower order growth and elevated inventory, especially in China, as ongoing constraints.
  • The company highlighted a $250 million productivity and margin-expansion program through FY25, with $100 million realized in FY24.
  • Lifecycle Services, recurring revenue, Clearpath Robotics, and FactoryTalk optics were identified as areas of opportunity.
  • The current analysis describes management tone as confident despite the lower outlook.

Management priorities

  • Execute the productivity and margin-expansion program.
  • Maintain R&D as a stable share of sales and launch new offerings at Investor Day.
  • Rationalize SKUs and improve gross margin through make-or-buy decisions.
  • Expand recurring services, cybersecurity, and mobile-robot offerings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ROK REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2B Q4 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold41 ratings
Bullish1126.8%
Neutral2868.3%
Bearish24.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$426.23Current
$205Low
$362.6Average
$545High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 21, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 14, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $426.23. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$520$432.16 +22.0%Oct 16, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$430$423.42 +0.9%Oct 15, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$426$432.93 -0.1%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$545$420.63 +27.9%Sep 2, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$490$434.66 +15.0%Aug 21, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Rockwell Automation, Inc., established in 1903 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is a global leader in providing industrial automation and digital transformation solutions. The company's operations are segmented into three key areas: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The Intelligent Devices segment offers various hardware products such as drives, motion control systems, safety and sensing equipment, industrial components, and customized configurations. The Software & Control division provides essential control and visualization software and accompanying hardware, information management platforms, digital twin and simulation tools, and network and cybersecurity infrastructure.…

Historical context

All ROK earnings

Industrials peers this season

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JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +0.6% -2.0% J.B. Hunt: Strong demand, but margin repair remains central
FAST Fastenal Company FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.3% +1.1% Fastenal Q3: Share Gains and Digital Adoption Lift Growth

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T14:20:41.428669+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T14:20:41.425896+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.